PAYX vs TRMB Stock Comparison
Compare PAYX vs TRMB on performance, valuation, growth, fundamentals, momentum and risk; the current AIQ evidence does not show a clear headline leader.
What is the main difference between PAYX and TRMB?
PAYX and TRMB are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Paychex, Inc. vs Trimble Inc.
PAYX and TRMB are effectively level
PAYX and TRMB are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate PAYX and TRMB as of Oct 21, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare Paychex, Inc. and Trimble Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare PAYX and TRMB against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality81 vs 56PAYX +25
- Value45 vs 67TRMB +22
- Momentum71 vs 78TRMB +7
- Risk Resilience55 vs 54Even
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +13
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
PAYX's lead narrowed by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — PAYX and TRMB both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
TRMBTRMB on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TRMBTRMB on the peer-relative Value factor, by 22 points.
Momentum
TRMBTRMB on the Momentum factor, by 7 points.
Lower downside
TRMBTRMB carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
TRMBTRMB on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | PAYX | TRMB | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -2.7% | +17.4% | TRMB has more room |
| Target dispersion | +15.5% | +25.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 64 vs 64 |
| Fundamentals | PAYXon balance | revenue growth -11.2% vs 3.4%; EPS growth -24.4% vs -5.8%; TTM ROE 45.1% vs -1.9%; gross margin 74.3% vs 68.4%; operating margin 38.6% vs 17.5% — PAYX takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TRMB | Value 45 vs 67 |
| Technicals | PAYX | Price vs 50-day -1.5% vs 6.4%; vs 200-day 9% vs -1.4% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 55 vs 54 |
| Analyst expectations | TRMB | Target upside -2.7% vs 17.4% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 0 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20TRMB lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 6 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 64 vs 64
- 7 sessions ago
- PAYX +1
- 64 vs 63
- 30 sessions ago
- TRMB +6
- 50 vs 56
- 90 sessions ago
- PAYX +4
- 62 vs 58
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Sep 14 when PAYX moved ahead of TRMB.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only PAYX
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (10.47%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only TRMB
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (4.51%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bullish Crossover.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.11%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.76%, AIQ +3 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
PAYX leads on balance| Metric | PAYX | TRMB |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -11.2% | 3.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -24.4% | -5.8% |
| Gross margin | 74.3% | 68.4% |
| Operating margin | 38.6% | 17.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 45.1% | -1.9% |
| Debt to equity | 1.24 | 0.29 |
Performance
PAYX leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | PAYX | TRMB |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 6% | 3.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.7% | 4.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 1.7% | 17.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 20.2% | -9.9% |
| Year to date | 0.4% | -20.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -11% | -20.6% |
Technicals
PAYX has the stronger structure| Metric | PAYX | TRMB |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 79.1 | 68.9 |
| ADX (14) | 26.4 | 22.2 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.5% | 6.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 9% | -1.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 40.2% | 28.7% |
Risk
Split| Metric | PAYX | TRMB |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.02 | 1.1 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.37 | -0.65 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.52 | -0.91 |
| Max drawdown | -32.9% | -41.5% |
| Current drawdown | -11.7% | -25.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 30.1% | 32.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3% | -3.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, PAYX or TRMB?
Analyst price targets imply -2.7% upside for PAYX and +17.4% for TRMB, so the Street currently favors TRMB. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, PAYX or TRMB?
TRMB is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TRMB on the peer-relative Value factor, by 22 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, PAYX or TRMB?
TRMB on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, PAYX or TRMB?
TRMB on the Momentum factor, by 7 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, PAYX or TRMB?
TRMB is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TRMB carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is PAYX more profitable than TRMB?
PAYX leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 74.3% vs 68.4%; operating margin 38.6% vs 17.5%; ttm roe 45.1% vs -1.9%.
What do the current signals say about PAYX and TRMB?
PAYX: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. TRMB: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on PAYX is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TRMB it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare PAYX and TRMB with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.