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Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) Stock Analysis

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

PFS Stock Analysis Summary

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) currently has an AIQ Score of 51/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 72/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 34/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

PFS at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$23.72
AIQ Score51/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$3B
P/E Ratio9.79
Forward P/E
EPS$0.60
Revenue TTM$326.6M
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.78
Volume535.48K
52-week range$17.69-$25.49
RSI 1433.2
50-Day SMA$23.98
200-Day SMA$22.10
Analyst Price Target$26.50
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

PFS

Overview
Provident Financial Services, Inc.
Financial Services· Banks - Regional
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 4/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$23.72
+$0.16 (+0.68%)
Latest market quote
Momentum34
Value61
Quality45
Risk Resilience72
Sentiment
View financial data

PFS Stock Analysis Summary

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) currently has an AIQ Score of 51/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 72/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 34/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, PFS has AIQ Score of 51/100 with Risk resilience base of 72/100 and fading Momentum at 34/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (72/100) leads while Momentum (34/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 0.68% stock move · PFS classified in Banks - Regional.

Current Evidence

NeutralPFS is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 72/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is PFS Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

PFS currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 72/100, while Momentum is weakest at 34/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 72/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +11.72% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 34/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (21 vs 17).

Current Consensus

PFS's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 17 buy, 7 neutral, and 21 sell votes. PFS's 14-day RSI is 33.2, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. PFS's beta is 0.78, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in PFS?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
51/100
Momentum
34/100
Quality
45/100
Risk
72/100

What Would Change the PFS Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

PFS Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Provident Financial Services, Inc..

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) Stock Analysis

Provident Financial Services, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 51/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 72/100. Beta is 0.78, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextPFS is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 51/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 72/100 while momentum lags at 34/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 34/100 · Value 61/100 · Quality 45/100 · Risk 72/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 72/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 34/100 and RSI (14) is 33.2.

Regime fitWait

PFS is in a Neutral regime at 51/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 72/100 with beta 0.78 and annual volatility 25.37%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 72/100 while momentum lags at 34/100.

AIQ Score
51/100
Price
$23.72
Beta
0.78
RSI (14)
33.2

PFS Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

PFS Fundamentals

PFS valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$326.6M
Net income
$78.15M
Free cash flow
$122.54M
View full PFS fundamental analysis

PFS Technical Analysis

PFS technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
33.2
Price vs SMA-50
-1.09%
View full PFS technical analysis

PFS Stock Catalysts

Track PFS earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$26.50
News items
5
View PFS earnings and stock catalysts

PFS Dividend Analysis

PFS dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
4.05%
Annual dividend
$0.96
Payout ratio
View PFS dividend history and analysis

PFS Financial Data

PFS revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$326.6M
EPS
$0.60
Periods
8
View PFS financials

PFS Risk Analysis

PFS volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.78
Risk score
72/100
1Y volatility
25.37%
View PFS risk analysis

PFS Stock News

PFS stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 5, 2026
Sentiment
Read PFS stock news

PFS vs Regional Banks Peers

Current peer cohort: PFS · RJF · SCHW · SFNC · TBBK. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
PFS
Current stock
51/10061/10034/10072/1000.6225.37%Current
RJF
Raymond James Financial
61/10052/10059/10062/1000.1425.42%PFS vs RJF
SCHW
Charles Schwab
56/10031/10057/10077/1000.4225.39%PFS vs SCHW
SFNC
Simmons First National
50/10045/10059/10082/1000.4126.18%PFS vs SFNC
TBBK
The Bancorp
55/10048/10042/10055/100-0.241.85%PFS vs TBBK
Pairwise Compare links: RJF · SCHW · SFNC · TBBKPFS vs RJFPFS vs SCHWPFS vs SFNCPFS vs TBBKCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a PFS stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 5, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
9.58
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
-5.75%
Gross margin
63.16%
Current debt / equity
1.65
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$326.6M
Quarter net income
$78.15M
Quarter free cash flow
$122.54M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
33.2
MACD
-0.2

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
72/100
Beta
0.78
Annual volatility
25.37%
Max drawdown
-15.38%

PFS Stock FAQ

What is PFS stock price today?

Provident Financial Services, Inc.'s current stock price is $23.72. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is PFS bullish or bearish right now?

PFS's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is PFS's market cap?

PFS's market cap is $3B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is PFS's current P/E ratio?

PFS's current P/E ratio is 9.79 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is PFS's RSI?

PFS's 14-day RSI is 33.2 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is PFS above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

PFS is -1.09% from its 50-day SMA and 7.31% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is PFS's next earnings date?

PFS's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does PFS pay a dividend?

PFS's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.