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Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) Stock Analysis

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

PFS Stock Analysis Summary

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) currently has an AIQ Score of 55/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 73/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 45/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

PFS at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$22.54
AIQ Score55/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusBuy
Market Cap$3B
P/E Ratio (TTM)9.58
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.60
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$326.6M
Dividend Yield (TTM)4.17%
Beta0.78
Volume538.63K
52-week range$17.71-$25.49
RSI 1454.19
50-Day SMA$23.05
200-Day SMA$22.53
Analyst Price Target$26.50
Next EarningsOct 28, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

PFSProvident Financial Services, Inc.

Financial Services / Banks - Regional

Low Priority

In Line With Peers

NeutralEdge 5/10
$22.54+$0.01 (+0.04%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    52
  • Value
    59
  • Quality
    45
  • Risk resilience
    73
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

PFS Stock Analysis Summary

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) currently has an AIQ Score of 55/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 73/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 45/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, PFS has AIQ Score of 55/100 with Risk resilience base of 73/100 and fading Quality at 45/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (73/100) leads while Quality (45/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 0.04% stock move · PFS classified in Banks - Regional.

Current Evidence

NeutralPFS is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 73/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is PFS Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

PFS currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 73/100, while Quality is weakest at 45/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 73/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +17.57% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (24 vs 12).
Bear Case
  • - No strong bearish evidence is available in the current snapshot.

Current Consensus

PFS's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Buy, with 24 buy, 9 neutral, and 12 sell votes. PFS's 14-day RSI is 54.19, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. PFS's beta is 0.78, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in PFS?

The largest recent change in PFS is Momentum moving up by 22.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+5.0
Momentum
+22.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-1.0

What Would Change the PFS Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

PFS Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Provident Financial Services, Inc..

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) Stock Analysis

Provident Financial Services, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 55/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 73/100. Beta is 0.82, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextPFS is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 55/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 73/100 while quality lags at 45/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 52/100 · Value 59/100 · Quality 45/100 · Risk 73/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 73/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 52/100 and RSI (14) is 54.2.

Regime fitWait

PFS is in a Neutral regime at 55/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 73/100 with beta 0.82 and annual volatility 23.49%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 73/100 while quality lags at 45/100.

AIQ Score
55/100
Price
$22.54
Beta
0.82
RSI (14)
54.2

PFS Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

PFS Fundamentals

PFS valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$326.6M
Net income
$78.15M
Free cash flow
$122.54M
View full PFS fundamental analysis

PFS Technical Analysis

PFS technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Buy
RSI 14
54.19
Price vs SMA-50
-2.22%
View full PFS technical analysis

PFS Stock Catalysts

Track PFS earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 28, 2026
Analyst target
$26.50
News items
5
View PFS earnings and stock catalysts

PFS Dividend Analysis

PFS dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
4.26%
Annual dividend
$0.96
Payout ratio
39.78%
View PFS dividend history and analysis

PFS Financial Data

PFS revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$326.6M
EPS
$0.60
Periods
3
View PFS financials

PFS Risk Analysis

PFS volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.78
Risk score
73/100
1Y volatility
23.49%
View PFS risk analysis

PFS Stock News

PFS stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read PFS stock news

PFS vs Regional Banks Peers

Current peer cohort: PFS · RJF · SCHW · SFNC · TBBK. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
PFS
Current stock
55/10059/10052/10073/1000.7723.49%Current
RJF
Raymond James Financial
55/10051/10033/10065/100-0.2724.78%PFS vs RJF
SCHW
Charles Schwab
55/10037/10026/10075/100-0.1725.45%PFS vs SCHW
SFNC
Simmons First National
60/10055/10064/10064/1000.9124.97%PFS vs SFNC
TBBK
The Bancorp
55/10046/10048/10052/100-0.745.71%PFS vs TBBK
Pairwise Compare links: RJF · SCHW · SFNC · TBBKPFS vs RJFPFS vs SCHWPFS vs SFNCPFS vs TBBKCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a PFS stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
9.58
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
63.16%
Current debt / equity
1.65
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$326.6M
Quarter net income
$78.15M
Quarter free cash flow
$122.54M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
54.19
MACD
-0.2

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
73/100
Beta
0.82
Annual volatility
23.49%
Max drawdown
-15.38%

PFS Stock FAQ

What is PFS stock price today?

Provident Financial Services, Inc.'s current stock price is $22.54. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is PFS bullish or bearish right now?

PFS's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is PFS's market cap?

PFS's market cap is $3B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is PFS's current P/E ratio?

PFS's current P/E ratio is 9.58 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is PFS's RSI?

PFS's 14-day RSI is 54.19 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is PFS above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

PFS is -2.22% from its 50-day SMA and 0.05% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is PFS's next earnings date?

PFS's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 28, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does PFS pay a dividend?

PFS's dividend yield is 4.17% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.