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Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares (PONY) Stock Analysis

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares (PONY) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

PONY Stock Analysis Summary

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares (PONY) currently has an AIQ Score of 34/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 40/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

PONY at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$6.64
AIQ Score34/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$2.48B
P/E Ratio-14.62
Forward P/E
EPS-$0.14
Revenue TTM$36.22M
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta3.94
Volume3.13M
52-week range$6.37-$24.92
RSI 1422.16
50-Day SMA$7.39
200-Day SMA$10.84
Analyst Price Target$23.67
Next EarningsNov 24, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

PONY

Overview
Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares
Technology· Software - Application
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 1/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$6.64
+$0.00 (+0.08%)
Latest market quote
Momentum25
Value34
Quality37
Risk Resilience40
Sentiment
View financial data

PONY Stock Analysis Summary

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares (PONY) currently has an AIQ Score of 34/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 40/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, PONY has AIQ Score of 34/100 with Risk resilience base of 40/100 and fading Momentum at 25/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Technology · 0.08% stock move · PONY classified in Software - Application.

Current Evidence

BearishPONY is in a bearish AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 40/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is PONY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

PONY currently has a bearish overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 40/100, while Momentum is weakest at 25/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +256.74% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 34/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 25/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 40/100.
  • - Price is -38.81% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (37 vs 7).

Current Consensus

PONY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 1 neutral, and 37 sell votes. PONY's 14-day RSI is 22.16, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. PONY's beta is 3.94, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in PONY?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
34/100
Momentum
25/100
Quality
37/100
Risk
40/100

What Would Change the PONY Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

PONY Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares.

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares (PONY) Stock Analysis

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares has an AIQ Score of 34/100 in a Defensive regime. Risk is strongest at 40/100. Beta is 3.94, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextPONY is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 34/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 40/100 while momentum lags at 25/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 25/100 · Value 34/100 · Quality 37/100 · Risk 40/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Risk is the strongest factor at 40/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 25/100 and RSI (14) is 22.2.

Regime fitFail

PONY is in a Defensive regime at 34/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 40/100 with beta 3.94 and annual volatility 73.69%.

ConflictPass

Current conflict: risk leads at 40/100 while momentum lags at 25/100.

AIQ Score
34/100
Price
$6.64
Beta
3.94
RSI (14)
22.2

PONY Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

PONY Fundamentals

PONY valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$36.22M
Net income
-$59.84M
Free cash flow
-$76.18M
View full PONY fundamental analysis

PONY Technical Analysis

PONY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
22.16
Price vs SMA-50
-10.24%
View full PONY technical analysis

PONY Stock Catalysts

Track PONY earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 24, 2026
Analyst target
$23.67
News items
0
View PONY earnings and stock catalysts

PONY Dividend Analysis

PONY dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
Payout ratio
View PONY dividend history and analysis

PONY Financial Data

PONY revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$36.22M
EPS
-$0.14
Periods
8
View PONY financials

PONY Risk Analysis

PONY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
3.94
Risk score
40/100
1Y volatility
73.69%
View PONY risk analysis

PONY Stock News

PONY stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
Sentiment
Read PONY stock news

PONY vs Space, eVTOL & Autonomous Peers

Current peer cohort: PONY · RDW · RKLB · SPIR · SYM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
PONY
Current stock
34/10034/10025/10040/100-0.7973.69%Current
RDW
Redwire Corporation
35/10037/10026/10039/1000.75116.22%PONY vs RDW
RKLB
Rocket Lab
37/10034/10025/10043/1000.7595.12%PONY vs RKLB
SPIR
Spire Global
36/10036/10024/10035/1000.71104.24%PONY vs SPIR
SYM
Symbotic
40/10027/10057/10036/1000.1883.73%PONY vs SYM
Pairwise Compare links: RDW · RKLB · SPIR · SYMPONY vs RDWPONY vs RKLBPONY vs SPIRPONY vs SYMCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a PONY stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-19.33
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
5.75%
Gross margin
16.23%
Current debt / equity
0.01
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$36.22M
Quarter net income
-$59.84M
Quarter free cash flow
-$76.18M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
22.16
MACD
-0.25

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
40/100
Beta
3.94
Annual volatility
73.69%
Max drawdown
-72.65%

PONY Stock FAQ

What is PONY stock price today?

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares's current stock price is $6.64. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is PONY bullish or bearish right now?

PONY's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is PONY's market cap?

PONY's market cap is $2.48B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is PONY's current P/E ratio?

PONY's current P/E ratio is -14.62 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is PONY's RSI?

PONY's 14-day RSI is 22.16 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is PONY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

PONY is -10.24% from its 50-day SMA and -38.81% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is PONY's next earnings date?

PONY's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 24, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does PONY pay a dividend?

PONY's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.