ETF Analysis
ProShares - Ultra QQQ (QLD) ETF Analysis
ProShares - Ultra QQQ (QLD) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
ProShares - Ultra QQQ (QLD) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 63/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 20/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
QLD at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $86.15 |
| AIQ Score | 39/100 |
| Overall View | Bearish |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Fund Size | $10.51B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.96% |
| Holdings Count | 118 |
| NAV | $86.16 |
| Asset Class | Equity |
| Primary Exposure | Technology (40.97%) |
| Issuer | ProShares |
| Domicile | US |
| Inception Date | Jun 19, 2006 |
| Distribution Yield | 0.14% |
| Beta | 2.46 |
| Average Volume | 4.12M |
| 52-week range | $56.60-$101.62 |
| RSI 14 | 23.59 |
| 50-Day SMA | $92.25 |
| 200-Day SMA | $82.88 |
| Risk Score | 20/100 |
| Momentum Score | 27/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | 35/100 |
QLD Long-Horizon ETF Performance
Trailing returns, growth of $10,000, drawdown history, and calendar-year returns from available daily closes.
| Period | Total return | Annualized | Max drawdown | Start date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | 22.11% | 22.13% | -25.17% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| 3Y | 196.56% | 43.66% | -42.34% | Oct 23, 2023 |
| 5Y | 111.54% | 16.20% | -63.79% | Oct 26, 2021 |
| 10Y | 111.54% | 16.20% | -63.79% | Oct 26, 2021 |
Growth of $10,000
Indexed to the first available close in this history window.
Drawdown History
Peak-to-trough decline from each prior high over the available window.
Calendar-Year Returns
Full-year returns where available, with the current calendar year shown as YTD.
QLDProShares - Ultra QQQ
Financial Services / Asset Management - Leveraged
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum27
- Value35
- Quality63
- Risk resilience20
- Sentiment—
QLD ETF Analysis Summary
ProShares - Ultra QQQ (QLD) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 63/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 20/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a bearish regime, QLD has AIQ Score of 39/100 with Quality base of 63/100 and fading Risk resilience at 20/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (63/100) leads while Risk resilience (20/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · -0.13% ETF move · QLD classified in Asset Management - Leveraged.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is QLD Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
QLD currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 63/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 20/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 63/100.
- - Value is the current constraint at 35/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 27/100.
- - Risk Resilience is weak at 20/100.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (35 vs 9).
Current Consensus
QLD's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 9 buy, 1 neutral, and 35 sell votes. QLD's 14-day RSI is 23.59, which places the ETF in an oversold momentum range. QLD's beta is 2.46, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in QLD?
The largest recent change in QLD is Momentum moving down by 8.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the QLD Outlook?
The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
QLD Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for ProShares - Ultra QQQ.
ProShares - Ultra QQQ (QLD) ETF Analysis
ProShares - Ultra QQQ has an AIQ Score of 39/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 63/100. Beta is 2.46, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | QLD is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 39/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 63/100 while risk lags at 20/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 27/100 · Value 35/100 · Quality 63/100 · Risk 20/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 63/100.
Momentum is 27/100 and RSI (14) is 23.6.
QLD is in a Defensive regime at 39/100.
Risk factor is 20/100 with beta 2.46 and annual volatility 40.04%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 63/100 while risk lags at 20/100.
QLD Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
QLD ETF Analytics
QLD holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
QLD Technical Analysis
QLD technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
QLD ETF Market Context
Track QLD market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
QLD Distribution Analysis
QLD distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
QLD ETF Data
QLD available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
QLD Risk Analysis
QLD volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
QLD ETF News
QLD ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
QLD vs Leveraged Peers
Current peer cohort: QLD · SOXL · SPXL · SSO · TECL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QLD Current ETF | 39/100 | 35/100 | 27/100 | 20/100 | 0.65 | 40.04% | Current |
| SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF | 35/100 | 34/100 | 8/100 | 0/100 | 1.24 | 136.91% | QLD vs SOXL |
| SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF | 41/100 | 38/100 | 30/100 | 28/100 | 0.78 | 38.36% | QLD vs SPXL |
| SSO ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (2x) | 45/100 | 37/100 | 35/100 | 41/100 | 0.76 | 25.43% | QLD vs SSO |
| TECL Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X ETF | 29/100 | 28/100 | 15/100 | 0/100 | 0.83 | 80.31% | QLD vs TECL |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 23, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalystsNo quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.
Checked Oct 25, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.
ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching QLD
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for QLD
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
QLD ETF FAQ
What is QLD ETF price today?
QLD is currently shown at $86.15. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is QLD's 52-week high and low?
QLD's 52-week range is $56.60 to $101.62 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does QLD pay a dividend?
QLD's current distribution yield is 0.14% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying QLD?
Compare QLD's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.