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TMC the metals company inc. (TMC) Stock Analysis

TMC the metals company inc. (TMC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TMC Stock Analysis Summary

TMC the metals company inc. (TMC) currently has an AIQ Score of 33/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 39/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

TMC at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$3.94
AIQ Score33/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$1.93B
P/E Ratio-6.1
Forward P/E
EPS-$0.14
Revenue TTM$0
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta2.07
Volume3.54M
52-week range$3.40-$11.35
RSI 1427.68
50-Day SMA$4.17
200-Day SMA$5.54
Analyst Price Target$10.00
Next EarningsNov 12, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

TMC

Overview
TMC the metals company inc.
Basic Materials· Other Precious Metals
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 1/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$3.94
-$0.07 (-1.87%)
Latest market quote
Momentum25
Value
Quality39
Risk Resilience35
Sentiment
View financial data

TMC Stock Analysis Summary

TMC the metals company inc. (TMC) currently has an AIQ Score of 33/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 39/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, TMC has AIQ Score of 33/100 with Quality base of 39/100 and fading Momentum at 25/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Basic Materials · -1.87% stock move · TMC classified in Other Precious Metals.

Current Evidence

BearishTMC is in a bearish AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 39/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TMC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TMC currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 39/100, while Momentum is weakest at 25/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +154.13% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 25/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 35/100.
  • - Price is -29.03% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (32 vs 11).

Current Consensus

TMC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 11 buy, 2 neutral, and 32 sell votes. TMC's 14-day RSI is 27.68, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. TMC's beta is 2.07, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in TMC?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
33/100
Momentum
25/100
Quality
39/100
Risk
35/100

What Would Change the TMC Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TMC Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for TMC the metals company inc..

TMC the metals company inc. (TMC) Stock Analysis

TMC the metals company inc. has an AIQ Score of 33/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 39/100. Beta is 2.07, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTMC is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 33/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 39/100 while momentum lags at 25/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 25/100 · Quality 39/100 · Risk 35/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthFail

Quality is the strongest factor at 39/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 25/100 and RSI (14) is 27.7.

Regime fitFail

TMC is in a Defensive regime at 33/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 35/100 with beta 2.07 and annual volatility 95.61%.

ConflictPass

Current conflict: quality leads at 39/100 while momentum lags at 25/100.

AIQ Score
33/100
Price
$3.94
Beta
2.07
RSI (14)
27.7

TMC Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TMC Fundamentals

TMC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$0
Net income
-$60.12M
Free cash flow
-$20.1M
View full TMC fundamental analysis

TMC Technical Analysis

TMC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
27.68
Price vs SMA-50
-5.57%
View full TMC technical analysis

TMC Stock Catalysts

Track TMC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 12, 2026
Analyst target
$10.00
News items
3
View TMC earnings and stock catalysts

TMC Dividend Analysis

TMC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
Payout ratio
View TMC dividend history and analysis

TMC Financial Data

TMC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$0
EPS
-$0.14
Periods
7
View TMC financials

TMC Risk Analysis

TMC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
2.07
Risk score
35/100
1Y volatility
95.61%
View TMC risk analysis

TMC Stock News

TMC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
3
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read TMC stock news

TMC vs Metals & Mining Peers

Current peer cohort: TMC · TROX · TX · VALE · WOR. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TMC
Current stock
33/10025/10035/1000.1595.61%Current
TROX
Tronox Holdings
34/10065/10025/10049/1000.2478.74%TMC vs TROX
TX
Ternium
63/10067/10078/10077/1001.7231.45%TMC vs TX
VALE
Vale
53/10057/10064/10052/1001.1832.83%TMC vs VALE
WOR
Worthington Industries
61/10065/10062/10065/100-0.3831.21%TMC vs WOR
Pairwise Compare links: TROX · TX · VALE · WORTMC vs TROXTMC vs TXTMC vs VALETMC vs WORCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TMC stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-5.21
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
0.00%
Gross margin
0.00%
Current debt / equity
0
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$0
Quarter net income
-$60.12M
Quarter free cash flow
-$20.1M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
27.68
MACD
-0.01

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
35/100
Beta
2.07
Annual volatility
95.61%
Max drawdown
-67.73%

TMC Stock FAQ

What is TMC stock price today?

TMC the metals company inc.'s current stock price is $3.94. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TMC bullish or bearish right now?

TMC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TMC's market cap?

TMC's market cap is $1.93B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TMC's current P/E ratio?

TMC's current P/E ratio is -6.1 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TMC's RSI?

TMC's 14-day RSI is 27.68 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TMC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TMC is -5.57% from its 50-day SMA and -29.03% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TMC's next earnings date?

TMC's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 12, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TMC pay a dividend?

TMC's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.