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Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) Stock Analysis

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TCBI Stock Analysis Summary

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) currently has an AIQ Score of 58/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 80/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 39/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

TCBI at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$98.64
AIQ Score58/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$4.16B
P/E Ratio12.81
Forward P/E
EPS$1.79
Revenue TTM$439.93M
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta0.67
Volume298.02K
52-week range$75.41-$108.92
RSI 1439.03
50-Day SMA$100.66
200-Day SMA$98.26
Analyst Price Target$109.00
Next EarningsOct 21, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

TCBI

Overview
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
Financial Services· Banks - Regional
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 7/10
Low Priority
Above Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$98.64
+$0.83 (+0.85%)
Latest market quote
Momentum39
Value55
Quality65
Risk Resilience80
Sentiment
View financial data

TCBI Stock Analysis Summary

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) currently has an AIQ Score of 58/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 80/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 39/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TCBI has AIQ Score of 58/100 with Risk resilience base of 80/100 and fading Momentum at 39/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (80/100) leads while Momentum (39/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 0.85% stock move · TCBI classified in Banks - Regional.

Current Evidence

NeutralTCBI is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 80/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TCBI Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TCBI currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 80/100, while Momentum is weakest at 39/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 65/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 80/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +10.50% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 39/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (21 vs 14).

Current Consensus

TCBI's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 14 buy, 10 neutral, and 21 sell votes. TCBI's 14-day RSI is 39.03, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. TCBI's beta is 0.67, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in TCBI?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
58/100
Momentum
39/100
Quality
65/100
Risk
80/100

What Would Change the TCBI Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TCBI Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc..

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) Stock Analysis

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 58/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 80/100. Beta is 0.67, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTCBI is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 58/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 80/100 while momentum lags at 39/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 39/100 · Value 55/100 · Quality 65/100 · Risk 80/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 80/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 39/100 and RSI (14) is 39.0.

Regime fitWait

TCBI is in a Neutral regime at 58/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 80/100 with beta 0.67 and annual volatility 27.4%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 80/100 while momentum lags at 39/100.

AIQ Score
58/100
Price
$98.64
Beta
0.67
RSI (14)
39

TCBI Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TCBI Fundamentals

TCBI valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$439.93M
Net income
$84.95M
Free cash flow
$99.51M
View full TCBI fundamental analysis

TCBI Technical Analysis

TCBI technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
39.03
Price vs SMA-50
-2.00%
View full TCBI technical analysis

TCBI Stock Catalysts

Track TCBI earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 21, 2026
Analyst target
$109.00
News items
4
View TCBI earnings and stock catalysts

TCBI Dividend Analysis

TCBI dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.41%
Annual dividend
$0.40
Payout ratio
View TCBI dividend history and analysis

TCBI Financial Data

TCBI revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$439.93M
EPS
$1.79
Periods
8
View TCBI financials

TCBI Risk Analysis

TCBI volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.67
Risk score
80/100
1Y volatility
27.40%
View TCBI risk analysis

TCBI Stock News

TCBI stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 5, 2026
Sentiment
Read TCBI stock news

TCBI vs Regional Banks Peers

Current peer cohort: TCBI · UMBF · VLY · WAFD · WBS. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TCBI
Current stock
58/10055/10039/10080/1000.4527.40%Current
UMBF
UMB Financial
53/10058/10031/10060/1000.5626.31%TCBI vs UMBF
VLY
Valley National Bancorp
51/10056/10032/10062/1001.0126.98%TCBI vs VLY
WAFD
Washington Federal
52/10058/10031/10082/1000.523.15%TCBI vs WAFD
WBS
Webster Financial
59/10051/10069/1001.1823.38%TCBI vs WBS
Pairwise Compare links: UMBF · VLY · WAFD · WBSTCBI vs UMBFTCBI vs VLYTCBI vs WAFDTCBI vs WBSCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TCBI stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 5, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
12.39
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
-9.92%
Gross margin
62.40%
Current debt / equity
0.23
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$439.93M
Quarter net income
$84.95M
Quarter free cash flow
$99.51M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
39.03
MACD
-0.83

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
80/100
Beta
0.67
Annual volatility
27.40%
Max drawdown
-14.21%

TCBI Stock FAQ

What is TCBI stock price today?

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.'s current stock price is $98.64. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TCBI bullish or bearish right now?

TCBI's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TCBI's market cap?

TCBI's market cap is $4.16B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TCBI's current P/E ratio?

TCBI's current P/E ratio is 12.81 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TCBI's RSI?

TCBI's 14-day RSI is 39.03 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TCBI above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TCBI is -2.00% from its 50-day SMA and 0.39% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TCBI's next earnings date?

TCBI's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 21, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TCBI pay a dividend?

TCBI's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.