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Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) Stock Analysis

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TCBI Stock Analysis Summary

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 74/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 43/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

TCBI at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$93.49
AIQ Score57/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusBuy
Market Cap$4.16B
P/E Ratio (TTM)12.39
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.79
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$439.93M
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.42%
Beta0.67
Volume580.27K
52-week range$79.19-$108.92
RSI 1450.9
50-Day SMA$95.53
200-Day SMA$98.54
Analyst Price Target$109.80
Next Earnings—
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

Financial Services / Banks - Regional

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$93.49+$2.43 (+2.67%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    43
  • Value
    53
  • Quality
    65
  • Risk resilience
    74
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

TCBI Stock Analysis Summary

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 74/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 43/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TCBI has AIQ Score of 57/100 with Risk resilience base of 74/100 and fading Momentum at 43/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (74/100) leads while Momentum (43/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 2.67% stock move · TCBI classified in Banks - Regional.

Current Evidence

NeutralTCBI is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 74/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TCBI Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TCBI currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 74/100, while Momentum is weakest at 43/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 65/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 74/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +17.45% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (24 vs 14).
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 43/100.
  • - Price is -5.12% below its 200-day SMA.

Current Consensus

TCBI's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Buy, with 24 buy, 7 neutral, and 14 sell votes. TCBI's 14-day RSI is 50.9, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. TCBI's beta is 0.67, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in TCBI?

The largest recent change in TCBI is Momentum moving up by 19.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+4.0
Momentum
+19.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-2.0

What Would Change the TCBI Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TCBI Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc..

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) Stock Analysis

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 57/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 74/100. Beta is 0.63, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTCBI is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 57/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 74/100 while momentum lags at 43/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 43/100 · Value 53/100 · Quality 65/100 · Risk 74/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 74/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 43/100 and RSI (14) is 50.9.

Regime fitWait

TCBI is in a Neutral regime at 57/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 74/100 with beta 0.63 and annual volatility 25.17%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 74/100 while momentum lags at 43/100.

AIQ Score
57/100
Price
$93.49
Beta
0.63
RSI (14)
50.9

TCBI Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TCBI Fundamentals

TCBI valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$439.93M
Net income
$84.95M
Free cash flow
$99.51M
View full TCBI fundamental analysis

TCBI Technical Analysis

TCBI technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Buy
RSI 14
50.9
Price vs SMA-50
-2.14%
View full TCBI technical analysis

TCBI Stock Catalysts

Track TCBI earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
—
Analyst target
$109.80
News items
5
View TCBI earnings and stock catalysts

TCBI Dividend Analysis

TCBI dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.43%
Annual dividend
$0.40
Payout ratio
7.12%
View TCBI dividend history and analysis

TCBI Financial Data

TCBI revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$439.93M
EPS
$1.79
Periods
3
View TCBI financials

TCBI Risk Analysis

TCBI volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.67
Risk score
74/100
1Y volatility
25.17%
View TCBI risk analysis

TCBI Stock News

TCBI stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read TCBI stock news

TCBI vs Regional Banks Peers

Current peer cohort: TCBI · UMBF · VLY · WAFD · WBS. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TCBI
Current stock
57/10053/10043/10074/1000.5125.17%Current
UMBF
UMB Financial
59/10056/10058/10060/1000.6524.34%TCBI vs UMBF
VLY
Valley National Bancorp
54/10054/10049/10062/1000.9425.06%TCBI vs VLY
WAFD
Washington Federal
50/10064/10029/10057/100-0.1623.72%TCBI vs WAFD
WBS
Webster Financial
58/10049/100—69/1001.1823.38%TCBI vs WBS
Pairwise Compare links: UMBF · VLY · WAFD · WBSTCBI vs UMBFTCBI vs VLYTCBI vs WAFDTCBI vs WBSCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TCBI stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 21, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
12.39
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
62.40%
Current debt / equity
0.23
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$439.93M
Quarter net income
$84.95M
Quarter free cash flow
$99.51M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
50.9
MACD
-1.31

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
74/100
Beta
0.63
Annual volatility
25.17%
Max drawdown
-17.85%

TCBI Stock FAQ

What is TCBI stock price today?

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.'s current stock price is $93.49. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TCBI bullish or bearish right now?

TCBI's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TCBI's market cap?

TCBI's market cap is $4.16B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TCBI's current P/E ratio?

TCBI's current P/E ratio is 12.39 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TCBI's RSI?

TCBI's 14-day RSI is 50.9 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TCBI above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TCBI is -2.14% from its 50-day SMA and -5.12% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TCBI's next earnings date?

TCBI's next earnings date is a key event to check before making a decision. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TCBI pay a dividend?

TCBI's dividend yield is 0.42% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.