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TOL Stock Catalysts

Earnings · Growth Drivers · Events · AIQ Catalyst

Consumer CyclicalResidential ConstructionScore data as of Sep 4, 2026

TOL

Catalysts
Toll Brothers, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical· Residential Construction
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 7/10
Low Priority
Above Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$141.73
-$0.07 (-0.05%)
Latest market quote
Momentum35
Value60
Quality50
Risk Resilience66
Sentiment62
View financial data

Stock Catalyst Board

Earnings timing, analyst expectations, news pressure, growth drivers, events, and AIQ Catalyst context.

Next earnings
Dec 14, 2026

Upcoming reporting date available for this company.

AIQ Catalyst
AIQ 52/100

Momentum 35/100 and sentiment 62/100 before the next covered event.

Recent coverage
5 articles

Updated Sep 6, 2026 · Sentiment 29.53%

Earnings History And Surprises

See whether reported EPS and revenue have consistently exceeded or missed analyst expectations.

Earnings Expectations And Results

Compare what analysts expected with what the company reported across recent quarters.

Momentum 35/100AIQ Edge 7/10 Above Peers
Beat rate
75%
6 of 8 reported periods
Average surprise
+3.8%
Across covered historical reports
Latest result
+1.4%
Aug 18, 2026
EPS estimate versus actual
Actual bars are colored by beat, inline result, or miss.
Earnings history
Report dateFiscal periodEPS estimateEPS actualEPS surpriseRevenue estimateRevenue actual
Aug 18, 2026—$2.93$2.97+1.4%$2.62B$2.66B
May 19, 2026—$2.58$2.72+5.4%$2.42B$2.53B
Feb 17, 2026—$2.05$2.19+6.8%$1.85B$2.15B
Dec 8, 2025—$4.88$4.58-6.1%$3.3B$3.42B
Aug 19, 2025—$3.60$3.73+3.6%$2.86B$2.95B
May 20, 2025—$2.81$3.50+24.6%$2.48B$2.74B
Feb 18, 2025—$1.99$1.75-12.1%$2.66B$1.86B
Dec 9, 2024—$4.34$4.63+6.7%$3.17B$3.33B

Analyst Forecast And Price Targets

Wall Street consensus, rating distribution, and the current 12-month target range.

Analyst ratings
Buy
13
Buy
4
Hold
1
Sell
12-month analyst target
$172.25
+21.53% versus current price
Based on 6 analyst observations. Targets are estimates, not predictions.
Low target
$122.00
-13.92% vs latest price
Average target
$172.25
+21.53% vs latest price
High target
$195.00
+37.59% vs latest price

Event Read

Catalysts should explain what can change the setup, when it might happen, and which AIQ component would move first.

Current event setup

Event dateDec 14, 2026

Next known earnings or reporting date.

EPS estimate$4.89

Current analyst expectation for the upcoming report.

Revenue estimate$3.53B

Current analyst expectation for the upcoming report.

Sentiment score62

News pressure around the setup.

Momentum score35

Where event reaction would show up first.

AIQ score52/100

Composite decision read before event confirmation.

Analyst context

Consensus
Buy
Analysts
6
Average target
$172.25
Target upside
21.53%
Target range
$122.00 - $195.00
90-day revisions
0

News And Sentiment

Recent company coverage, scored where source sentiment is available.

Positive
5
Neutral
0
Negative
0
manilatimes.net · Sep 3, 2026

Final Opportunity to Own a New Luxury Home in Toll Brothers at Tesoro Highlands - Alta Monte Collection in Valencia, California

VALENCIA, Calif., Sept. 03, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, today announced the final opportunity to purchase a new home in Toll Brothers at Tesoro Highlands - Alta Monte Collection, a gated luxury community in Valencia, California. Only one home remains available for sale in the Alta Monte Collection of the community, located at 29924 North Camino Los Robles Lane in Santa Clarita.

manilatimes.net · Sep 2, 2026

New Model Home Opens at Toll Brothers at the Crossing at Coal Mountain in Cumming, Georgia

Brand-new Oakridge Elite model home now open for tours

manilatimes.net · Sep 1, 2026

Toll Brothers at Kresston Now Open in Montgomery, Texas

Exclusive luxury home community offers expansive homes and resort-style amenities in a sought-after location

manilatimes.net · Sep 1, 2026

Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Horsham, Pennsylvania

Woodford Glen will feature estate homes on one-acre home sites in a serene cul-de-sac setting

gurufocus.com · Aug 29, 2026

TOL SWOT Analysis: Financial Resilience Amidst Market Challenges Revealed in 10-Q Filing

Strong profitability metrics with a Profitability Rank of 10/10.GF Score of 96/100 indicates robust financial health and operational efficiency.Recent decline i

Open full news and sentiment

Related Links

TOL Catalysts FAQ

What are the next catalysts for TOL stock?

TOL's next stock catalysts can include earnings, guidance, analyst ratings, price-target changes, estimate revisions, product updates, regulatory events, contracts, or sector developments. Use this page to connect those events with AIQ and market context.

What upcoming events could move TOL stock?

Upcoming events that could move TOL include earnings reports, management commentary, estimate changes, major news, and market-wide sector catalysts.

How could TOL's next earnings report affect the stock?

TOL's next earnings report could affect the stock by changing revenue expectations, EPS estimates, guidance, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, and momentum.

What could drive TOL stock higher?

TOL could move higher if earnings, guidance, demand trends, analyst expectations, or AIQ momentum improve relative to what the market already expects.

What events could hurt TOL stock?

TOL could be hurt by weaker guidance, negative estimate revisions, margin pressure, adverse news, regulatory issues, or a sector-wide risk-off move.