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Toast, Inc. (TOST) Stock Analysis

Toast, Inc. (TOST) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TOST Stock Analysis Summary

Toast, Inc. (TOST) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 66/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

TOST at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$32.12
AIQ Score53/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$19.48B
P/E Ratio30.26
Forward P/E
EPS$0.27
Revenue TTM$1.91B
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta1.73
Volume6.7M
52-week range$22.26-$42.15
RSI 1418.56
50-Day SMA$32.72
200-Day SMA$30.10
Analyst Price Target$36.78
Next EarningsNov 3, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close
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TOST

Overview
Toast, Inc.
Technology· Software - Infrastructure
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 6/10
Low Priority
Above Peers
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$32.12
+$0.18 (+0.56%)
Latest market quote
Momentum30
Value58
Quality66
Risk Resilience58
Sentiment
View financial data

TOST Stock Analysis Summary

Toast, Inc. (TOST) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 66/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TOST has AIQ Score of 53/100 with Quality base of 66/100 and fading Momentum at 30/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (66/100) leads while Momentum (30/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Technology · 0.56% stock move · TOST classified in Software - Infrastructure.

Current Evidence

NeutralTOST is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 66/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TOST Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TOST currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 66/100, while Momentum is weakest at 30/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 66/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +14.51% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 30/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (32 vs 12).

Current Consensus

TOST's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 12 buy, 1 neutral, and 32 sell votes. TOST's 14-day RSI is 18.56, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. TOST's beta is 1.73, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in TOST?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
53/100
Momentum
30/100
Quality
66/100
Risk
58/100

What Would Change the TOST Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TOST Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Toast, Inc..

Toast, Inc. (TOST) Stock Analysis

Toast, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 53/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 66/100. Beta is 1.73, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTOST is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 53/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 66/100 while momentum lags at 30/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 30/100 · Value 58/100 · Quality 66/100 · Risk 58/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 66/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 30/100 and RSI (14) is 18.6.

Regime fitWait

TOST is in a Neutral regime at 53/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 58/100 with beta 1.73 and annual volatility 46.34%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 66/100 while momentum lags at 30/100.

AIQ Score
53/100
Price
$32.12
Beta
1.73
RSI (14)
18.6

TOST Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TOST Fundamentals

TOST valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.91B
Net income
$154M
Free cash flow
$130M
View full TOST fundamental analysis

TOST Technical Analysis

TOST technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
18.56
Price vs SMA-50
-1.83%
View full TOST technical analysis

TOST Stock Catalysts

Track TOST earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 3, 2026
Analyst target
$36.78
News items
0
View TOST earnings and stock catalysts

TOST Dividend Analysis

TOST dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
Payout ratio
View TOST dividend history and analysis

TOST Financial Data

TOST revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.91B
EPS
$0.27
Periods
7
View TOST financials

TOST Risk Analysis

TOST volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.73
Risk score
58/100
1Y volatility
46.34%
View TOST risk analysis

TOST Stock News

TOST stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
Sentiment
Read TOST stock news

TOST vs Restaurants & Food Service Peers

Current peer cohort: TOST · TXRH · WEN · WING · YUM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TOST
Current stock
53/10058/10030/10058/100-0.3246.34%Current
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse
40/10029/10027/10056/1000.3130.18%TOST vs TXRH
WEN
Wendy's
46/10067/10025/10026/100-0.260.25%TOST vs WEN
WING
Wingstop
43/10029/10048/10030/100-1.2160.78%TOST vs WING
YUM
Yum! Brands
36/10031/10021/10041/100-0.1924.05%TOST vs YUM
Pairwise Compare links: TXRH · WEN · WING · YUMTOST vs TXRHTOST vs WENTOST vs WINGTOST vs YUMCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TOST stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
40.47
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
17.06%
Gross margin
26.68%
Current debt / equity
0
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.91B
Quarter net income
$154M
Quarter free cash flow
$130M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
18.56
MACD
-0.14

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
58/100
Beta
1.73
Annual volatility
46.34%
Max drawdown
-46.17%

TOST Stock FAQ

What is TOST stock price today?

Toast, Inc.'s current stock price is $32.12. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TOST bullish or bearish right now?

TOST's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TOST's market cap?

TOST's market cap is $19.48B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TOST's current P/E ratio?

TOST's current P/E ratio is 30.26 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TOST's RSI?

TOST's 14-day RSI is 18.56 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TOST above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TOST is -1.83% from its 50-day SMA and 6.72% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TOST's next earnings date?

TOST's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 3, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TOST pay a dividend?

TOST's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.