ETF Analysis
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) ETF Analysis
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 64/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
VGLT at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $51.48 |
| AIQ Score | 53/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Neutral |
| Fund Size | $15.01B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.03% |
| Holdings Count | 102 |
| NAV | $51.40 |
| Asset Class | Government Bond |
| Primary Exposure | Cash & Others (100.00%) |
| Issuer | Vanguard |
| Domicile | US |
| Inception Date | Nov 19, 2009 |
| Distribution Yield | 4.94% |
| Beta | 2.25 |
| Average Volume | 2.74M |
| 52-week range | $49.30-$58.44 |
| RSI 14 | 73.66 |
| 50-Day SMA | $51.78 |
| 200-Day SMA | $54.29 |
| Risk Score | 54/100 |
| Momentum Score | 59/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | 36/100 |
VGLT Long-Horizon ETF Performance
Trailing returns, growth of $10,000, drawdown history, and calendar-year returns from available daily closes.
| Period | Total return | Annualized | Max drawdown | Start date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | -11.47% | -11.47% | -14.90% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| 3Y | -1.81% | -0.61% | -21.43% | Oct 20, 2023 |
| 5Y | -41.08% | -10.07% | -46.45% | Oct 25, 2021 |
| 10Y | -41.08% | -10.07% | -46.45% | Oct 25, 2021 |
Growth of $10,000
Indexed to the first available close in this history window.
Drawdown History
Peak-to-trough decline from each prior high over the available window.
Calendar-Year Returns
Full-year returns where available, with the current calendar year shown as YTD.
VGLTVanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
Financial Services / Asset Management - Bonds
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Latest quote
- Momentum59
- Value36
- Quality64
- Risk resilience54
- Sentiment—
VGLT ETF Analysis Summary
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 64/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, VGLT has AIQ Score of 53/100 with Quality base of 64/100 and fading Value at 36/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (64/100) leads while Value (36/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · 0.12% ETF move · VGLT classified in Asset Management - Bonds.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is VGLT Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
VGLT currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 64/100, while Value is weakest at 36/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 64/100.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (25 vs 19).
- - Value is the current constraint at 36/100.
- - Price is -5.18% below its 200-day SMA.
Current Consensus
VGLT's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 25 buy, 1 neutral, and 19 sell votes. VGLT's 14-day RSI is 73.66, which places the ETF in an overbought momentum range. VGLT's beta is 2.25, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in VGLT?
The largest recent change in VGLT is Momentum moving up by 22.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the VGLT Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
VGLT Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF.
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) ETF Analysis
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF has an AIQ Score of 53/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 64/100. Beta is 2.25, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | VGLT is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 53/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 64/100 while value lags at 36/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 59/100 · Value 36/100 · Quality 64/100 · Risk 54/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 64/100.
Momentum is 59/100 and RSI (14) is 73.7.
VGLT is in a Neutral regime at 53/100.
Risk factor is 54/100 with beta 2.25 and annual volatility 8.82%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 64/100 while value lags at 36/100.
VGLT Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
VGLT ETF Analytics
VGLT holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
VGLT Technical Analysis
VGLT technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
VGLT ETF Market Context
Track VGLT market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
VGLT Distribution Analysis
VGLT distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
VGLT ETF Data
VGLT available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
VGLT Risk Analysis
VGLT volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
VGLT ETF News
VGLT ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
VGLT vs Fixed Income — Government Peers
Current peer cohort: VGLT · VGSH · VTIP · BIL · IEF. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGLT Current ETF | 53/100 | 36/100 | 59/100 | 54/100 | -1.77 | 8.82% | Current |
| VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF | 57/100 | 36/100 | 58/100 | 73/100 | -3.6 | 1.71% | VGLT vs VGSH |
| VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 56/100 | 36/100 | 58/100 | 68/100 | -2.28 | 3.03% | VGLT vs VTIP |
| BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 62/100 | 36/100 | 78/100 | 66/100 | -3.8 | 1.04% | VGLT vs BIL |
| IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 62/100 | 45/100 | 58/100 | 88/100 | -2.29 | 5.07% | VGLT vs IEF |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalystsNo quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.
Checked Oct 22, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.
ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching VGLT
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for VGLT
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
VGLT ETF FAQ
What is VGLT ETF price today?
VGLT is currently shown at $51.48. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is VGLT's 52-week high and low?
VGLT's 52-week range is $49.30 to $58.44 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does VGLT pay a dividend?
VGLT's current distribution yield is 4.94% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying VGLT?
Compare VGLT's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.