AAOI vs TEL Stock Comparison
TEL currently leads AAOI in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 65 vs 34. The clearest difference is momentum.
What is the main difference between AAOI and TEL?
TEL leads the current stock comparison as TE Connectivity plc, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. vs TE Connectivity plc
TEL leads
TEL leads by 31 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, and the lead has widened from 27 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors AAOI on target upside.
Stable: 5 of 6 evidence groups support TEL, and its lead is widening.
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
TE Connectivity plc
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TEL over AAOI, 65 versus 34 as of Oct 21, 2026. TEL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value. TEL also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors AAOI. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TEL today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability. TEL lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 27 to 31 points over 30 sessions. TEL leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. and TE Connectivity plc across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AAOI and TEL against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum20 vs 62TEL +42
- Value35 vs 67TEL +32
- Risk Resilience38 vs 68TEL +30
- Quality41 vs 63TEL +22
5 of 6 evidence groups favor TEL. TEL’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
TEL's lead widened by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AAOI and TEL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TEL (TE Connectivity plc): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.): the counter-case, on analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 102.6% against 22.6%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TELTEL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TELTEL on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TELTEL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 32 points.
Momentum
TELTEL on the Momentum factor, by 42 points.
Lower downside
TELTEL on Risk Resilience, by 30 points.
Analyst upside
AAOIAAOI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors TEL, analyst targets favor AAOI. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AAOI | TEL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +119.5% | +16.8% | AAOI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +23% | +32% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 2 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TEL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TEL | 34 vs 65 |
| Fundamentals | TELon balance | revenue growth 27% vs 8.8%; EPS growth -47.4% vs -12%; TTM ROE -5.6% vs 23.2%; gross margin 28.9% vs 35.4%; operating margin -11.3% vs 19.1% — TEL takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TEL | Value 35 vs 67 |
| Technicals | TEL | Price vs 50-day -28.9% vs 1.8%; vs 200-day -31.7% vs 0.1% |
| Risk Resilience | TEL | Risk Resilience 38 vs 68 |
| Analyst expectations | AAOI | Target upside 119.5% vs 16.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AAOI and TEL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 31 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TEL.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20TEL lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 27 to 31 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TEL +31
- 34 vs 65
- 7 sessions ago
- TEL +26
- 35 vs 61
- 30 sessions ago
- TEL +27
- 38 vs 65
- 90 sessions ago
- TEL +11
- 52 vs 63
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral
Only AAOI
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (11.61%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Beta Spike Warning — bearish, risk, long horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
0 bullish / 2 bearish
No signal that the other name lacks.
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, MACD Bearish Crossover.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.76%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.2%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AAOI closes the Momentum gap — currently 42 points behind, the largest single contributor to TEL's edge.
- 2AAOI's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3TEL starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TEL leads on balance| Metric | AAOI | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 27% | 8.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -47.4% | -12% |
| Gross margin | 28.9% | 35.4% |
| Operating margin | -11.3% | 19.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -5.6% | 23.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.16 | 0.43 |
Performance
TEL leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | AAOI | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -21.5% | -1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -28.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -30.6% | 6.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -49% | -12.1% |
| Year to date | 120.1% | -6.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 146.4% | -4.7% |
Technicals
TEL has the stronger structure| Metric | AAOI | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.4 | 53.9 |
| ADX (14) | 22 | 14.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -28.9% | 1.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -31.7% | 0.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 102.6% | 22.6% |
Risk
TEL is the more resilient| Metric | AAOI | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.24 | 1.6 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.26 | -0.05 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.57 | -0.07 |
| Max drawdown | -66.1% | -21.4% |
| Current drawdown | -65.6% | -14.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 144.2% | 35.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -13% | -3.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AAOI or TEL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TEL is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 65 against AAOI's 34. The edge comes from momentum and value. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AAOI or TEL the better buy right now?
TEL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TEL over AAOI?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TEL leads Momentum by 42 points; TEL leads Value by 32 points; TEL leads Risk Resilience by 30 points. TEL leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by AAOI simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, AAOI or TEL?
Analyst price targets imply +119.5% upside for AAOI and +16.8% for TEL, so the Street currently favors AAOI. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors TEL. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AAOI or TEL?
TEL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TEL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 32 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AAOI or TEL?
TEL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AAOI or TEL?
TEL on the Momentum factor, by 42 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AAOI or TEL?
TEL is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TEL on Risk Resilience, by 30 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AAOI more profitable than TEL?
TEL leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 28.9% vs 35.4%; operating margin -11.3% vs 19.1%; ttm roe -5.6% vs 23.2%.
Is TEL's lead over AAOI getting stronger or weaker?
TEL lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 27 to 31 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the AAOI vs TEL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AAOI closes the Momentum gap — currently 42 points behind, the largest single contributor to TEL's edge; AAOI's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; TEL starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AAOI and TEL?
AAOI: 0 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral. TEL: 0 bullish / 2 bearish. The most decision-relevant rule on AAOI is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TEL it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare AAOI and TEL with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.