AFG vs AIG Stock Comparison
Compare AFG and AIG across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between AFG and AIG?
AFG and AIG are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
American Financial Group, Inc. vs American International Group, Inc.
AFG and AIG are effectively level
AFG and AIG are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
American Financial Group, Inc.
American International Group, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate AFG and AIG as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare American Financial Group, Inc. and American International Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare AFG and AIG against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality56 vs 51AFG +5
- Value59 vs 64AIG +5
- Risk Resilience63 vs 67AIG +4
- Momentum41 vs 38Even
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
AIG's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AFG and AIG both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
AFGAFG on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
AIGAIG on the peer-relative Value factor, by 5 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
AIGAIG on Risk Resilience, by 4 points.
Analyst upside
AIGAIG on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | AFG | AIG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +4.3% | +15.3% | AIG has more room |
| Target dispersion | +10.8% | +20.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 8 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 54 vs 54 |
| Fundamentals | AFGon balance | revenue growth 8.5% vs 6.5%; EPS growth 30.6% vs 26.1%; TTM ROE 20% vs 7.3%; gross margin 26% vs 38.1%; operating margin 14.7% vs 14% — AFG takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | AIG | Value 59 vs 64 |
| Technicals | AFG | Price vs 50-day -0.7% vs -3.3%; vs 200-day 5% vs -3% |
| Risk Resilience | AIG | Risk Resilience 63 vs 67 |
| Analyst expectations | AIG | Target upside 4.3% vs 15.3% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10AFG lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 9 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 54 vs 54
- 7 sessions ago
- AIG +3
- 53 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- AFG +9
- 60 vs 51
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 64 vs 64
The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Sep 4 when AIG moved ahead of AFG.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.02%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.68%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.22%, AIQ +1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.4%, AIQ 0 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AFG leads on balance| Metric | AFG | AIG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 30.6% | 26.1% |
| Gross margin | 26% | 38.1% |
| Operating margin | 14.7% | 14% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 20% | 7.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.38 | 0.22 |
Performance
AFG leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | AFG | AIG |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.2% | -1.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 7% | 0.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 11.3% | -3.8% |
| Year to date | 3.6% | -12.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 2.9% | -4.7% |
Technicals
AFG has the stronger structure| Metric | AFG | AIG |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43 | 45.7 |
| ADX (14) | 11.5 | 16.2 |
| Price vs 50-day | -0.7% | -3.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5% | -3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 13.5% | 14% |
Risk
AIG is the more resilient| Metric | AFG | AIG |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.07 | 0.05 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.01 | -0.23 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.02 | -0.32 |
| Max drawdown | -16.5% | -17% |
| Current drawdown | -4.8% | -13.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 19.1% | 24.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.8% | -2.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, AFG or AIG?
Analyst price targets imply +4.3% upside for AFG and +15.3% for AIG, so the Street currently favors AIG. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AFG or AIG?
AIG is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. AIG on the peer-relative Value factor, by 5 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AFG or AIG?
AFG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AFG or AIG?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AFG or AIG?
AIG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AIG on Risk Resilience, by 4 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AFG more profitable than AIG?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 26% vs 38.1%; operating margin 14.7% vs 14%; ttm roe 20% vs 7.3%. AFG leads on two measures and AIG on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
What do the current signals say about AFG and AIG?
AFG: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. AIG: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AFG is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On AIG it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AFG and AIG with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.