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American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) Stock Analysis

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

AFG Stock Analysis Summary

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) currently has an AIQ Score of 63/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 56/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

AFG at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$153.87
AIQ Score63/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$11.83B
P/E Ratio (TTM)12.44
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$2.99
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.99B
Dividend Yield (TTM)4.93%
Beta0.6
Volume503.8K
52-week range$123.09-$154.99
RSI 1477.32
50-Day SMA$143.55
200-Day SMA$136.31
Analyst Price Target$148.00
Next EarningsNov 3, 2026
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Services / Insurance - Property & Casualty

Relative Leader / Watch

Strong Relative Position

NeutralEdge 8/10
$153.87+$0.77 (+0.50%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    80
  • Value
    58
  • Quality
    56
  • Risk resilience
    61
  • Sentiment
    75
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

AFG Stock Analysis Summary

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) currently has an AIQ Score of 63/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 56/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, AFG has AIQ Score of 63/100 with Momentum base of 80/100 and fading Quality at 56/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (80/100) leads while Quality (56/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 0.50% stock move · AFG classified in Insurance - Property & Casualty.

Current Evidence

NeutralAFG is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 80/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is AFG Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

AFG currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100, while Quality is weakest at 56/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 80/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 61/100.
  • - Price is +6.66% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (37 vs 5).
Bear Case
  • - Analyst target implies -3.81% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

AFG's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 3 neutral, and 5 sell votes. AFG's 14-day RSI is 77.32, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. AFG's beta is 0.6, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in AFG?

The largest recent change in AFG is Momentum moving down by 2.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-1.0
Momentum
-2.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-1.0

What Would Change the AFG Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

AFG Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for American Financial Group, Inc..

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) Stock Analysis

American Financial Group, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 63/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 80/100. Beta is 0.58, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextAFG is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 63/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 80/100 while quality lags at 56/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 80/100 · Value 58/100 · Quality 56/100 · Risk 61/100 · Sentiment 75/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 80/100 and RSI (14) is 77.3.

Regime fitWait

AFG is in a Neutral regime at 63/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 61/100 with beta 0.58 and annual volatility 18.2%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 80/100 while quality lags at 56/100.

AIQ Score
63/100
Price
$153.87
Beta
0.58
RSI (14)
77.3

AFG Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

AFG Fundamentals

AFG valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.99B
Net income
$248M
Free cash flow
$51M
View full AFG fundamental analysis

AFG Technical Analysis

AFG technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
77.32
Price vs SMA-50
+6.66%
View full AFG technical analysis

AFG Stock Catalysts

Track AFG earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 3, 2026
Analyst target
$148.00
News items
0
View AFG earnings and stock catalysts

AFG Dividend Analysis

AFG dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.75%
Annual dividend
$4.23
Payout ratio
60.44%
View AFG dividend history and analysis

AFG Financial Data

AFG revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.99B
EPS
$2.99
Periods
8
View AFG financials

AFG Risk Analysis

AFG volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.6
Risk score
61/100
1Y volatility
18.20%
View AFG risk analysis

AFG Stock News

AFG stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
75/100
Read AFG stock news

AFG vs Insurance Peers

Current peer cohort: AFG · AFL · AIG · AIZ · AJG. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
AFG
Current stock
63/10058/10080/10061/1000.7918.20%Current
AFL
Aflac
63/10041/10080/10076/1000.7617.55%AFG vs AFL
AIG
American International Group
63/10063/10077/10065/1000.1423.87%AFG vs AIG
AIZ
Assurant
70/10060/10084/10064/1001.4722.29%AFG vs AIZ
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher
57/10028/10086/10053/1000.1132.13%AFG vs AJG
Pairwise Compare links: AFL · AIG · AIZ · AJGAFG vs AFLAFG vs AIGAFG vs AIZAFG vs AJGCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a AFG stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
12.44
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
3.21%
Gross margin
26.05%
Current debt / equity
0.38
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.99B
Quarter net income
$248M
Quarter free cash flow
$51M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
77.32
MACD
2.69

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
61/100
Beta
0.58
Annual volatility
18.20%
Max drawdown
-13.28%

AFG Stock FAQ

What is AFG stock price today?

American Financial Group, Inc.'s current stock price is $153.87. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is AFG bullish or bearish right now?

AFG's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is AFG's market cap?

AFG's market cap is $11.83B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is AFG's current P/E ratio?

AFG's current P/E ratio is 12.44 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is AFG's RSI?

AFG's 14-day RSI is 77.32 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is AFG above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

AFG is 6.66% from its 50-day SMA and 12.32% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is AFG's next earnings date?

AFG's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 3, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does AFG pay a dividend?

AFG's dividend yield is 4.93% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.