AGNC vs PSEC Stock Comparison
PSEC currently leads AGNC in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 50 vs 49. The clearest difference is quality, while AGNC has the stronger momentum profile.
What is the main difference between AGNC and PSEC?
PSEC leads the current stock comparison as Prospect Capital Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
AGNC Investment Corp. vs Prospect Capital Corporation
PSEC leads
PSEC leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 7 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 1 of 6 evidence groups support PSEC, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
AGNC Investment Corp.
Prospect Capital Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors PSEC over AGNC, 50 versus 49 as of Oct 21, 2026. PSEC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality, while AGNC holds the stronger momentum profile. PSEC also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PSEC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. PSEC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare AGNC Investment Corp. and Prospect Capital Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AGNC and PSEC against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum36 vs 25AGNC +11
- Quality48 vs 58PSEC +10
- Risk Resilience35 vs 37Even
- Value69 vs 70Even
1 of 6 evidence groups favor PSEC. PSEC’s edge is concentrated in quality; AGNC keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +11
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
PSEC's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AGNC and PSEC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
PSEC (Prospect Capital Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.
AGNC (AGNC Investment Corp.): the counter-case, on momentum, fundamentals, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
PSECPSEC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
AGNCAGNC on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
AGNCAGNC on the Momentum factor, by 11 points.
Lower downside
AGNCAGNC carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
PSECPSEC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | AGNC | PSEC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +28.1% | +70.1% | PSEC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +17.8% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Sell | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 3 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | AGNC | PSEC |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | -1.59% | -5.59% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $1.560 | $0.720 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $1.440 | $0.540 |
| Years increased | 0 | 0 |
| No cut in window | No (1) | No (2) |
| Cohort rank | not ranked | not ranked |
AGNC grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — -1.59% a year against PSEC's -5.59%. They are ranked in different cohorts — REITs and business development companies — so their ranks are not comparable with each other.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PSEC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 49 vs 50 |
| Fundamentals | AGNCon balance | revenue growth -100% vs 4.5%; EPS growth 4.1% vs -266.7%; TTM ROE 18.3% vs 4.1%; gross margin 75.7% vs 79.7%; operating margin 112.8% vs 51% — AGNC takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 69 vs 70 |
| Technicals | AGNC | Price vs 50-day -11.5% vs -29.8%; vs 200-day -16.9% vs -37.4% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 35 vs 37 |
| Analyst expectations | PSEC | Target upside 28.1% vs 70.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AGNC and PSEC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on PSEC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20PSEC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- PSEC +1
- 49 vs 50
- 7 sessions ago
- PSEC +4
- 47 vs 51
- 30 sessions ago
- PSEC +7
- 48 vs 55
- 90 sessions ago
- AGNC +13
- 56 vs 43
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when PSEC moved ahead of AGNC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only AGNC
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only PSEC
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.65%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 3 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, 52-Week Low Proximity, Downtrend Structure Active.
PSEC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.23%, AIQ +2 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.34%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AGNC closes the Quality gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to PSEC's edge.
- 2AGNC's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3PSEC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 5 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate PSEC's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AGNC leads on balance| Metric | AGNC | PSEC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -100% | 4.5% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 4.1% | -266.7% |
| Gross margin | 75.7% | 79.7% |
| Operating margin | 112.8% | 51% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 18.3% | 4.1% |
| Debt to equity | 7.16 | 0.41 |
Performance
AGNC leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | AGNC | PSEC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 2.2% | -10.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -12.8% | -27.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -17.9% | -29.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -19.3% | -43.6% |
| Year to date | -17.9% | -38.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -11.3% | -46.2% |
Technicals
AGNC has the stronger structure| Metric | AGNC | PSEC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43.1 | 7.2 |
| ADX (14) | 49.8 | 49.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | -11.5% | -29.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -16.9% | -37.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 32.7% | 34.5% |
Risk
Split| Metric | AGNC | PSEC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.64 | -1.57 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.95 | -2.32 |
| Max drawdown | -30.6% | -51.1% |
| Current drawdown | -27.7% | -51.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 22.2% | 36.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.4% | -3.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AGNC or PSEC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, PSEC is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 50 against AGNC's 49. The edge comes from quality. AGNC is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AGNC or PSEC the better buy right now?
PSEC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor PSEC over AGNC?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AGNC leads Momentum by 11 points; PSEC leads Quality by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AGNC or PSEC?
Analyst price targets imply +28.1% upside for AGNC and +70.1% for PSEC, so the Street currently favors PSEC. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AGNC or PSEC?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AGNC or PSEC?
AGNC on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AGNC or PSEC?
AGNC on the Momentum factor, by 11 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AGNC or PSEC?
AGNC is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AGNC carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AGNC more profitable than PSEC?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 75.7% vs 79.7%; operating margin 112.8% vs 51%; ttm roe 18.3% vs 4.1%. AGNC leads on two measures and PSEC on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is PSEC's lead over AGNC getting stronger or weaker?
PSEC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when PSEC moved ahead of AGNC.
What would change the AGNC vs PSEC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AGNC closes the Quality gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to PSEC's edge; AGNC's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; PSEC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 5 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate PSEC's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about AGNC and PSEC?
AGNC: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. PSEC: 1 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AGNC is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On PSEC it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare AGNC and PSEC with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.