AMD vs ORCL Stock Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. vs Oracle Corporation
ORCL leads
ORCL leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 23 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ORCL, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Oracle Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ORCL over AMD, 59 versus 44 as of Sep 2, 2026. ORCL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while AMD holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ORCL also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ORCL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. ORCL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 23 to 15 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. and Oracle Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%24 vs 61ORCL +37
- Momentum25%47 vs 60ORCL +13
- Risk Resilience15%39 vs 29AMD +10
- Quality30%63 vs 70ORCL +7
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ORCL. ORCL’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; AMD keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
ORCL's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AMD and ORCL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ORCL (Oracle Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 56% against 41.5%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ORCLORCL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
AMDAMD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ORCLORCL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 37 points.
Momentum
ORCLORCL on the Momentum factor, by 13 points.
Lower downside
AMDAMD on Risk Resilience, by 10 points.
Analyst upside
ORCLORCL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | AMD | ORCL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +21.9% | +65.6% | ORCL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +177.7% | +95.8% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 27 | 20 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ORCL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ORCL | 44 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | ORCLon balance | revenue growth 12.5% vs 11.6%; EPS growth 64.7% vs 14.8%; ROE 10.1% vs 50.6%; gross margin 53.2% vs 65.8%; operating margin 15.7% vs 30.8% — ORCL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ORCL | Value 24 vs 61 |
| Technicals | AMD | Price vs 50-day -9.5% vs 2.9%; vs 200-day 39.8% vs -12.4% |
| Risk Resilience | AMD | Risk Resilience 39 vs 29 |
| Analyst expectations | ORCL | Target upside 21.9% vs 65.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AMD and ORCL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ORCL.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1ORCL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 23 to 15 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ORCL +15
- 44 vs 59
- 7 sessions ago
- ORCL +14
- 44 vs 58
- 30 sessions ago
- ORCL +23
- 39 vs 62
- 90 sessions ago
- AMD +1
- 46 vs 45
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (49.90%)
- Beta Spike Warning — bearish, risk, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.13%)
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (20.86%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.22%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
ORCL leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.57%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.55%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AMD closes the Value gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to ORCL's edge.
- 2AMD's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it.
- 3ORCL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 8 points over 30 sessions, and a further 15-point move would eliminate ORCL's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ORCL leads on balance| Metric | AMD | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 12.5% | 11.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 64.7% | 14.8% |
| Gross margin | 53.2% | 65.8% |
| Operating margin | 15.7% | 30.8% |
| Return on equity | 10.1% | 50.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.06 | 3.67 |
Technicals
AMD has the stronger structure| Metric | AMD | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.8 | 53.8 |
| ADX (14) | 9.2 | 15.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | -9.5% | 2.9% |
| Price vs 200-day | 39.8% | -12.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 56% | 41.5% |
Risk
AMD is the more resilient| Metric | AMD | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.17 | 2.02 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.73 | -0.45 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.02 | -0.93 |
| Max drawdown | -27.8% | -65% |
| Current drawdown | -19% | -54.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 71.8% | 67.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.9% | -5.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AMD or ORCL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ORCL is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 59 against AMD's 44. The edge comes from value and momentum. AMD is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AMD or ORCL the better buy right now?
ORCL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ORCL over AMD?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. ORCL leads Value by 37 points; ORCL leads Momentum by 13 points; AMD leads Risk Resilience by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AMD or ORCL?
Analyst price targets imply +21.9% upside for AMD and +65.6% for ORCL, so the Street currently favors ORCL. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AMD or ORCL?
ORCL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ORCL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 37 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AMD or ORCL?
AMD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AMD or ORCL?
ORCL on the Momentum factor, by 13 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AMD or ORCL?
AMD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AMD on Risk Resilience, by 10 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AMD more profitable than ORCL?
ORCL leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 53.2% vs 65.8%; operating margin 15.7% vs 30.8%; roe 10.1% vs 50.6%.
Is ORCL's lead over AMD getting stronger or weaker?
ORCL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 23 to 15 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the AMD vs ORCL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AMD closes the Value gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to ORCL's edge; AMD's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it; ORCL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 8 points over 30 sessions, and a further 15-point move would eliminate ORCL's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about AMD and ORCL?
AMD: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. ORCL: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AMD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ORCL it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare AMD and ORCL with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.