AMD vs SMCI Stock Comparison
SMCI currently leads AMD in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 48 vs 36. The clearest difference is value, while AMD has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between AMD and SMCI?
SMCI leads the current stock comparison as Super Micro Computer, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. vs Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI leads
SMCI leads by 12 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 4 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 3 of 6 evidence groups support SMCI, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SMCI over AMD, 48 versus 36 as of Oct 21, 2026. SMCI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while AMD holds the stronger quality profile. SMCI also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SMCI today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. SMCI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 12 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. and Super Micro Computer, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare AMD and SMCI against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value24 vs 74SMCI +50
- Quality63 vs 53AMD +10
- Risk Resilience42 vs 36AMD +6
- Momentum15 vs 20SMCI +5
3 of 6 evidence groups favor SMCI. SMCI’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; AMD keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
SMCI's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AMD and SMCI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SMCISMCI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
SMCISMCI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
SMCISMCI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 50 points.
Momentum
SMCISMCI on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.
Lower downside
AMDAMD on Risk Resilience, by 6 points.
Analyst upside
SMCISMCI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | AMD | SMCI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +4.9% | +14.7% | SMCI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +170.7% | +44.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 29 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SMCI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SMCI | 36 vs 48 |
| Fundamentals | AMDon balance | revenue growth 12.5% vs 8.6%; EPS growth 64.7% vs 133.3%; TTM ROE 10.1% vs 25.1%; gross margin 53.2% vs 10.8%; operating margin 15.7% vs 7.1% — AMD takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | SMCI | Value 24 vs 74 |
| Technicals | AMD | Price vs 50-day 2.4% vs -8.1%; vs 200-day 34.6% vs -0.1% |
| Risk Resilience | AMD | Risk Resilience 42 vs 36 |
| Analyst expectations | SMCI | Target upside 4.9% vs 14.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AMD and SMCI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 12 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SMCI.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20SMCI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 12 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SMCI +12
- 36 vs 48
- 7 sessions ago
- SMCI +11
- 39 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- SMCI +4
- 56 vs 60
- 90 sessions ago
- SMCI +15
- 48 vs 63
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jul 1 when SMCI moved ahead of AMD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only AMD
- Beta Spike Warning — bearish, risk, long horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only SMCI
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 4 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode, Keltner Channel Breakdown, MACD Bearish Crossover.
SMCI leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +3.36%, AIQ -1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +9.55%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AMD closes the Value gap — currently 50 points behind, the largest single contributor to SMCI's edge.
- 2AMD's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3SMCI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AMD leads on balance| Metric | AMD | SMCI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 12.5% | 8.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 64.7% | 133.3% |
| Gross margin | 53.2% | 10.8% |
| Operating margin | 15.7% | 7.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 10.1% | 25.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0.06 | 0.46 |
Performance
AMD leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | AMD | SMCI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -11.7% | -16.9% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -14.3% | -21.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.2% | 6.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 88% | 14.2% |
| Year to date | 149.7% | 10.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 128% | -39.7% |
Technicals
AMD has the stronger structure| Metric | AMD | SMCI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 30.5 | 27.4 |
| ADX (14) | 22.3 | 27.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | 2.4% | -8.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 34.6% | -0.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 41.5% | 59.9% |
Risk
AMD is the more resilient| Metric | AMD | SMCI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.51 | -0.08 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.55 | -0.11 |
| Max drawdown | -27.8% | -62.7% |
| Current drawdown | -17.7% | -41% |
| Annualized volatility | 67.9% | 92.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.8% | -7.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AMD or SMCI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SMCI is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 48 against AMD's 36. The edge comes from value and momentum. AMD is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AMD or SMCI the better buy right now?
SMCI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SMCI over AMD?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. SMCI leads Value by 50 points; AMD leads Quality by 10 points; AMD leads Risk Resilience by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AMD or SMCI?
Analyst price targets imply +4.9% upside for AMD and +14.7% for SMCI, so the Street currently favors SMCI. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AMD or SMCI?
SMCI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SMCI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 50 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AMD or SMCI?
SMCI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AMD or SMCI?
SMCI on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AMD or SMCI?
AMD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AMD on Risk Resilience, by 6 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AMD more profitable than SMCI?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 53.2% vs 10.8%; operating margin 15.7% vs 7.1%; ttm roe 10.1% vs 25.1%. AMD leads on two measures and SMCI on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is SMCI's lead over AMD getting stronger or weaker?
SMCI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 12 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-01, when SMCI moved ahead of AMD.
What would change the AMD vs SMCI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AMD closes the Value gap — currently 50 points behind, the largest single contributor to SMCI's edge; AMD's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; SMCI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AMD and SMCI?
AMD: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. SMCI: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AMD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SMCI it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AMD and SMCI with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.