AUR vs RDW Stock Comparison
Compare AUR and RDW across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between AUR and RDW?
AUR leads the current stock comparison as Aurora Innovation, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Aurora Innovation, Inc. vs Redwire Corp
AUR leads
AUR leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from RDW.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support AUR, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Aurora Innovation, Inc.
Redwire Corp
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AUR over RDW, 50 versus 41 as of Sep 11, 2026. AUR's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum. AUR also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AUR today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. AUR lead: Reversed — RDW led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AUR now leads by 9.
Compare Aurora Innovation, Inc. and Redwire Corp across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare AUR and RDW against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality59 vs 38AUR +21
- Momentum65 vs 52AUR +13
- Value34 vs 37Even
- Risk Resilience39 vs 39Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor AUR. AUR’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +20
New signals
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
AUR's lead narrowed by 5 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AUR and RDW both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AUR (Aurora Innovation, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
RDW (Redwire Corp): the counter-case, on fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
AURAUR on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
AURAUR on the Momentum factor, by 13 points.
Lower downside
RDWRDW carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
AURAUR on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | AUR | RDW | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +86.6% | +47.7% | AUR has more room |
| Target dispersion | +108.3% | +70.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AUR. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | AUR | 50 vs 41 |
| Fundamentals | RDWon balance | revenue growth 100% vs 20.7%; EPS growth -27.3% vs 52.5%; TTM ROE -43.1% vs -20.8%; gross margin 70.4% vs 20.1%; operating margin -194% vs -50.3% — RDW takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 34 vs 37 |
| Technicals | AUR | Price vs 50-day 1.6% vs -0.9%; vs 200-day 17.4% vs 1.9% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 39 vs 39 |
| Analyst expectations | AUR | Target upside 86.6% vs 47.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AUR and RDW and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AUR.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10AUR lead: Reversed — RDW led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AUR now leads by 9.
- Today
- AUR +9
- 50 vs 41
- 7 sessions ago
- AUR +13
- 47 vs 34
- 30 sessions ago
- RDW +2
- 46 vs 48
- 90 sessions ago
- AUR +10
- 46 vs 36
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Aug 18 when RDW moved ahead of AUR.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (17.37%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.52%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
RDW is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.58%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 5 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -2.3%, AIQ +5 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1RDW closes the Quality gap — currently 21 points behind, the largest single contributor to AUR's edge.
- 2RDW's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3AUR's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
RDW leads on balance| Metric | AUR | RDW |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 100% | 20.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -27.3% | 52.5% |
| Gross margin | 70.4% | 20.1% |
| Operating margin | -194% | -50.3% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -43.1% | -20.8% |
| Debt to equity | 0.04 | 0.05 |
Performance
AUR leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | AUR | RDW |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -7.9% | -19.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.6% | -26.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 42.2% | 14.9% |
| Year to date | 64.8% | 43% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 9.9% | 29.6% |
Technicals
AUR has the stronger structure| Metric | AUR | RDW |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.1 | 38.4 |
| ADX (14) | 19 | 18 |
| Price vs 50-day | 1.6% | -0.9% |
| Price vs 200-day | 17.4% | 1.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 71.5% | 50.2% |
Risk
Split| Metric | AUR | RDW |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.84 | 3.86 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.42 | 0.78 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.71 | 1.51 |
| Max drawdown | -38.5% | -70% |
| Current drawdown | -24.6% | -58% |
| Annualized volatility | 65.8% | 116.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.3% | -9.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AUR or RDW?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AUR is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 50 against RDW's 41. The edge comes from quality and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AUR or RDW the better buy right now?
AUR carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AUR over RDW?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AUR leads Quality by 21 points; AUR leads Momentum by 13 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AUR or RDW?
Analyst price targets imply +86.6% upside for AUR and +47.7% for RDW, so the Street currently favors AUR. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AUR or RDW?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AUR or RDW?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AUR or RDW?
AUR on the Momentum factor, by 13 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AUR or RDW?
RDW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. RDW carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AUR more profitable than RDW?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 70.4% vs 20.1%; operating margin -194% vs -50.3%; ttm roe -43.1% vs -20.8%. AUR leads on one measure and RDW on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is AUR's lead over RDW getting stronger or weaker?
AUR lead: Reversed — RDW led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AUR now leads by 9. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-18, when RDW moved ahead of AUR.
What would change the AUR vs RDW verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: RDW closes the Quality gap — currently 21 points behind, the largest single contributor to AUR's edge; RDW's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; AUR's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AUR and RDW?
AUR: 3 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral. RDW: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AUR is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On RDW it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AUR and RDW with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.