AVY vs PKG Stock Comparison
AVY currently leads PKG in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 59 vs 54. The clearest difference is value, while PKG has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between AVY and PKG?
AVY leads the current stock comparison as Avery Dennison Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Avery Dennison Corporation vs Packaging Corporation of America
AVY leads
AVY leads by 5 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support AVY, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Avery Dennison Corporation
Packaging Corporation of America
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AVY over PKG, 59 versus 54 as of Oct 21, 2026. AVY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality, while PKG holds the stronger risk resilience profile. AVY also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AVY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. AVY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 5 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Avery Dennison Corporation and Packaging Corporation of America across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AVY and PKG against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value48 vs 34AVY +14
- Risk Resilience62 vs 74PKG +12
- Quality50 vs 40AVY +10
- Momentum82 vs 82Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor AVY. AVY’s edge is concentrated in value and quality; PKG keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +5
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +26
New signals
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
AVY's lead narrowed by 6 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AVY and PKG both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AVY (Avery Dennison Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and quality.
PKG (Packaging Corporation of America): the counter-case, on risk resilience.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
AVYAVY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
AVYAVY on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
AVYAVY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 14 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
PKGPKG on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
AVYAVY on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | AVY | PKG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +13.5% | +10.9% | AVY has more room |
| Target dispersion | +24.6% | +30.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | AVY | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 9.41% | 8.21% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $2.360 | $3.370 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $3.700 | $5.000 |
| Years increased | 5 | 3 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #115 | #140 |
AVY grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.41% a year against PKG's 8.21%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AVY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | AVY | 59 vs 54 |
| Fundamentals | AVY | revenue growth 7.2% vs 5.2%; EPS growth 22.5% vs 12.5%; TTM ROE 31.1% vs 14.9%; gross margin 29% vs 20.1%; operating margin 12.4% vs 12.7% |
| Valuation | AVY | Value 48 vs 34 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day 3% vs 0.4%; vs 200-day 3.5% vs 4.8% |
| Risk Resilience | PKG | Risk Resilience 62 vs 74 |
| Analyst expectations | AVY | Target upside 13.5% vs 10.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AVY and PKG and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AVY.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20AVY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 5 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- AVY +5
- 59 vs 54
- 7 sessions ago
- AVY +14
- 58 vs 44
- 30 sessions ago
- AVY +3
- 50 vs 47
- 90 sessions ago
- AVY +10
- 56 vs 46
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Jul 23 when PKG moved ahead of AVY.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only AVY
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
3 bullish / 0 bearish
No signal that the other name lacks.
Both carry 3 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, Uptrend Structure Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
AVY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.52%, AIQ +1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.03%, AIQ +7 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1PKG closes the Value gap — currently 14 points behind, the largest single contributor to AVY's edge.
- 2PKG generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish.
- 3AVY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AVY leads on balance| Metric | AVY | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 22.5% | 12.5% |
| Gross margin | 29% | 20.1% |
| Operating margin | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 31.1% | 14.9% |
| Debt to equity | 1.58 | 0.94 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | AVY | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 13% | 4.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 5.1% | 13.5% |
| Year to date | -2.1% | 15.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 11.7% | 16.4% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | AVY | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 70.1 | 68.8 |
| ADX (14) | 16.4 | 20.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | 3% | 0.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 3.5% | 4.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 16.5% | 16.2% |
Risk
PKG is the more resilient| Metric | AVY | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.45 | 0.73 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Max drawdown | -22.5% | -17.7% |
| Current drawdown | -9.8% | -7.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 25.6% | 28% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.1% | -2.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AVY or PKG?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AVY is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 59 against PKG's 54. The edge comes from value and quality. PKG is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AVY or PKG the better buy right now?
AVY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AVY over PKG?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AVY leads Value by 14 points; PKG leads Risk Resilience by 12 points; AVY leads Quality by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AVY or PKG?
Analyst price targets imply +13.5% upside for AVY and +10.9% for PKG, so the Street currently favors AVY. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AVY or PKG?
AVY is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. AVY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 14 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AVY or PKG?
AVY on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AVY or PKG?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AVY or PKG?
PKG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PKG on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AVY more profitable than PKG?
AVY leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 29% vs 20.1%; operating margin 12.4% vs 12.7%; ttm roe 31.1% vs 14.9%.
Is AVY's lead over PKG getting stronger or weaker?
AVY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 5 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-07-23, when PKG moved ahead of AVY.
What would change the AVY vs PKG verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: PKG closes the Value gap — currently 14 points behind, the largest single contributor to AVY's edge; PKG generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish; AVY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AVY and PKG?
AVY: 4 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. PKG: 3 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AVY is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On PKG it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AVY and PKG with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.