CPNG vs MELI Stock Comparison
CPNG currently leads MELI in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 36 vs 31. The clearest difference is value, while MELI has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between CPNG and MELI?
CPNG leads the current stock comparison as Coupang, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Coupang, Inc. vs MercadoLibre, Inc.
CPNG leads
CPNG leads by 5 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from MELI.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support CPNG, and the lead recently changed hands.
Coupang, Inc.
MercadoLibre, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors CPNG over MELI, 36 versus 31 as of Oct 31, 2026. CPNG's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while MELI holds the stronger quality profile. CPNG also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor CPNG today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. CPNG lead: Reversed — MELI led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; CPNG now leads by 5.
Compare Coupang, Inc. and MercadoLibre, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare CPNG and MELI against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality14 vs 51MELI +37
- Value60 vs 24CPNG +36
- Momentum28 vs 8CPNG +20
- Risk Resilience48 vs 43CPNG +5
4 of 6 evidence groups favor CPNG. CPNG’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; MELI keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum -5
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
CPNG's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — CPNG and MELI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
CPNG (Coupang, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
MELI (MercadoLibre, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals — but at materially higher volatility, 49.3% against 38.8%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
CPNGCPNG on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MELIMELI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
CPNGCPNG on the peer-relative Value factor, by 36 points.
Momentum
CPNGCPNG on the Momentum factor, by 20 points.
Lower downside
CPNGCPNG on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
CPNGCPNG on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | CPNG | MELI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +72.7% | +33.7% | CPNG has more room |
| Target dispersion | +38.3% | +32.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 10 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor CPNG. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | CPNG | 36 vs 31 |
| Fundamentals | MELI | revenue growth 4.1% vs 15%; EPS growth -113.3% vs 11.7%; TTM ROE -18.8% vs 26.5%; gross margin 28.4% vs 42.7%; operating margin -1.8% vs 8.3% |
| Valuation | CPNG | Value 60 vs 24 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day -3.4% vs -12.3%; vs 200-day -18.6% vs -8% |
| Risk Resilience | CPNG | Risk Resilience 48 vs 43 |
| Analyst expectations | CPNG | Target upside 72.7% vs 33.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of CPNG and MELI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on CPNG.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28CPNG lead: Reversed — MELI led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; CPNG now leads by 5.
- Today
- CPNG +5
- 36 vs 31
- 7 sessions ago
- Level
- 39 vs 39
- 30 sessions ago
- MELI +8
- 42 vs 50
- 90 sessions ago
- MELI +11
- 40 vs 51
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Oct 5 when MELI moved ahead of CPNG.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral
Only CPNG
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (16.54%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only MELI
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (1.86%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.83%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bearish Crossover.
MELI is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -1.37%, AIQ -2 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -2.14%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MELI closes the Value gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to CPNG's edge.
- 2MELI's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3CPNG starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MELI leads on balance| Metric | CPNG | MELI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 4.1% | 15% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -113.3% | 11.7% |
| Gross margin | 28.4% | 42.7% |
| Operating margin | -1.8% | 8.3% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -18.8% | 26.5% |
| Debt to equity | 1.89 | 1.68 |
Performance
MELI leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | CPNG | MELI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.7% | -9.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 1.7% | -3.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -12.3% | -11.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -30.5% | -5.3% |
| Year to date | -40.2% | -16.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -54.7% | -22.6% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | CPNG | MELI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 33.7 | 27.4 |
| ADX (14) | 21.1 | 17.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.4% | -12.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | -18.6% | -8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 38.8% | 49.3% |
Risk
CPNG is the more resilient| Metric | CPNG | MELI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.39 | 1.04 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.57 | -0.67 |
| Sortino ratio | -2.25 | -0.86 |
| Max drawdown | -57.2% | -34.5% |
| Current drawdown | -56.1% | -29.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 47.4% | 40.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.7% | -3.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, CPNG or MELI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, CPNG is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 36 against MELI's 31. The edge comes from value and momentum. MELI is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is CPNG or MELI the better buy right now?
CPNG carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor CPNG over MELI?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MELI leads Quality by 37 points; CPNG leads Value by 36 points; CPNG leads Momentum by 20 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, CPNG or MELI?
Analyst price targets imply +72.7% upside for CPNG and +33.7% for MELI, so the Street currently favors CPNG. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, CPNG or MELI?
CPNG is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. CPNG on the peer-relative Value factor, by 36 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, CPNG or MELI?
MELI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, CPNG or MELI?
CPNG on the Momentum factor, by 20 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, CPNG or MELI?
CPNG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. CPNG on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is CPNG more profitable than MELI?
MELI leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 28.4% vs 42.7%; operating margin -1.8% vs 8.3%; ttm roe -18.8% vs 26.5%.
Is CPNG's lead over MELI getting stronger or weaker?
CPNG lead: Reversed — MELI led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; CPNG now leads by 5. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-05, when MELI moved ahead of CPNG.
What would change the CPNG vs MELI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MELI closes the Value gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to CPNG's edge; MELI's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; CPNG starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about CPNG and MELI?
CPNG: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral. MELI: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on CPNG is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On MELI it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare CPNG and MELI with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.