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MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) Stock Analysis

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

MELI Stock Analysis Summary

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) currently has an AIQ Score of 31/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 66/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 8/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

MELI at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$1,624.53
AIQ Score31/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$99.54B
P/E Ratio (TTM)53.43
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$9.19
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$10.17B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta1.31
Volume522.86K
52-week range$1,495.00-$2,428.00
RSI 1420.18
50-Day SMA$1,846.58
200-Day SMA$1,815.71
Analyst Price Target$2,172.73
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty Retail

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

BearishEdge 1/10
$1,624.53−$35.60 (−2.14%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    8
  • Value
    24
  • Quality
    51
  • Risk resilience
    43
  • Sentiment
    66
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

MELI Stock Analysis Summary

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) currently has an AIQ Score of 31/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 66/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 8/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, MELI has AIQ Score of 31/100 with Sentiment base of 66/100 and fading Momentum at 8/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (66/100) leads while Momentum (8/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · -2.14% stock move · MELI classified in Specialty Retail.

Current Evidence

BearishMELI is in a bearish AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 66/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is MELI Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

MELI currently has a bearish overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 66/100, while Momentum is weakest at 8/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +33.75% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 24/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 8/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 43/100.
  • - Price is -8.57% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (35 vs 6).

Current Consensus

MELI's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 6 buy, 4 neutral, and 35 sell votes. MELI's 14-day RSI is 20.18, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. MELI's beta is 1.31, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in MELI?

The largest recent change in MELI is Momentum moving down by 58.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Sentiment remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-15.0
Momentum
-58.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-6.0

What Would Change the MELI Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

MELI Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for MercadoLibre, Inc..

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) Stock Analysis

MercadoLibre, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 31/100 in a Defensive regime. Sentiment is strongest at 66/100. Beta is 1.31, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextMELI is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 31/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 66/100 while momentum lags at 8/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 8/100 · Value 24/100 · Quality 51/100 · Risk 43/100 · Sentiment 66/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 66/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 8/100 and RSI (14) is 20.2.

Regime fitFail

MELI is in a Defensive regime at 31/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 43/100 with beta 1.31 and annual volatility 40.53%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 66/100 while momentum lags at 8/100.

AIQ Score
31/100
Price
$1,624.53
Beta
1.31
RSI (14)
20.2

MELI Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

MELI Fundamentals

MELI valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$10.17B
Net income
$466M
Free cash flow
$3.93B
View full MELI fundamental analysis

MELI Technical Analysis

MELI technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
20.18
Price vs SMA-50
-10.10%
View full MELI technical analysis

MELI Stock Catalysts

Track MELI earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$2,172.73
News items
3
View MELI earnings and stock catalysts

MELI Dividend Analysis

MELI dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.04%
Annual dividend
$0.60
Payout ratio
0.00%
View MELI dividend history and analysis

MELI Financial Data

MELI revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$10.17B
EPS
$9.19
Periods
4
View MELI financials

MELI Risk Analysis

MELI volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.31
Risk score
43/100
1Y volatility
40.53%
View MELI risk analysis

MELI Stock News

MELI stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
3
Updated
Oct 30, 2026
Sentiment
66/100
Read MELI stock news

MELI vs E-Commerce & Marketplaces Peers

Current peer cohort: MELI · SE · BKNG · CART · CPNG. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
MELI
Current stock
31/10024/1008/10043/100-0.740.53%Current
SE
Sea Limited
37/10026/10022/10043/100-1.2250.93%MELI vs SE
BKNG
Booking Holdings
43/10035/10030/10048/100-0.7137.76%MELI vs BKNG
CART
Instacart (Maplebear)
70/10061/10081/10057/1001.0743.83%MELI vs CART
CPNG
Coupang
37/10060/10029/10048/100-1.5147.55%MELI vs CPNG
Pairwise Compare links: SE · BKNG · CART · CPNGMELI vs SEMELI vs BKNGMELI vs CARTMELI vs CPNGCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a MELI stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
53.43
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
42.68%
Current debt / equity
1.68
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$10.17B
Quarter net income
$466M
Quarter free cash flow
$3.93B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
20.18
MACD
-36.85

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
43/100
Beta
1.31
Annual volatility
40.53%
Max drawdown
-34.48%

MELI Stock FAQ

What is MELI stock price today?

MercadoLibre, Inc.'s current stock price is $1,624.53. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is MELI bullish or bearish right now?

MELI's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is MELI's market cap?

MELI's market cap is $99.54B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is MELI's current P/E ratio?

MELI's current P/E ratio is 53.43 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is MELI's RSI?

MELI's 14-day RSI is 20.18 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is MELI above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

MELI is -10.10% from its 50-day SMA and -8.57% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is MELI's next earnings date?

MELI's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does MELI pay a dividend?

MELI's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.