DELL vs SMCI Stock Comparison
SMCI currently leads DELL in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 48 vs 39. The clearest difference is value.
What is the main difference between DELL and SMCI?
SMCI leads the current stock comparison as Super Micro Computer, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Dell Technologies Inc. vs Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI leads
SMCI leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 14 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support SMCI, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SMCI over DELL, 48 versus 39 as of Oct 21, 2026. SMCI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality. SMCI also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SMCI today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. SMCI lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Dell Technologies Inc. and Super Micro Computer, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare DELL and SMCI against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value59 vs 74SMCI +15
- Quality39 vs 53SMCI +14
- Momentum17 vs 20Even
- Risk Resilience34 vs 36Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor SMCI. SMCI’s edge is concentrated in value and quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
SMCI's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DELL and SMCI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and quality.
DELL (Dell Technologies Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SMCISMCI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
SMCISMCI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
SMCISMCI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 15 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
EvenDownside measures are level or not covered.
Analyst upside
SMCISMCI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | DELL | SMCI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +1.7% | +14.7% | SMCI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +114.3% | +44.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 17 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SMCI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SMCI | 39 vs 48 |
| Fundamentals | DELLon balance | revenue growth 31.3% vs 8.6%; EPS growth 52.7% vs 133.3%; TTM ROE -5.7% vs 25.1%; gross margin 19.8% vs 10.8%; operating margin 9.5% vs 7.1% — DELL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | SMCI | Value 59 vs 74 |
| Technicals | DELL | Price vs 50-day -5.4% vs -8.1%; vs 200-day 45.5% vs -0.1% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 34 vs 36 |
| Analyst expectations | SMCI | Target upside 1.7% vs 14.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DELL and SMCI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SMCI.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20SMCI lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SMCI +9
- 39 vs 48
- 7 sessions ago
- SMCI +12
- 38 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- SMCI +14
- 46 vs 60
- 90 sessions ago
- SMCI +6
- 57 vs 63
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jul 15 when SMCI moved ahead of DELL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
No signal that the other name lacks.
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only SMCI
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 4 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode, Keltner Channel Breakdown, MACD Bearish Crossover.
SMCI leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +5.27%, AIQ +1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +9.55%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1DELL closes the Value gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to SMCI's edge.
- 2DELL's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3SMCI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 9-point move would eliminate SMCI's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
DELL leads on balance| Metric | DELL | SMCI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 31.3% | 8.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 52.7% | 133.3% |
| Gross margin | 19.8% | 10.8% |
| Operating margin | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -5.7% | 25.1% |
| Debt to equity | -24.15 | 0.46 |
Performance
DELL leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | DELL | SMCI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -17.6% | -16.9% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -15.9% | -21.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.5% | 6.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 117.3% | 14.2% |
| Year to date | 266.7% | 10.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 205% | -39.7% |
Technicals
DELL has the stronger structure| Metric | DELL | SMCI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 32.8 | 27.4 |
| ADX (14) | 25.2 | 27.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | -5.4% | -8.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 45.5% | -0.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 59.9% | 59.9% |
Risk
Split| Metric | DELL | SMCI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.36 | 3.9 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.8 | -0.08 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.66 | -0.11 |
| Max drawdown | -32.6% | -62.7% |
| Current drawdown | -21.6% | -41% |
| Annualized volatility | 75.8% | 92.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6% | -7.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, DELL or SMCI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SMCI is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 48 against DELL's 39. The edge comes from value and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is DELL or SMCI the better buy right now?
SMCI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SMCI over DELL?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. SMCI leads Value by 15 points; SMCI leads Quality by 14 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, DELL or SMCI?
Analyst price targets imply +1.7% upside for DELL and +14.7% for SMCI, so the Street currently favors SMCI. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DELL or SMCI?
SMCI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SMCI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 15 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DELL or SMCI?
SMCI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DELL or SMCI?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DELL or SMCI?
The two are close on downside measures. Downside measures are level or not covered. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DELL more profitable than SMCI?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 19.8% vs 10.8%; operating margin 9.5% vs 7.1%; ttm roe -5.7% vs 25.1%. DELL leads on two measures and SMCI on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is SMCI's lead over DELL getting stronger or weaker?
SMCI lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 9 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-15, when SMCI moved ahead of DELL.
What would change the DELL vs SMCI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: DELL closes the Value gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to SMCI's edge; DELL's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; SMCI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 9-point move would eliminate SMCI's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about DELL and SMCI?
DELL: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. SMCI: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DELL is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SMCI it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare DELL and SMCI with others
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.