DHI vs NVR Stock Comparison
DHI currently leads NVR in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 53 vs 51. The clearest difference is value, while NVR has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between DHI and NVR?
DHI leads the current stock comparison as D.R. Horton, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
D.R. Horton, Inc. vs NVR, Inc.
DHI leads
DHI leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from NVR. Wall Street currently favors NVR on target upside.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support DHI, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
D.R. Horton, Inc.
NVR, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors DHI over NVR, 53 versus 51 as of Oct 21, 2026. DHI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while NVR holds the stronger quality profile. DHI also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors NVR. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor DHI today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. DHI lead: Reversed — NVR led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DHI now leads by 2.
Compare D.R. Horton, Inc. and NVR, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare DHI and NVR against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value58 vs 32DHI +26
- Quality48 vs 66NVR +18
- Risk Resilience64 vs 73NVR +9
- Momentum48 vs 42DHI +6
2 of 6 evidence groups favor DHI. DHI’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; NVR keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +31
New signals
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
DHI's lead narrowed by 6 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DHI and NVR both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
DHI (D.R. Horton, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
NVR (NVR, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, fundamentals.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
DHIDHI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
DHIDHI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
DHIDHI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 26 points.
Momentum
DHIDHI on the Momentum factor, by 6 points.
Lower downside
NVRNVR on Risk Resilience, by 9 points.
Analyst upside
NVRNVR on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors DHI, analyst targets favor NVR. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | DHI | NVR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +13% | +14.5% | NVR has more room |
| Target dispersion | +34.4% | +35.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor DHI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 53 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | NVRon balance | revenue growth 22.1% vs 23.7%; EPS growth 41.8% vs 22.6%; TTM ROE 12.8% vs 31%; gross margin 22.6% vs 22.2%; operating margin 11.6% vs 14.9% — NVR takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | DHI | Value 58 vs 32 |
| Technicals | DHI | Price vs 50-day -1.7% vs -4.6%; vs 200-day -5.2% vs -9.4% |
| Risk Resilience | NVR | Risk Resilience 64 vs 73 |
| Analyst expectations | NVR | Target upside 13% vs 14.5% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DHI and NVR and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on DHI.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20DHI lead: Reversed — NVR led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DHI now leads by 2.
- Today
- DHI +2
- 53 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- DHI +9
- 52 vs 43
- 30 sessions ago
- NVR +3
- 53 vs 56
- 90 sessions ago
- NVR +2
- 51 vs 53
The lead changed hands 10 times in this window, most recently on Oct 1 when DHI moved ahead of NVR.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
DHI and NVR carry the same 3 signals, so the signals do not separate them: Death Cross Active, Downtrend Structure Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
DHI leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.85%, AIQ +2 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 8 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.3%, AIQ +8 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1NVR closes the Value gap — currently 26 points behind, the largest single contributor to DHI's edge.
- 2NVR's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3DHI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
NVR leads on balance| Metric | DHI | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 22.1% | 23.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 41.8% | 22.6% |
| Gross margin | 22.6% | 22.2% |
| Operating margin | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 12.8% | 31% |
| Debt to equity | 0.3 | 0.31 |
Performance
DHI leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | DHI | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.7% | -5.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -13.6% | -13.8% |
| Year to date | -2.7% | -18% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -8.3% | -21.4% |
Technicals
DHI has the stronger structure| Metric | DHI | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55.3 | 43.1 |
| ADX (14) | 11.2 | 13.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.7% | -4.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -5.2% | -9.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 32.4% | 25.5% |
Risk
NVR is the more resilient| Metric | DHI | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.92 | 0.53 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.2 | -0.9 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.39 | -1.46 |
| Max drawdown | -21% | -31.3% |
| Current drawdown | -16.5% | -26.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 35.4% | 27.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.3% | -2.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, DHI or NVR?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, DHI is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 53 against NVR's 51. The edge comes from value and momentum. NVR is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is DHI or NVR the better buy right now?
DHI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor DHI over NVR?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. DHI leads Value by 26 points; NVR leads Quality by 18 points; NVR leads Risk Resilience by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, DHI or NVR?
Analyst price targets imply +13% upside for DHI and +14.5% for NVR, so the Street currently favors NVR. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors DHI. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DHI or NVR?
DHI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. DHI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 26 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DHI or NVR?
DHI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DHI or NVR?
DHI on the Momentum factor, by 6 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DHI or NVR?
NVR is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. NVR on Risk Resilience, by 9 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DHI more profitable than NVR?
NVR leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 22.6% vs 22.2%; operating margin 11.6% vs 14.9%; ttm roe 12.8% vs 31%.
Is DHI's lead over NVR getting stronger or weaker?
DHI lead: Reversed — NVR led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DHI now leads by 2. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 10 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-01, when DHI moved ahead of NVR.
What would change the DHI vs NVR verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: NVR closes the Value gap — currently 26 points behind, the largest single contributor to DHI's edge; NVR's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; DHI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about DHI and NVR?
DHI: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. NVR: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DHI is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On NVR it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare DHI and NVR with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.