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NVR, Inc. (NVR) Stock Analysis

NVR, Inc. (NVR) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

NVR Stock Analysis Summary

NVR, Inc. (NVR) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 73/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

NVR at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$5,900.00
AIQ Score53/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$16.94B
P/E Ratio (TTM)15.44
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$87.42
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$2.33B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta0.91
Volume43.95K
52-week range$5,501.01-$8,200.00
RSI 1441.5
50-Day SMA$6,172.39
200-Day SMA$6,593.44
Analyst Price Target$6,757.25
Next EarningsOct 22, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

NVRNVR, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Residential Construction

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$5,900.00−$77.67 (−1.30%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    51
  • Value
    32
  • Quality
    66
  • Risk resilience
    73
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

NVR Stock Analysis Summary

NVR, Inc. (NVR) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 73/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, NVR has AIQ Score of 53/100 with Risk resilience base of 73/100 and fading Value at 32/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (73/100) leads while Value (32/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · -1.30% stock move · NVR classified in Residential Construction.

Current Evidence

NeutralNVR is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 73/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is NVR Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

NVR currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 73/100, while Value is weakest at 32/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 66/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 73/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +14.53% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 32/100.
  • - Price is -10.52% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (31 vs 6).

Current Consensus

NVR's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 6 buy, 8 neutral, and 31 sell votes. NVR's 14-day RSI is 41.5, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. NVR's beta is 0.91, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in NVR?

The largest recent change in NVR is Momentum moving up by 43.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+10.0
Momentum
+43.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-2.0

What Would Change the NVR Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

NVR Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for NVR, Inc..

NVR, Inc. (NVR) Stock Analysis

NVR, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 53/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 73/100. Beta is 0.9, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextNVR is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 53/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 73/100 while value lags at 32/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 51/100 · Value 32/100 · Quality 66/100 · Risk 73/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 73/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 51/100 and RSI (14) is 41.5.

Regime fitWait

NVR is in a Neutral regime at 53/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 73/100 with beta 0.9 and annual volatility 27.54%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 73/100 while value lags at 32/100.

AIQ Score
53/100
Price
$5,900.00
Beta
0.9
RSI (14)
41.5

NVR Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

NVR Fundamentals

NVR valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$2.33B
Net income
$236.46M
Free cash flow
-$157.68M
View full NVR fundamental analysis

NVR Technical Analysis

NVR technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
41.5
Price vs SMA-50
-4.41%
View full NVR technical analysis

NVR Stock Catalysts

Track NVR earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 22, 2026
Analyst target
$6,757.25
News items
0
View NVR earnings and stock catalysts

NVR Dividend Analysis

NVR dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View NVR dividend history and analysis

NVR Financial Data

NVR revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$2.33B
EPS
$87.42
Periods
4
View NVR financials

NVR Risk Analysis

NVR volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.91
Risk score
73/100
1Y volatility
27.54%
View NVR risk analysis

NVR Stock News

NVR stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read NVR stock news

NVR vs Homebuilders Peers

Current peer cohort: NVR · PHM · TOL · CCS · DHI. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
NVR
Current stock
53/10032/10051/10073/100-0.9727.54%Current
PHM
PulteGroup
53/10056/10037/10071/100-0.2332.79%NVR vs PHM
TOL
Toll Brothers
54/10060/10041/10069/1000.0434.28%NVR vs TOL
CCS
Century Communities
45/10066/10027/10059/100-0.1241.96%NVR vs CCS
DHI
D.R. Horton
53/10058/10046/10064/100-0.2235.36%NVR vs DHI
Pairwise Compare links: PHM · TOL · CCS · DHINVR vs PHMNVR vs TOLNVR vs CCSNVR vs DHICompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a NVR stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
15.44
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
22.24%
Current debt / equity
0.31
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$2.33B
Quarter net income
$236.46M
Quarter free cash flow
-$157.68M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
41.5
MACD
-92.14

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
73/100
Beta
0.9
Annual volatility
27.54%
Max drawdown
-31.29%

NVR Stock FAQ

What is NVR stock price today?

NVR, Inc.'s current stock price is $5,900.00. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is NVR bullish or bearish right now?

NVR's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is NVR's market cap?

NVR's market cap is $16.94B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is NVR's current P/E ratio?

NVR's current P/E ratio is 15.44 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is NVR's RSI?

NVR's 14-day RSI is 41.5 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is NVR above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

NVR is -4.41% from its 50-day SMA and -10.52% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is NVR's next earnings date?

NVR's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 22, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does NVR pay a dividend?

NVR's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.