DHI vs PHM Stock Comparison
Compare DHI vs PHM on performance, valuation, growth, fundamentals, momentum and risk; the current AIQ evidence does not show a clear headline leader.
What is the main difference between DHI and PHM?
DHI and PHM are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
D.R. Horton, Inc. vs PulteGroup, Inc.
DHI and PHM are effectively level
DHI and PHM are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
D.R. Horton, Inc.
PulteGroup, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate DHI and PHM as of Oct 21, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare D.R. Horton, Inc. and PulteGroup, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare DHI and PHM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum48 vs 40DHI +8
- Risk Resilience64 vs 70PHM +6
- Quality48 vs 53PHM +5
- Value58 vs 56Even
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +11
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
DHI's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DHI and PHM both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
DHIDHI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
DHIDHI on the Momentum factor, by 8 points.
Lower downside
PHMPHM on Risk Resilience, by 6 points.
Analyst upside
PHMPHM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | DHI | PHM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +13% | +23.2% | PHM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +34.4% | +40.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | DHI | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 17.88% | 12.97% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.725 | $0.500 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $1.650 | $0.920 |
| Years increased | 5 | 5 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #19 | #52 |
DHI grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 17.88% a year against PHM's 12.97%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 53 vs 53 |
| Fundamentals | PHMon balance | revenue growth 22.1% vs 16.9%; EPS growth 41.8% vs 35.9%; TTM ROE 12.8% vs 14.7%; gross margin 22.6% vs 24.5%; operating margin 11.6% vs 14.6% — PHM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 58 vs 56 |
| Technicals | DHI | Price vs 50-day -1.7% vs -6.4%; vs 200-day -5.2% vs -7.8% |
| Risk Resilience | PHM | Risk Resilience 64 vs 70 |
| Analyst expectations | PHM | Target upside 13% vs 23.2% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 0 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20PHM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 53 vs 53
- 7 sessions ago
- DHI +2
- 52 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- PHM +1
- 53 vs 54
- 90 sessions ago
- PHM +5
- 51 vs 56
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Oct 15 when DHI moved ahead of PHM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
DHI and PHM carry the same 3 signals, so the signals do not separate them: Death Cross Active, Downtrend Structure Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.85%, AIQ +2 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 3 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.43%, AIQ +3 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
PHM leads on balance| Metric | DHI | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 22.1% | 16.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 41.8% | 35.9% |
| Gross margin | 22.6% | 24.5% |
| Operating margin | 11.6% | 14.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 12.8% | 14.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.3 | 0.18 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | DHI | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.7% | -6.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -1.6% | -9.6% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -13.6% | -11% |
| Year to date | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -8.3% | -7.5% |
Technicals
DHI has the stronger structure| Metric | DHI | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55.3 | 47 |
| ADX (14) | 11.2 | 18.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.7% | -6.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | -5.2% | -7.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 32.4% | 29.5% |
Risk
PHM is the more resilient| Metric | DHI | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.2 | -0.21 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.39 | -0.41 |
| Max drawdown | -21% | -23.3% |
| Current drawdown | -16.5% | -19.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 35.4% | 32.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.3% | -3.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, DHI or PHM?
Analyst price targets imply +13% upside for DHI and +23.2% for PHM, so the Street currently favors PHM. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DHI or PHM?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DHI or PHM?
DHI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DHI or PHM?
DHI on the Momentum factor, by 8 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DHI or PHM?
PHM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PHM on Risk Resilience, by 6 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DHI more profitable than PHM?
PHM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 22.6% vs 24.5%; operating margin 11.6% vs 14.6%; ttm roe 12.8% vs 14.7%.
What do the current signals say about DHI and PHM?
DHI: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. PHM: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DHI is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On PHM it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare DHI and PHM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.