Current stock page

Stock Analysis

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Stock Analysis

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

PHM Stock Analysis Summary

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 71/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 37/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

PHM at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$112.89
AIQ Score53/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$23.77B
P/E Ratio (TTM)12.53
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$2.46
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$3.98B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.81%
Beta1.21
Volume3.86M
52-week range$107.16-$144.50
RSI 1443.51
50-Day SMA$120.28
200-Day SMA$124.22
Analyst Price Target$139.12
Next EarningsOct 22, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

PHMPulteGroup, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Residential Construction

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$112.89−$1.64 (−1.43%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    37
  • Value
    56
  • Quality
    53
  • Risk resilience
    71
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

PHM Stock Analysis Summary

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 71/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 37/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, PHM has AIQ Score of 53/100 with Risk resilience base of 71/100 and fading Momentum at 37/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (71/100) leads while Momentum (37/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · -1.43% stock move · PHM classified in Residential Construction.

Current Evidence

NeutralPHM is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 71/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is PHM Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

PHM currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 71/100, while Momentum is weakest at 37/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 71/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +23.24% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 37/100.
  • - Price is -9.12% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (29 vs 7).

Current Consensus

PHM's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 7 buy, 9 neutral, and 29 sell votes. PHM's 14-day RSI is 43.51, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. PHM's beta is 1.21, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in PHM?

The largest recent change in PHM is Momentum moving up by 13.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+3.0
Momentum
+13.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-1.0

What Would Change the PHM Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

PHM Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for PulteGroup, Inc..

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Stock Analysis

PulteGroup, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 53/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 71/100. Beta is 1.16, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextPHM is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 53/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 71/100 while momentum lags at 37/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 37/100 · Value 56/100 · Quality 53/100 · Risk 71/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 71/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 37/100 and RSI (14) is 43.5.

Regime fitWait

PHM is in a Neutral regime at 53/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 71/100 with beta 1.16 and annual volatility 32.79%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 71/100 while momentum lags at 37/100.

AIQ Score
53/100
Price
$112.89
Beta
1.16
RSI (14)
43.5

PHM Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

PHM Fundamentals

PHM valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$3.98B
Net income
$472M
Free cash flow
-$12.85M
View full PHM fundamental analysis

PHM Technical Analysis

PHM technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
43.51
Price vs SMA-50
-6.14%
View full PHM technical analysis

PHM Stock Catalysts

Track PHM earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 22, 2026
Analyst target
$139.12
News items
0
View PHM earnings and stock catalysts

PHM Dividend Analysis

PHM dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.92%
Annual dividend
$1.04
Payout ratio
9.88%
View PHM dividend history and analysis

PHM Financial Data

PHM revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$3.98B
EPS
$2.46
Periods
3
View PHM financials

PHM Risk Analysis

PHM volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.21
Risk score
71/100
1Y volatility
32.79%
View PHM risk analysis

PHM Stock News

PHM stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read PHM stock news

PHM vs Homebuilders Peers

Current peer cohort: PHM · TOL · CCS · DHI · FIG. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
PHM
Current stock
53/10056/10037/10071/100-0.2332.79%Current
TOL
Toll Brothers
54/10060/10041/10069/1000.0434.28%PHM vs TOL
CCS
Century Communities
45/10066/10027/10059/100-0.1241.96%PHM vs CCS
DHI
D.R. Horton
53/10058/10046/10064/100-0.2235.36%PHM vs DHI
FIG
Forestar Group
47/10026/10050/10057/100-0.8774.73%PHM vs FIG
Pairwise Compare links: TOL · CCS · DHI · FIGPHM vs TOLPHM vs CCSPHM vs DHIPHM vs FIGCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a PHM stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
12.53
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
24.46%
Current debt / equity
0.18
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$3.98B
Quarter net income
$472M
Quarter free cash flow
-$12.85M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
43.51
MACD
-2.21

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
71/100
Beta
1.16
Annual volatility
32.79%
Max drawdown
-23.30%

PHM Stock FAQ

What is PHM stock price today?

PulteGroup, Inc.'s current stock price is $112.89. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is PHM bullish or bearish right now?

PHM's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is PHM's market cap?

PHM's market cap is $23.77B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is PHM's current P/E ratio?

PHM's current P/E ratio is 12.53 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is PHM's RSI?

PHM's 14-day RSI is 43.51 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is PHM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

PHM is -6.14% from its 50-day SMA and -9.12% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is PHM's next earnings date?

PHM's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 22, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does PHM pay a dividend?

PHM's dividend yield is 0.81% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.