DOCU vs ESTC Stock Comparison
ESTC currently leads DOCU in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 72 vs 71. The clearest difference is quality, while DOCU has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between DOCU and ESTC?
ESTC leads the current stock comparison as Elastic N.V., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
DocuSign, Inc. vs Elastic N.V.
ESTC leads
ESTC leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 6 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support ESTC, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
DocuSign, Inc.
Elastic N.V.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ESTC over DOCU, 72 versus 71 as of Oct 31, 2026. ESTC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while DOCU holds the stronger value profile. ESTC also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ESTC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. ESTC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 6 to 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare DocuSign, Inc. and Elastic N.V. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare DOCU and ESTC against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality75 vs 95ESTC +20
- Value68 vs 49DOCU +19
- Risk Resilience53 vs 61ESTC +8
- Momentum82 vs 77DOCU +5
2 of 6 evidence groups favor ESTC. ESTC’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; DOCU keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 8 active signals are unchanged.
ESTC's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DOCU and ESTC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ESTC (Elastic N.V.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
DOCU (DocuSign, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, momentum, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ESTCESTC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
DOCUDOCU on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
DOCUDOCU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 19 points.
Momentum
DOCUDOCU on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.
Lower downside
ESTCESTC on Risk Resilience, by 8 points.
Analyst upside
ESTCESTC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | DOCU | ESTC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -19.1% | -10% | ESTC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +30.1% | +74.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ESTC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 71 vs 72 |
| Fundamentals | DOCUon balance | EPS growth -11.1% vs -103.8%; TTM ROE 16.4% vs 35.3%; gross margin 79.4% vs 75.5%; operating margin 10.6% vs -1.5% — DOCU takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | DOCU | Value 68 vs 49 |
| Technicals | DOCU | Price vs 50-day 17.4% vs 6.1%; vs 200-day 53.7% vs 59% |
| Risk Resilience | ESTC | Risk Resilience 53 vs 61 |
| Analyst expectations | ESTC | Target upside -19.1% vs -10% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DOCU and ESTC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ESTC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28ESTC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 6 to 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ESTC +1
- 71 vs 72
- 7 sessions ago
- DOCU +1
- 71 vs 70
- 30 sessions ago
- ESTC +6
- 65 vs 71
- 90 sessions ago
- ESTC +4
- 66 vs 70
The lead changed hands 7 times in this window, most recently on Oct 19 when DOCU moved ahead of ESTC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only DOCU
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
6 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only ESTC
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.89%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Both carry 6 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, Keltner Channel Breakout, EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish, 52-Week High Proximity, Uptrend Structure Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
ESTC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.77%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -5.83%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1DOCU closes the Quality gap — currently 20 points behind, the largest single contributor to ESTC's edge.
- 2DOCU's RSI Overbought resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3ESTC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate ESTC's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
DOCU leads on balance| Metric | DOCU | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.8% | 6.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -11.1% | -103.8% |
| Gross margin | 79.4% | 75.5% |
| Operating margin | 10.6% | -1.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 16.4% | 35.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.1 | 0.02 |
Performance
ESTC leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | DOCU | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 2.6% | 7.9% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 24.5% | 16.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 54% | 65.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 78.2% | 122.8% |
| Year to date | 22% | 35.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 16.9% | 20.8% |
Technicals
DOCU has the stronger structure| Metric | DOCU | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 74.1 | 65.1 |
| ADX (14) | 40.6 | 41.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | 17.4% | 6.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 53.7% | 59% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 39.5% | 43.8% |
Risk
ESTC is the more resilient| Metric | DOCU | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.44 | 1.16 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.78 | 0.8 |
| Max drawdown | -42.9% | -54.2% |
| Current drawdown | -2% | 0% |
| Annualized volatility | 48.4% | 57.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5% | -5.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, DOCU or ESTC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ESTC is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 72 against DOCU's 71. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. DOCU is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is DOCU or ESTC the better buy right now?
ESTC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ESTC over DOCU?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ESTC leads Quality by 20 points; DOCU leads Value by 19 points; ESTC leads Risk Resilience by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, DOCU or ESTC?
Analyst price targets imply -19.1% upside for DOCU and -10% for ESTC, so the Street currently favors ESTC. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DOCU or ESTC?
DOCU is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. DOCU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 19 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DOCU or ESTC?
DOCU on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DOCU or ESTC?
DOCU on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DOCU or ESTC?
ESTC is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ESTC on Risk Resilience, by 8 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DOCU more profitable than ESTC?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 79.4% vs 75.5%; operating margin 10.6% vs -1.5%; ttm roe 16.4% vs 35.3%. DOCU leads on two measures and ESTC on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ESTC's lead over DOCU getting stronger or weaker?
ESTC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 6 to 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands 7 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-19, when DOCU moved ahead of ESTC.
What would change the DOCU vs ESTC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: DOCU closes the Quality gap — currently 20 points behind, the largest single contributor to ESTC's edge; DOCU's RSI Overbought resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; ESTC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate ESTC's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about DOCU and ESTC?
DOCU: 6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. ESTC: 6 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DOCU is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ESTC it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare DOCU and ESTC with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.