DOX vs ESTC Stock Comparison
ESTC currently leads DOX in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 69 vs 65. The clearest difference is quality, while DOX has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between DOX and ESTC?
ESTC leads the current stock comparison as Elastic N.V., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Amdocs Limited vs Elastic N.V.
ESTC leads
ESTC leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 14 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors DOX on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support ESTC, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Amdocs Limited
Elastic N.V.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ESTC over DOX, 69 versus 65 as of Oct 21, 2026. ESTC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while DOX holds the stronger value profile. ESTC also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors DOX. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ESTC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. ESTC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Amdocs Limited and Elastic N.V. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare DOX and ESTC against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality56 vs 95ESTC +39
- Value74 vs 49DOX +25
- Momentum73 vs 66DOX +7
- Risk Resilience54 vs 59ESTC +5
3 of 6 evidence groups favor ESTC. ESTC’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; DOX keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +5
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -2, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
ESTC's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DOX and ESTC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ESTC (Elastic N.V.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
DOX (Amdocs Limited): the counter-case, on value, momentum, valuation.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ESTCESTC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
DOXDOX on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
DOXDOX on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points.
Momentum
DOXDOX on the Momentum factor, by 7 points.
Lower downside
ESTCESTC on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
DOXDOX on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ESTC, analyst targets favor DOX. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | DOX | ESTC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +15.3% | -11.3% | DOX has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +74.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ESTC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ESTC | 65 vs 69 |
| Fundamentals | Even | EPS growth -54.3% vs -103.8%; TTM ROE 13.5% vs 35.3%; gross margin 37.8% vs 75.5%; operating margin 17.5% vs -1.5% |
| Valuation | DOX | Value 74 vs 49 |
| Technicals | ESTC | Price vs 50-day 2.7% vs 10.7%; vs 200-day -4.3% vs 44.5% |
| Risk Resilience | ESTC | Risk Resilience 54 vs 59 |
| Analyst expectations | DOX | Target upside 15.3% vs -11.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DOX and ESTC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ESTC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20ESTC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ESTC +4
- 65 vs 69
- 7 sessions ago
- ESTC +7
- 65 vs 72
- 30 sessions ago
- ESTC +14
- 54 vs 68
- 90 sessions ago
- ESTC +12
- 61 vs 73
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only DOX
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (5.78%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only ESTC
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (34.85%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.46%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ESTC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.31%, AIQ +1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +3.33%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1DOX closes the Quality gap — currently 39 points behind, the largest single contributor to ESTC's edge.
- 2DOX's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3ESTC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 10 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate ESTC's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | DOX | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 0.2% | 6.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -54.3% | -103.8% |
| Gross margin | 37.8% | 75.5% |
| Operating margin | 17.5% | -1.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 13.5% | 35.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.33 | 0.02 |
Performance
ESTC leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | DOX | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 4% | 1.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 4.5% | 7.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 16% | 63% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -7.5% | 97.6% |
| Year to date | -23.7% | 26.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -25.6% | 18.7% |
Technicals
ESTC has the stronger structure| Metric | DOX | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 73.3 | 56.4 |
| ADX (14) | 20.9 | 33.2 |
| Price vs 50-day | 2.7% | 10.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | -4.3% | 44.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 20.3% | 42.8% |
Risk
ESTC is the more resilient| Metric | DOX | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.28 | 1.15 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.03 | 0.51 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.37 | 0.71 |
| Max drawdown | -41.7% | -54.2% |
| Current drawdown | -28.2% | -4.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 29.1% | 57.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.9% | -5.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, DOX or ESTC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ESTC is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 69 against DOX's 65. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. DOX is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is DOX or ESTC the better buy right now?
ESTC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ESTC over DOX?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ESTC leads Quality by 39 points; DOX leads Value by 25 points; DOX leads Momentum by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, DOX or ESTC?
Analyst price targets imply +15.3% upside for DOX and -11.3% for ESTC, so the Street currently favors DOX. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ESTC. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DOX or ESTC?
DOX is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. DOX on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DOX or ESTC?
DOX on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DOX or ESTC?
DOX on the Momentum factor, by 7 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DOX or ESTC?
ESTC is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ESTC on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DOX more profitable than ESTC?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 37.8% vs 75.5%; operating margin 17.5% vs -1.5%; ttm roe 13.5% vs 35.3%. DOX leads on one measure and ESTC on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ESTC's lead over DOX getting stronger or weaker?
ESTC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the DOX vs ESTC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: DOX closes the Quality gap — currently 39 points behind, the largest single contributor to ESTC's edge; DOX's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; ESTC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 10 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate ESTC's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about DOX and ESTC?
DOX: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. ESTC: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DOX is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On ESTC it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare DOX and ESTC with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.