MGM vs TKO Stock Comparison
MGM currently leads TKO in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 42 vs 40. The clearest difference is value, while TKO has the stronger momentum profile.
What is the main difference between MGM and TKO?
MGM leads the current stock comparison as MGM Resorts International, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
MGM Resorts International vs TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
MGM leads
MGM leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Value, but the lead has narrowed from 8 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support MGM, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
MGM Resorts International
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MGM over TKO, 42 versus 40 as of Oct 22, 2026. MGM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while TKO holds the stronger momentum profile. MGM also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MGM today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. MGM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 2 points over 30 sessions.
Compare MGM Resorts International and TKO Group Holdings, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare MGM and TKO against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value64 vs 30MGM +34
- Momentum26 vs 43TKO +17
- Risk Resilience38 vs 55TKO +17
- Quality37 vs 39Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor MGM. MGM’s edge is concentrated in value; TKO keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +6
New signals
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
MGM's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MGM and TKO both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MGM (MGM Resorts International): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
TKO (TKO Group Holdings, Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, risk resilience, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MGMMGM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MGMMGM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MGMMGM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 34 points.
Momentum
TKOTKO on the Momentum factor, by 17 points.
Lower downside
TKOTKO on Risk Resilience, by 17 points.
Analyst upside
MGMMGM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MGM | TKO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +61.1% | +28.1% | MGM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +53.7% | +13.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MGM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 42 vs 40 |
| Fundamentals | Even | EPS growth 128.6% vs 17.2%; TTM ROE 17% vs 6.4%; gross margin 44.2% vs 54.1%; operating margin 5.7% vs 20% |
| Valuation | MGM | Value 64 vs 30 |
| Technicals | TKO | Price vs 50-day -22.4% vs -4.4%; vs 200-day -26.5% vs -7.6% |
| Risk Resilience | TKO | Risk Resilience 38 vs 55 |
| Analyst expectations | MGM | Target upside 61.1% vs 28.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MGM and TKO and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MGM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20MGM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 2 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- MGM +2
- 42 vs 40
- 7 sessions ago
- MGM +5
- 42 vs 37
- 30 sessions ago
- MGM +8
- 42 vs 34
- 90 sessions ago
- MGM +1
- 47 vs 46
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 20 when MGM moved ahead of TKO.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only MGM
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.56%)
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted
No signal that the other name lacks.
Both carry 4 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, 52-Week Low Proximity, Downtrend Structure Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
MGM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.1%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.95%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TKO closes the Value gap — currently 34 points behind, the largest single contributor to MGM's edge.
- 2TKO's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3MGM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 2-point move would eliminate MGM's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | MGM | TKO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.1% | -3.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 128.6% | 17.2% |
| Gross margin | 44.2% | 54.1% |
| Operating margin | 5.7% | 20% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17% | 6.4% |
| Debt to equity | 11.87 | 1.46 |
Performance
TKO leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | MGM | TKO |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -1.7% | 3.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -25.7% | -4.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -36.5% | -1.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -25.9% | -1.9% |
| Year to date | -20.6% | -14% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -8.8% | -4.4% |
Technicals
TKO has the stronger structure| Metric | MGM | TKO |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 28.9 | 49.9 |
| ADX (14) | 60.2 | 24.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | -22.4% | -4.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | -26.5% | -7.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 42.8% | 25% |
Risk
TKO is the more resilient| Metric | MGM | TKO |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.84 | 0.44 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.14 | -0.13 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.23 | -0.21 |
| Max drawdown | -43.8% | -23.4% |
| Current drawdown | -43% | -20.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 39% | 31.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.2% | -3.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MGM or TKO?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MGM is the stronger of the two as of Oct 22, 2026, scoring 42 against TKO's 40. The edge comes from value. TKO is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MGM or TKO the better buy right now?
MGM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 22, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MGM over TKO?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MGM leads Value by 34 points; TKO leads Momentum by 17 points; TKO leads Risk Resilience by 17 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MGM or TKO?
Analyst price targets imply +61.1% upside for MGM and +28.1% for TKO, so the Street currently favors MGM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MGM or TKO?
MGM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MGM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 34 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MGM or TKO?
MGM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MGM or TKO?
TKO on the Momentum factor, by 17 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MGM or TKO?
TKO is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TKO on Risk Resilience, by 17 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MGM more profitable than TKO?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 44.2% vs 54.1%; operating margin 5.7% vs 20%; ttm roe 17% vs 6.4%. MGM leads on one measure and TKO on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is MGM's lead over TKO getting stronger or weaker?
MGM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 2 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-20, when MGM moved ahead of TKO.
What would change the MGM vs TKO verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TKO closes the Value gap — currently 34 points behind, the largest single contributor to MGM's edge; TKO's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; MGM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 2-point move would eliminate MGM's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about MGM and TKO?
MGM: 2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. TKO: 1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MGM is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TKO it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare MGM and TKO with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.