MGY vs OKE Stock Comparison
Compare MGY and OKE across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between MGY and OKE?
MGY leads the current stock comparison as Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation vs ONEOK, Inc.
MGY leads
MGY leads by 10 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support MGY, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
ONEOK, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MGY over OKE, 59 versus 49 as of Sep 11, 2026. MGY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while OKE holds the stronger momentum profile. MGY also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MGY today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. MGY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 10 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation and ONEOK, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare MGY and OKE against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality74 vs 35MGY +39
- Momentum58 vs 65OKE +7
- Value46 vs 50OKE +4
- Risk Resilience55 vs 51MGY +4
4 of 6 evidence groups favor MGY. MGY’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; OKE keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -6
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
New signals
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
MGY's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MGY and OKE both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MGY (Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
OKE (ONEOK, Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, value, valuation.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MGYMGY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MGYMGY on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
OKEOKE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 4 points.
Momentum
OKEOKE on the Momentum factor, by 7 points.
Lower downside
MGYMGY on Risk Resilience, by 4 points.
Analyst upside
MGYMGY on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MGY | OKE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +20.8% | +0.8% | MGY has more room |
| Target dispersion | +26.8% | +20.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MGY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | MGY | 59 vs 49 |
| Fundamentals | MGY | revenue growth 33.6% vs 25.3%; EPS growth 79.6% vs 24.4%; TTM ROE 21.1% vs 16.3%; gross margin 57.6% vs 21.8%; operating margin 38% vs 18.5% |
| Valuation | OKE | Value 46 vs 50 |
| Technicals | OKE | Price vs 50-day 6.2% vs 4.8%; vs 200-day 4.2% vs 12.2% |
| Risk Resilience | MGY | Risk Resilience 55 vs 51 |
| Analyst expectations | MGY | Target upside 20.8% vs 0.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MGY and OKE and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 10 points.
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MGY.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10MGY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 10 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- MGY +10
- 59 vs 49
- 7 sessions ago
- MGY +12
- 60 vs 48
- 30 sessions ago
- MGY +9
- 62 vs 53
- 90 sessions ago
- MGY +1
- 52 vs 51
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.75%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (8.01%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
MGY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.18%, AIQ -1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.94%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1OKE closes the Quality gap — currently 39 points behind, the largest single contributor to MGY's edge.
- 2OKE's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3MGY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MGY leads on balance| Metric | MGY | OKE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 33.6% | 25.3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 79.6% | 24.4% |
| Gross margin | 57.6% | 21.8% |
| Operating margin | 38% | 18.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 21.1% | 16.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.18 | 1.44 |
Performance
OKE leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | MGY | OKE |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.2% | -0.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -0.4% | 5.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -4.7% | 11.6% |
| Year to date | 26.5% | 30.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 18.2% | 32.9% |
Technicals
OKE has the stronger structure| Metric | MGY | OKE |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 45.5 | 54.4 |
| ADX (14) | 9.7 | 20.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4.2% | 12.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 30.1% | 22.7% |
Risk
MGY is the more resilient| Metric | MGY | OKE |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.43 | -0.46 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.57 | 1.06 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.83 | 1.51 |
| Max drawdown | -27.7% | -13% |
| Current drawdown | -14.4% | -1.8% |
| Annualized volatility | 32.8% | 27% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.3% | -2.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MGY or OKE?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MGY is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 59 against OKE's 49. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. OKE is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MGY or OKE the better buy right now?
MGY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MGY over OKE?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MGY leads Quality by 39 points; OKE leads Momentum by 7 points; OKE leads Value by 4 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MGY or OKE?
Analyst price targets imply +20.8% upside for MGY and +0.8% for OKE, so the Street currently favors MGY. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MGY or OKE?
OKE is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. OKE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 4 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MGY or OKE?
MGY on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MGY or OKE?
OKE on the Momentum factor, by 7 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MGY or OKE?
MGY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MGY on Risk Resilience, by 4 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MGY more profitable than OKE?
MGY leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 57.6% vs 21.8%; operating margin 38% vs 18.5%; ttm roe 21.1% vs 16.3%.
Is MGY's lead over OKE getting stronger or weaker?
MGY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 10 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the MGY vs OKE verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: OKE closes the Quality gap — currently 39 points behind, the largest single contributor to MGY's edge; OKE's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; MGY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about MGY and OKE?
MGY: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. OKE: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MGY is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On OKE it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare MGY and OKE with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.