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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Stock Analysis

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

MGY Stock Analysis Summary

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) currently has an AIQ Score of 59/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 74/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

MGY at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$27.75
AIQ Score59/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$6.56B
P/E Ratio11.98
Forward P/E
EPS$0.97
Revenue TTM$478.81M
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.7
Volume3.68M
52-week range$21.07-$32.76
RSI 1446.61
50-Day SMA$26.19
200-Day SMA$26.62
Analyst Price Target$33.53
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

MGY

Overview
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
Energy· Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 9/10
Relative Leader / Watch
Strong Relative Position
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$27.75
+$0.05 (+0.18%)
Latest market quote
Momentum59
Value46
Quality74
Risk Resilience56
Sentiment64
View financial data

MGY Stock Analysis Summary

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) currently has an AIQ Score of 59/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 74/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, MGY has AIQ Score of 59/100 with Quality base of 74/100 and fading Value at 46/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (74/100) leads while Value (46/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Energy · 0.18% stock move · MGY classified in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.

Current Evidence

NeutralMGY is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 74/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is MGY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

MGY currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 74/100, while Value is weakest at 46/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 74/100.
  • - Price is +5.95% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +20.83% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (34 vs 4).
Bear Case
  • - No strong bearish evidence is available in the current snapshot.

Current Consensus

MGY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 34 buy, 7 neutral, and 4 sell votes. MGY's 14-day RSI is 46.61, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. MGY's beta is 0.7, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in MGY?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
59/100
Momentum
59/100
Quality
74/100
Risk
56/100

What Would Change the MGY Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

MGY Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Stock Analysis

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation has an AIQ Score of 59/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 74/100. Beta is 0.7, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextMGY is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 59/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 74/100 while value lags at 46/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 59/100 · Value 46/100 · Quality 74/100 · Risk 56/100 · Sentiment 64/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 74/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 59/100 and RSI (14) is 46.6.

Regime fitWait

MGY is in a Neutral regime at 59/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 56/100 with beta 0.7 and annual volatility 32.56%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 74/100 while value lags at 46/100.

AIQ Score
59/100
Price
$27.75
Beta
0.7
RSI (14)
46.6

MGY Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

MGY Fundamentals

MGY valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$478.81M
Net income
$181.78M
Free cash flow
$258.9M
View full MGY fundamental analysis

MGY Technical Analysis

MGY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
46.61
Price vs SMA-50
+5.95%
View full MGY technical analysis

MGY Stock Catalysts

Track MGY earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$33.53
News items
5
View MGY earnings and stock catalysts

MGY Dividend Analysis

MGY dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.38%
Annual dividend
$0.66
Payout ratio
View MGY dividend history and analysis

MGY Financial Data

MGY revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$478.81M
EPS
$0.97
Periods
7
View MGY financials

MGY Risk Analysis

MGY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.7
Risk score
56/100
1Y volatility
32.56%
View MGY risk analysis

MGY Stock News

MGY stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
64/100
Read MGY stock news

MGY vs Oil Majors & E&P Peers

Current peer cohort: MGY · MTDR · OKE · OXY · PR. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
MGY
Current stock
59/10046/10059/10056/1000.4532.56%Current
MTDR
Matador Resources
55/10061/10072/10052/1000.6241.79%MGY vs MTDR
OKE
ONEOK
51/10050/10073/10051/1001.0226.93%MGY vs OKE
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
57/10049/10062/10053/1000.8735.31%MGY vs OXY
PR
Permian Resources
53/10040/10062/10049/1001.633.33%MGY vs PR
Pairwise Compare links: MTDR · OKE · OXY · PRMGY vs MTDRMGY vs OKEMGY vs OXYMGY vs PRCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a MGY stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
12.03
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
33.56%
Gross margin
57.59%
Current debt / equity
0.18
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$478.81M
Quarter net income
$181.78M
Quarter free cash flow
$258.9M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
46.61
MACD
0.4

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
56/100
Beta
0.7
Annual volatility
32.56%
Max drawdown
-27.69%

MGY Stock FAQ

What is MGY stock price today?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation's current stock price is $27.75. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is MGY bullish or bearish right now?

MGY's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is MGY's market cap?

MGY's market cap is $6.56B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is MGY's current P/E ratio?

MGY's current P/E ratio is 11.98 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is MGY's RSI?

MGY's 14-day RSI is 46.61 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is MGY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

MGY is 5.95% from its 50-day SMA and 4.25% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is MGY's next earnings date?

MGY's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does MGY pay a dividend?

MGY's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.