Stock Analysis
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Stock Analysis
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) currently has an AIQ Score of 63/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 74/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
MGY at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $26.50 |
| AIQ Score | 63/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Buy |
| Market Cap | $6.56B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 12.03 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $0.97 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $478.81M |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 2.39% |
| Beta | 0.7 |
| Volume | 2.39M |
| 52-week range | $21.07-$32.76 |
| RSI 14 | 73.04 |
| 50-Day SMA | $25.76 |
| 200-Day SMA | $27.07 |
| Analyst Price Target | $33.44 |
| Next Earnings | Nov 4, 2026 |
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
Energy / Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Relative Leader / Watch
Strong Relative Position
Latest quote
- Momentum72
- Value46
- Quality74
- Risk resilience58
- Sentiment64
MGY Stock Analysis Summary
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) currently has an AIQ Score of 63/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 74/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, MGY has AIQ Score of 63/100 with Quality base of 74/100 and fading Value at 46/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (74/100) leads while Value (46/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Energy · 1.07% stock move · MGY classified in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is MGY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
MGY currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 74/100, while Value is weakest at 46/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 74/100.
- - Momentum is constructive at 72/100.
- - Price is +1.78% above its 50-day SMA.
- - Analyst target implies +26.19% upside from the latest quote.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (33 vs 6).
- - Price is -3.13% below its 200-day SMA.
Current Consensus
MGY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 33 buy, 6 neutral, and 6 sell votes. MGY's 14-day RSI is 73.04, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. MGY's beta is 0.7, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in MGY?
The largest recent change in MGY is Momentum moving up by 16.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the MGY Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
MGY Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Stock Analysis
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation has an AIQ Score of 63/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 74/100. Beta is 0.7, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | MGY is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 63/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 74/100 while value lags at 46/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 72/100 · Value 46/100 · Quality 74/100 · Risk 58/100 · Sentiment 64/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 74/100.
Momentum is 72/100 and RSI (14) is 73.0.
MGY is in a Neutral regime at 63/100.
Risk factor is 58/100 with beta 0.7 and annual volatility 33.21%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 74/100 while value lags at 46/100.
MGY Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
MGY Fundamentals
MGY valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
MGY Technical Analysis
MGY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
MGY Stock Catalysts
Track MGY earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
MGY Dividend Analysis
MGY dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
MGY Financial Data
MGY revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
MGY Risk Analysis
MGY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
MGY Stock News
MGY stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
MGY vs Oil Majors & E&P Peers
Current peer cohort: MGY · MTDR · OKE · OXY · PR. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGY Current stock | 63/100 | 46/100 | 72/100 | 58/100 | 0.44 | 33.21% | Current |
| MTDR Matador Resources | 56/100 | 61/100 | 80/100 | 48/100 | 1.11 | 41.21% | MGY vs MTDR |
| OKE ONEOK | 53/100 | 50/100 | 78/100 | 52/100 | 1.29 | 27.47% | MGY vs OKE |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum | 60/100 | 49/100 | 76/100 | 52/100 | 1.33 | 34.79% | MGY vs OXY |
| PR Permian Resources | 57/100 | 40/100 | 79/100 | 49/100 | 2.19 | 33.52% | MGY vs PR |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 31, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching MGY
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for MGY
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
MGY Stock FAQ
What is MGY stock price today?
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation's current stock price is $26.50. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is MGY bullish or bearish right now?
MGY's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is MGY's market cap?
MGY's market cap is $6.56B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is MGY's current P/E ratio?
MGY's current P/E ratio is 12.03 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is MGY's RSI?
MGY's 14-day RSI is 73.04 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is MGY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
MGY is 1.78% from its 50-day SMA and -3.13% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is MGY's next earnings date?
MGY's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does MGY pay a dividend?
MGY's dividend yield is 2.39% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.