MHO vs PHM Stock Comparison
Compare MHO and PHM across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between MHO and PHM?
MHO leads the current stock comparison as M/I Homes, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
M/I Homes, Inc. vs PulteGroup, Inc.
MHO leads
MHO leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support MHO, and its current signal state is conflicted.
M/I Homes, Inc.
PulteGroup, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MHO over PHM, 53 versus 52 as of Sep 6, 2026. MHO's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while PHM holds the stronger risk resilience profile. MHO also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MHO today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. MHO lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare M/I Homes, Inc. and PulteGroup, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare MHO and PHM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience15%61 vs 72PHM +11
- Value30%66 vs 56MHO +10
- Momentum25%42 vs 33MHO +9
- Quality30%45 vs 53PHM +8
2 of 6 evidence groups favor MHO. MHO’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; PHM keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
MHO's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MHO and PHM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MHO (M/I Homes, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
PHM (PulteGroup, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MHOMHO on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
PHMPHM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MHOMHO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
MHOMHO on the Momentum factor, by 9 points.
Lower downside
PHMPHM on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MHO | PHM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +16% | +15.5% | Level |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +34.8% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MHO. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 53 vs 52 |
| Fundamentals | PHM | revenue growth 15.5% vs 16.9%; EPS growth 18% vs 35.9%; TTM ROE 10% vs 14.7%; gross margin 21.5% vs 24.5%; operating margin 9.4% vs 14.6% |
| Valuation | MHO | Value 66 vs 56 |
| Technicals | MHO | Price vs 50-day -1.7% vs -3.4%; vs 200-day 7.8% vs -0.6% |
| Risk Resilience | PHM | Risk Resilience 61 vs 72 |
| Analyst expectations | Even | Target upside 16% vs 15.5% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MHO and PHM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MHO.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 24 – Sep 5MHO lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- MHO +1
- 53 vs 52
- 7 sessions ago
- Level
- 53 vs 53
- 30 sessions ago
- MHO +1
- 59 vs 58
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 62 vs 62
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Jul 21 when PHM moved ahead of MHO.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (9.61%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (2.85%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
MHO leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.53%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.11%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1PHM closes the Value gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to MHO's edge.
- 2PHM's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3MHO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
PHM leads on balance| Metric | MHO | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 15.5% | 16.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 18% | 35.9% |
| Gross margin | 21.5% | 24.5% |
| Operating margin | 9.4% | 14.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 10% | 14.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.31 | 0.18 |
Performance
MHO leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | MHO | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.1% | -3.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.5% | -6.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 8% | 5.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 9.3% | -2.7% |
| Year to date | 15.9% | 6.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 0% | -6.5% |
Technicals
MHO has the stronger structure| Metric | MHO | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 45 | 42.2 |
| ADX (14) | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.7% | -3.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 7.8% | -0.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 29.3% | 27.8% |
Risk
PHM is the more resilient| Metric | MHO | PHM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.82 | 0.89 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.07 | -0.26 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.12 | -0.48 |
| Max drawdown | -25.1% | -22.8% |
| Current drawdown | -9% | -12.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 33% | 32.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.4% | -3.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MHO or PHM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MHO is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 53 against PHM's 52. The edge comes from value and momentum. PHM is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MHO or PHM the better buy right now?
MHO carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MHO over PHM?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. PHM leads Risk Resilience by 11 points; MHO leads Value by 10 points; MHO leads Momentum by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MHO or PHM?
Analyst price targets imply +16% upside for MHO and +15.5% for PHM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MHO or PHM?
MHO is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MHO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MHO or PHM?
PHM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MHO or PHM?
MHO on the Momentum factor, by 9 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MHO or PHM?
PHM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PHM on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MHO more profitable than PHM?
PHM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 21.5% vs 24.5%; operating margin 9.4% vs 14.6%; ttm roe 10% vs 14.7%.
Is MHO's lead over PHM getting stronger or weaker?
MHO lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-24 and 2026-09-05. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-21, when PHM moved ahead of MHO.
What would change the MHO vs PHM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: PHM closes the Value gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to MHO's edge; PHM's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; MHO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about MHO and PHM?
MHO: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. PHM: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MHO is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On PHM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare MHO and PHM with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.