MKC vs OTLY Stock Comparison
Compare MKC and OTLY across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between MKC and OTLY?
MKC leads the current stock comparison as McCormick & Company, Incorporated, with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
McCormick & Company, Incorporated vs Oatly Group AB
MKC leads
MKC leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 10 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support MKC, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
McCormick & Company, Incorporated
Oatly Group AB
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MKC over OTLY, 45 versus 43 as of Sep 11, 2026. MKC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while OTLY holds the stronger value profile. MKC also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MKC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. MKC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 2 points over 30 sessions.
Compare McCormick & Company, Incorporated and Oatly Group AB across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare MKC and OTLY against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience51 vs 12MKC +39
- Value44 vs 63OTLY +19
- Quality62 vs 45MKC +17
- Momentum23 vs 34OTLY +11
3 of 6 evidence groups favor MKC. MKC’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; OTLY keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -3
No new signals fired.
MKC's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MKC and OTLY both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MKC (McCormick & Company, Incorporated): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.
OTLY (Oatly Group AB): the counter-case, on value, momentum, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 54.2% against 26.5%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MKCMKC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MKCMKC on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
OTLYOTLY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 19 points.
Momentum
OTLYOTLY on the Momentum factor, by 11 points.
Lower downside
MKCMKC on Risk Resilience, by 39 points.
Analyst upside
MKCMKC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MKC | OTLY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.5% | +1.1% | MKC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +29.7% | +15.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 2 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MKC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 45 vs 43 |
| Fundamentals | MKCon balance | revenue growth 3.3% vs 5.2%; EPS growth -85.2% vs -150%; TTM ROE 25.6% vs -31.3%; gross margin 38.6% vs 33%; operating margin 15.3% vs -6% — MKC takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | OTLY | Value 44 vs 63 |
| Technicals | OTLY | Price vs 50-day -2.9% vs -1.2%; vs 200-day -10.2% vs 10.3% |
| Risk Resilience | MKC | Risk Resilience 51 vs 12 |
| Analyst expectations | MKC | Target upside 11.5% vs 1.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MKC and OTLY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MKC.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10MKC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 2 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- MKC +2
- 45 vs 43
- 7 sessions ago
- OTLY +3
- 48 vs 51
- 30 sessions ago
- MKC +10
- 58 vs 48
- 90 sessions ago
- MKC +6
- 56 vs 50
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Sep 9 when MKC moved ahead of OTLY.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (7.60%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
3 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (13.28%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
MKC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.43%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.44%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1OTLY closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 39 points behind, the largest single contributor to MKC's edge.
- 2OTLY's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3MKC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 4 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 8 points over 30 sessions, and a further 2-point move would eliminate MKC's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MKC leads on balance| Metric | MKC | OTLY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.3% | 5.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -85.2% | -150% |
| Gross margin | 38.6% | 33% |
| Operating margin | 15.3% | -6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 25.6% | -31.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.71 | -22.44 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | MKC | OTLY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -5% | -14% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -3.5% | -4.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 2.8% | 51.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -14.7% | 17.7% |
| Year to date | -25% | 17.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -27.2% | -28.5% |
Technicals
OTLY has the stronger structure| Metric | MKC | OTLY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 27.1 | 34.5 |
| ADX (14) | 19.9 | 30.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2.9% | -1.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -10.2% | 10.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26.5% | 54.2% |
Risk
MKC is the more resilient| Metric | MKC | OTLY |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.35 | 1.12 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1 | -0.28 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.47 | -0.47 |
| Max drawdown | -36.4% | -55.6% |
| Current drawdown | -28.7% | -30.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 30.3% | 63% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.2% | -5.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MKC or OTLY?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MKC is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 45 against OTLY's 43. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. OTLY is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MKC or OTLY the better buy right now?
MKC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MKC over OTLY?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MKC leads Risk Resilience by 39 points; OTLY leads Value by 19 points; MKC leads Quality by 17 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MKC or OTLY?
Analyst price targets imply +11.5% upside for MKC and +1.1% for OTLY, so the Street currently favors MKC. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MKC or OTLY?
OTLY is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. OTLY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 19 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MKC or OTLY?
MKC on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MKC or OTLY?
OTLY on the Momentum factor, by 11 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MKC or OTLY?
MKC is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MKC on Risk Resilience, by 39 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MKC more profitable than OTLY?
MKC leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 38.6% vs 33%; operating margin 15.3% vs -6%; ttm roe 25.6% vs -31.3%.
Is MKC's lead over OTLY getting stronger or weaker?
MKC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 2 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-09, when MKC moved ahead of OTLY.
What would change the MKC vs OTLY verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: OTLY closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 39 points behind, the largest single contributor to MKC's edge; OTLY's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; MKC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 4 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 8 points over 30 sessions, and a further 2-point move would eliminate MKC's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about MKC and OTLY?
MKC: 1 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. OTLY: 3 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MKC is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On OTLY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare MKC and OTLY with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.