MTDR vs OXY Stock Comparison
OXY currently leads MTDR in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 60 vs 56. The clearest difference is quality, while MTDR has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between MTDR and OXY?
OXY leads the current stock comparison as Occidental Petroleum Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Matador Resources Company vs Occidental Petroleum Corporation
OXY leads
OXY leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 10 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors MTDR on target upside.
Fragile: 1 of 6 evidence groups support OXY, its lead is narrowing, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Matador Resources Company
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OXY over MTDR, 60 versus 56 as of Oct 31, 2026. OXY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality, while MTDR holds the stronger value profile. OXY also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MTDR. 1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OXY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. OXY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Matador Resources Company and Occidental Petroleum Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare MTDR and OXY against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality35 vs 63OXY +28
- Value61 vs 49MTDR +12
- Momentum80 vs 75MTDR +5
- Risk Resilience48 vs 51Even
1 of 6 evidence groups favor OXY. OXY’s edge is concentrated in quality; MTDR keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum -4
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
OXY's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MTDR and OXY both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OXY (Occidental Petroleum Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.
MTDR (Matador Resources Company): the counter-case, on value, momentum, fundamentals — but at materially higher volatility, 37.3% against 25.9%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OXYOXY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
OXYOXY on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MTDRMTDR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points.
Momentum
MTDRMTDR on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.
Lower downside
OXYOXY carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
MTDRMTDR on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors OXY, analyst targets favor MTDR. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | MTDR | OXY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +12.1% | +8% | MTDR has more room |
| Target dispersion | +57.1% | +36.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 10 | 14 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OXY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | OXY | 56 vs 60 |
| Fundamentals | MTDRon balance | revenue growth 26% vs 59.2%; EPS growth 11.9% vs -13.8%; TTM ROE 12.8% vs 19%; gross margin 102.7% vs 43.4%; operating margin 36.3% vs 23% — MTDR takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | MTDR | Value 61 vs 49 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day 7.6% vs 6.5%; vs 200-day 10.2% vs 12.5% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 48 vs 51 |
| Analyst expectations | MTDR | Target upside 12.1% vs 8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MTDR and OXY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OXY.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28OXY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- OXY +4
- 56 vs 60
- 7 sessions ago
- OXY +5
- 56 vs 61
- 30 sessions ago
- OXY +10
- 42 vs 52
- 90 sessions ago
- OXY +3
- 56 vs 59
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
MTDR and OXY carry the same 4 signals, so the signals do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish, Uptrend Structure Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.75%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.57%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MTDR closes the Quality gap — currently 28 points behind, the largest single contributor to OXY's edge.
- 2MTDR's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed.
- 3OXY's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate OXY's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MTDR leads on balance| Metric | MTDR | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 26% | 59.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 11.9% | -13.8% |
| Gross margin | 102.7% | 43.4% |
| Operating margin | 36.3% | 23% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 12.8% | 19% |
| Debt to equity | 0.56 | 0.35 |
Performance
MTDR leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | MTDR | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 16% | 13.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 23.9% | 12.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -4.9% | 3.5% |
| Year to date | 41% | 52.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 51.8% | 47.7% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | MTDR | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 69.4 | 65 |
| ADX (14) | 15.6 | 22.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | 10.2% | 12.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 37.3% | 25.9% |
Risk
Split| Metric | MTDR | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.76 | -0.78 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.14 | 1.31 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.62 | 2.07 |
| Max drawdown | -29.5% | -27.6% |
| Current drawdown | -8.6% | -5.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 41.2% | 34.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.4% | -3.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MTDR or OXY?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OXY is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 60 against MTDR's 56. The edge comes from quality. MTDR is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MTDR or OXY the better buy right now?
OXY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OXY over MTDR?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. OXY leads Quality by 28 points; MTDR leads Value by 12 points; MTDR leads Momentum by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MTDR or OXY?
Analyst price targets imply +12.1% upside for MTDR and +8% for OXY, so the Street currently favors MTDR. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors OXY. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MTDR or OXY?
MTDR is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MTDR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MTDR or OXY?
OXY on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MTDR or OXY?
MTDR on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MTDR or OXY?
OXY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. OXY carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MTDR more profitable than OXY?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 102.7% vs 43.4%; operating margin 36.3% vs 23%; ttm roe 12.8% vs 19%. MTDR leads on two measures and OXY on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is OXY's lead over MTDR getting stronger or weaker?
OXY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the MTDR vs OXY verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MTDR closes the Quality gap — currently 28 points behind, the largest single contributor to OXY's edge; MTDR's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed; OXY's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate OXY's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about MTDR and OXY?
MTDR: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. OXY: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. The most decision-relevant rule on MTDR is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On OXY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare MTDR and OXY with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.