OKE vs TPL Stock Comparison
OKE currently leads TPL in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 53 vs 49. The clearest difference is momentum, while TPL has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between OKE and TPL?
OKE leads the current stock comparison as ONEOK, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
ONEOK, Inc. vs Texas Pacific Land Corporation
OKE leads
OKE leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, and the lead has widened from 0 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors TPL on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support OKE, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
ONEOK, Inc.
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OKE over TPL, 53 versus 49 as of Oct 21, 2026. OKE's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while TPL holds the stronger quality profile. OKE also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors TPL. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OKE today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. OKE lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare ONEOK, Inc. and Texas Pacific Land Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare OKE and TPL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality35 vs 66TPL +31
- Momentum80 vs 50OKE +30
- Value50 vs 24OKE +26
- Risk Resilience50 vs 63TPL +13
3 of 6 evidence groups favor OKE. OKE’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; TPL keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +18
New signals
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -2, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
The lead changed hands: OKE moved ahead of TPL in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — OKE and TPL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OKE (ONEOK, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
TPL (Texas Pacific Land Corporation): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, fundamentals — but at materially higher volatility, 38.4% against 26.5%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OKEOKE on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
OKEOKE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
OKEOKE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 26 points.
Momentum
OKEOKE on the Momentum factor, by 30 points.
Lower downside
TPLTPL on Risk Resilience, by 13 points.
Analyst upside
TPLTPL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors OKE, analyst targets favor TPL. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | OKE | TPL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +5.7% | +85.6% | TPL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +24.4% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OKE. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | OKE | 53 vs 49 |
| Fundamentals | TPLon balance | revenue growth 25.3% vs 3.9%; EPS growth 24.4% vs 7.7%; TTM ROE 16.3% vs 35.8%; gross margin 21.8% vs 100.3%; operating margin 18.5% vs 74.9% — TPL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | OKE | Value 50 vs 24 |
| Technicals | OKE | Price vs 50-day 0.5% vs -3.7%; vs 200-day 5.7% vs -14.6% |
| Risk Resilience | TPL | Risk Resilience 50 vs 63 |
| Analyst expectations | TPL | Target upside 5.7% vs 85.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of OKE and TPL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OKE.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20OKE lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- OKE +4
- 53 vs 49
- 7 sessions ago
- TPL +2
- 47 vs 49
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 40 vs 40
- 90 sessions ago
- OKE +12
- 53 vs 41
The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Oct 20 when OKE moved ahead of TPL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only OKE
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (5.51%)
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only TPL
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (12.04%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.56%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bullish Crossover.
OKE leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.29%, AIQ +5 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.63%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TPL closes the Momentum gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to OKE's edge.
- 2TPL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3OKE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TPL leads on balance| Metric | OKE | TPL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 25.3% | 3.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 24.4% | 7.7% |
| Gross margin | 21.8% | 100.3% |
| Operating margin | 18.5% | 74.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 16.3% | 35.8% |
| Debt to equity | 1.44 | 0.01 |
Performance
OKE leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | OKE | TPL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.6% | -7.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 3.1% | -3.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 1.2% | -21% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 9.6% | -21.8% |
| Year to date | 26.3% | 19.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 36.1% | 9.4% |
Technicals
OKE has the stronger structure| Metric | OKE | TPL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 70.9 | 58.4 |
| ADX (14) | 13.7 | 12.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.5% | -3.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5.7% | -14.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26.5% | 38.4% |
Risk
TPL is the more resilient| Metric | OKE | TPL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.55 | 0.38 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.13 | 0.35 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.67 | 0.49 |
| Max drawdown | -12.6% | -39.6% |
| Current drawdown | -4.8% | -36.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 27.5% | 48.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.8% | -4.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, OKE or TPL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OKE is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 53 against TPL's 49. The edge comes from momentum and value. TPL is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is OKE or TPL the better buy right now?
OKE carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OKE over TPL?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TPL leads Quality by 31 points; OKE leads Momentum by 30 points; OKE leads Value by 26 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, OKE or TPL?
Analyst price targets imply +5.7% upside for OKE and +85.6% for TPL, so the Street currently favors TPL. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors OKE. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, OKE or TPL?
OKE is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. OKE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 26 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, OKE or TPL?
OKE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, OKE or TPL?
OKE on the Momentum factor, by 30 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, OKE or TPL?
TPL is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TPL on Risk Resilience, by 13 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is OKE more profitable than TPL?
TPL leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 21.8% vs 100.3%; operating margin 18.5% vs 74.9%; ttm roe 16.3% vs 35.8%.
Is OKE's lead over TPL getting stronger or weaker?
OKE lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 9 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-20, when OKE moved ahead of TPL.
What would change the OKE vs TPL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TPL closes the Momentum gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to OKE's edge; TPL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; OKE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about OKE and TPL?
OKE: 4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. TPL: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on OKE is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TPL it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare OKE and TPL with others
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.