ONB vs PB Stock Comparison
Old National Bancorp vs Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.
ONB leads
ONB leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Value.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support ONB, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Old National Bancorp
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ONB over PB, 53 versus 51 as of Sep 5, 2026. ONB's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while PB holds the stronger quality profile. ONB also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ONB today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. ONB lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Old National Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare ONB and PB against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%59 vs 43ONB +16
- Quality30%56 vs 62PB +6
- Momentum25%35 vs 39PB +4
- Risk Resilience15%63 vs 64Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor ONB. ONB’s edge is concentrated in value; PB keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +6
No new signals fired.
ONB's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ONB and PB both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ONB (Old National Bancorp): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
PB (Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, momentum, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ONBONB on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
PBPB on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ONBONB on the peer-relative Value factor, by 16 points.
Momentum
PBPB on the Momentum factor, by 4 points.
Lower downside
PBPB carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ONB | PB | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +9.7% | +9.9% | Level |
| Target dispersion | +24.5% | +12.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 2 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ONB. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 53 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | PBon balance | EPS growth 11.7% vs 44%; TTM ROE 10.5% vs 7.1%; gross margin 66.8% vs 72.7%; operating margin 28.7% vs 40.5% — PB takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ONB | Value 59 vs 43 |
| Technicals | ONB | Price vs 50-day -1.1% vs -0.5%; vs 200-day 8% vs 3.1% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 63 vs 64 |
| Analyst expectations | Even | Target upside 9.7% vs 9.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ONB and PB and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ONB.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4ONB lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ONB +2
- 53 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- Level
- 52 vs 52
- 30 sessions ago
- ONB +2
- 61 vs 59
- 90 sessions ago
- ONB +4
- 63 vs 59
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (9.20%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (3.55%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ONB leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.23%, AIQ +1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.54%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1PB closes the Value gap — currently 16 points behind, the largest single contributor to ONB's edge.
- 2PB's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3ONB's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
PB leads on balance| Metric | ONB | PB |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 0.5% | 29.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 11.7% | 44% |
| Gross margin | 66.8% | 72.7% |
| Operating margin | 28.7% | 40.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0.98 | 0.32 |
Performance
ONB leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | ONB | PB |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2% | -1.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 8.7% | 5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 16.7% | 6.1% |
| Year to date | 16.7% | 5.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 14.4% | 5.8% |
Technicals
ONB has the stronger structure| Metric | ONB | PB |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 33.5 | 38.7 |
| ADX (14) | 21.1 | 13 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | 8% | 3.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 17% | 14.1% |
Risk
Split| Metric | ONB | PB |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.8 | 0.46 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.43 | 0.19 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.57 | 0.25 |
| Max drawdown | -18.2% | -15.7% |
| Current drawdown | -4.6% | -4.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 26.3% | 22.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.6% | -2.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ONB or PB?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ONB is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 53 against PB's 51. The edge comes from value. PB is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ONB or PB the better buy right now?
ONB carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ONB over PB?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. ONB leads Value by 16 points; PB leads Quality by 6 points; PB leads Momentum by 4 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ONB or PB?
Analyst price targets imply +9.7% upside for ONB and +9.9% for PB. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ONB or PB?
ONB is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ONB on the peer-relative Value factor, by 16 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ONB or PB?
PB on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ONB or PB?
PB on the Momentum factor, by 4 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ONB or PB?
PB is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PB carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ONB more profitable than PB?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 66.8% vs 72.7%; operating margin 28.7% vs 40.5%; ttm roe 10.5% vs 7.1%. ONB leads on one measure and PB on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ONB's lead over PB getting stronger or weaker?
ONB lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the ONB vs PB verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: PB closes the Value gap — currently 16 points behind, the largest single contributor to ONB's edge; PB's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; ONB's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ONB and PB?
ONB: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. PB: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ONB is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On PB it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ONB and PB with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.