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Old National Bancorp (ONB) Stock Analysis

Old National Bancorp (ONB) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ONB Stock Analysis Summary

Old National Bancorp (ONB) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 60/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 44/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

ONB at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$24.59
AIQ Score54/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$9.63B
P/E Ratio (TTM)11.04
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.67
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1B
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.26%
Beta0.84
Volume7.7M
52-week range$19.60-$27.36
RSI 1444.64
50-Day SMA$25.44
200-Day SMA$24.55
Analyst Price Target$29.67
Next Earnings—
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

ONBOld National Bancorp

Financial Services / Banks - Regional

Low Priority

In Line With Peers

NeutralEdge 5/10
$24.59−$0.75 (−2.96%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    44
  • Value
    57
  • Quality
    56
  • Risk resilience
    60
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

ONB Stock Analysis Summary

Old National Bancorp (ONB) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 60/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 44/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ONB has AIQ Score of 54/100 with Risk resilience base of 60/100 and fading Momentum at 44/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Financial Services · -2.96% stock move · ONB classified in Banks - Regional.

Current Evidence

NeutralONB is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 60/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ONB Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ONB currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 60/100, while Momentum is weakest at 44/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 60/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +20.66% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 44/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (30 vs 7).

Current Consensus

ONB's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 8 neutral, and 30 sell votes. ONB's 14-day RSI is 44.64, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. ONB's beta is 0.84, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ONB?

The largest recent change in ONB is Momentum moving up by 3.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+0.0
Momentum
+3.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-3.0

What Would Change the ONB Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ONB Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Old National Bancorp.

Old National Bancorp (ONB) Stock Analysis

Old National Bancorp has an AIQ Score of 54/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 60/100. Beta is 0.86, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextONB is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 54/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 60/100 while momentum lags at 44/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 44/100 · Value 57/100 · Quality 56/100 · Risk 60/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Risk is the strongest factor at 60/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 44/100 and RSI (14) is 44.6.

Regime fitWait

ONB is in a Neutral regime at 54/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 60/100 with beta 0.86 and annual volatility 23.64%.

ConflictPass

Current conflict: risk leads at 60/100 while momentum lags at 44/100.

AIQ Score
54/100
Price
$24.59
Beta
0.86
RSI (14)
44.6

ONB Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ONB Fundamentals

ONB valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1B
Net income
$253.41M
Free cash flow
$293.12M
View full ONB fundamental analysis

ONB Technical Analysis

ONB technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
44.64
Price vs SMA-50
-3.35%
View full ONB technical analysis

ONB Stock Catalysts

Track ONB earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
—
Analyst target
$29.67
News items
4
View ONB earnings and stock catalysts

ONB Dividend Analysis

ONB dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.34%
Annual dividend
$0.58
Payout ratio
26.77%
View ONB dividend history and analysis

ONB Financial Data

ONB revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1B
EPS
$0.67
Periods
3
View ONB financials

ONB Risk Analysis

ONB volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.84
Risk score
60/100
1Y volatility
23.64%
View ONB risk analysis

ONB Stock News

ONB stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read ONB stock news

ONB vs Regional Banks Peers

Current peer cohort: ONB · OZK · PB · PFS · RJF. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ONB
Current stock
54/10057/10044/10060/1000.6923.64%Current
OZK
Bank OZK
65/10064/10063/10070/1000.1223.48%ONB vs OZK
PB
Prosperity Bancshares
54/10042/10051/10065/1000.2220.84%ONB vs PB
PFS
Provident Financial Services
55/10059/10052/10073/1000.7723.49%ONB vs PFS
RJF
Raymond James Financial
55/10051/10033/10065/100-0.2724.78%ONB vs RJF
Pairwise Compare links: OZK · PB · PFS · RJFONB vs OZKONB vs PBONB vs PFSONB vs RJFCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ONB stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
11.04
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
66.80%
Current debt / equity
0.98
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1B
Quarter net income
$253.41M
Quarter free cash flow
$293.12M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
44.64
MACD
-0.15

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
60/100
Beta
0.86
Annual volatility
23.64%
Max drawdown
-18.24%

ONB Stock FAQ

What is ONB stock price today?

Old National Bancorp's current stock price is $24.59. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ONB bullish or bearish right now?

ONB's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ONB's market cap?

ONB's market cap is $9.63B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ONB's current P/E ratio?

ONB's current P/E ratio is 11.04 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ONB's RSI?

ONB's 14-day RSI is 44.64 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ONB above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ONB is -3.35% from its 50-day SMA and 0.18% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ONB's next earnings date?

ONB's next earnings date is a key event to check before making a decision. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ONB pay a dividend?

ONB's dividend yield is 2.26% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.