ONON vs ORLY Stock Comparison
ONON currently leads ORLY in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 60 vs 50. The clearest difference is quality.
What is the main difference between ONON and ORLY?
ONON leads the current stock comparison as On Holding AG, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
On Holding AG vs O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
ONON leads
ONON leads by 10 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Value, but the lead has narrowed from 13 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ONON, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
On Holding AG
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ONON over ORLY, 60 versus 50 as of Oct 21, 2026. ONON's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and value. ONON also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ONON today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. ONON lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 13 to 10 points over 30 sessions.
Compare On Holding AG and O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare ONON and ORLY against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality78 vs 53ONON +25
- Value33 vs 27ONON +6
- Risk Resilience54 vs 52Even
- Momentum73 vs 74Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ONON. ONON’s edge is concentrated in quality and value.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +4
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +5
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ONON's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ONON and ORLY both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ONONONON on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ORLYORLY on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ONONONON on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
ORLYORLY carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
ONONONON on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ONON | ORLY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +28.7% | +20.9% | ONON has more room |
| Target dispersion | +143.1% | +19.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 19 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ONON. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ONON | 60 vs 50 |
| Fundamentals | Even | EPS growth -3.1% vs 20.8%; TTM ROE 23.2% vs -232.4%; gross margin 64.8% vs 51.6%; operating margin 13.8% vs 19.6% |
| Valuation | ONON | Value 33 vs 27 |
| Technicals | ONON | Price vs 50-day 12.5% vs 2%; vs 200-day -4.9% vs -0.7% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 54 vs 52 |
| Analyst expectations | ONON | Target upside 28.7% vs 20.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ONON and ORLY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 10 points.
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ONON.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20ONON lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 13 to 10 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ONON +10
- 60 vs 50
- 7 sessions ago
- ONON +11
- 59 vs 48
- 30 sessions ago
- ONON +13
- 55 vs 42
- 90 sessions ago
- ORLY +2
- 42 vs 44
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Aug 25 when ONON moved ahead of ORLY.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
No signal that the other name lacks.
2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only ORLY
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Both carry 4 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, Keltner Channel Breakout, RSI Overbought, MACD Bullish Crossover.
ONON leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -3.39%, AIQ +1 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.91%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ORLY closes the Quality gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to ONON's edge.
- 2ORLY's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3ONON's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 10-point move would eliminate ONON's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | ONON | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 0% | 7.3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -3.1% | 20.8% |
| Gross margin | 64.8% | 51.6% |
| Operating margin | 13.8% | 19.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 23.2% | -232.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.29 | -5.22 |
Performance
ORLY leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | ONON | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.2% | 4.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 20.5% | 4.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.4% | 4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -3.6% | -4% |
| Year to date | -23.8% | -1.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -15.6% | -11% |
Technicals
ONON has the stronger structure| Metric | ONON | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 89 | 72.3 |
| ADX (14) | 38.2 | 20.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | 12.5% | 2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -4.9% | -0.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26.3% | 14% |
Risk
Split| Metric | ONON | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.3 | 0.05 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.17 | -0.49 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.22 | -0.76 |
| Max drawdown | -47.1% | -18.6% |
| Current drawdown | -30% | -11.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 48.9% | 25.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.3% | -2.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ONON or ORLY?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ONON is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 60 against ORLY's 50. The edge comes from quality and value. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ONON or ORLY the better buy right now?
ONON carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ONON over ORLY?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ONON leads Quality by 25 points; ONON leads Value by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ONON or ORLY?
Analyst price targets imply +28.7% upside for ONON and +20.9% for ORLY, so the Street currently favors ONON. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ONON or ORLY?
ONON is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ONON on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ONON or ORLY?
ORLY on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ONON or ORLY?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ONON or ORLY?
ORLY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ORLY carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ONON more profitable than ORLY?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 64.8% vs 51.6%; operating margin 13.8% vs 19.6%; ttm roe 23.2% vs -232.4%. ONON leads on two measures and ORLY on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ONON's lead over ORLY getting stronger or weaker?
ONON lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 13 to 10 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-25, when ONON moved ahead of ORLY.
What would change the ONON vs ORLY verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ORLY closes the Quality gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to ONON's edge; ORLY's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; ONON's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 10-point move would eliminate ONON's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about ONON and ORLY?
ONON: 2 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. ORLY: 2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ONON is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On ORLY it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare ONON and ORLY with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.