OXY vs TPL Stock Comparison
Compare OXY and TPL across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between OXY and TPL?
OXY leads the current stock comparison as Occidental Petroleum Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Occidental Petroleum Corporation vs Texas Pacific Land Corporation
OXY leads
OXY leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 16 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors TPL on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support OXY, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OXY over TPL, 57 versus 48 as of Sep 11, 2026. OXY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while TPL holds the stronger risk resilience profile. OXY also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors TPL. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OXY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. OXY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Occidental Petroleum Corporation and Texas Pacific Land Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare OXY and TPL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value49 vs 24OXY +25
- Momentum60 vs 45OXY +15
- Risk Resilience53 vs 62TPL +9
- Quality63 vs 66Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor OXY. OXY’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; TPL keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -7
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -3
No new signals fired.
OXY's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — OXY and TPL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OXY (Occidental Petroleum Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
TPL (Texas Pacific Land Corporation): the counter-case, on risk resilience, fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 34.6% against 20.8%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OXYOXY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
OXYOXY on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
OXYOXY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points.
Momentum
OXYOXY on the Momentum factor, by 15 points.
Lower downside
TPLTPL on Risk Resilience, by 9 points.
Analyst upside
TPLTPL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors OXY, analyst targets favor TPL. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | OXY | TPL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +13.1% | +73.1% | TPL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +31.6% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 10 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OXY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | OXY | 57 vs 48 |
| Fundamentals | TPLon balance | revenue growth 59.2% vs 3.9%; EPS growth -13.8% vs 7.7%; TTM ROE 19% vs 35.8%; gross margin 43.4% vs 100.3%; operating margin 23% vs 74.9% — TPL takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | OXY | Value 49 vs 24 |
| Technicals | OXY | Price vs 50-day 8.2% vs -4.2%; vs 200-day 16.1% vs -6.8% |
| Risk Resilience | TPL | Risk Resilience 53 vs 62 |
| Analyst expectations | TPL | Target upside 13.1% vs 73.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of OXY and TPL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OXY.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10OXY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- OXY +9
- 57 vs 48
- 7 sessions ago
- OXY +11
- 58 vs 47
- 30 sessions ago
- OXY +16
- 60 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- TPL +8
- 50 vs 58
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Jul 17 when OXY moved ahead of TPL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.85%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.92%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.14%)
OXY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.49%, AIQ -1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.82%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TPL closes the Value gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to OXY's edge.
- 2TPL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3OXY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 7 points over 30 sessions, and a further 9-point move would eliminate OXY's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TPL leads on balance| Metric | OXY | TPL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 59.2% | 3.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -13.8% | 7.7% |
| Gross margin | 43.4% | 100.3% |
| Operating margin | 23% | 74.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 19% | 35.8% |
| Debt to equity | 0.35 | 0.01 |
Performance
OXY leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | OXY | TPL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.4% | -0.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 4.5% | 6.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 7.1% | -2.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 10% | -30.2% |
| Year to date | 48.7% | 27.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 34.8% | 20.4% |
Technicals
OXY has the stronger structure| Metric | OXY | TPL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.8 | 48.1 |
| ADX (14) | 18.8 | 13.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 8.2% | -4.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 16.1% | -6.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 20.8% | 34.6% |
Risk
TPL is the more resilient| Metric | OXY | TPL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.66 | 0.3 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.43 | 0.82 |
| Max drawdown | -27.6% | -36.9% |
| Current drawdown | -7.7% | -32.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 35.4% | 48.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.4% | -4.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, OXY or TPL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OXY is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 57 against TPL's 48. The edge comes from value and momentum. TPL is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is OXY or TPL the better buy right now?
OXY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OXY over TPL?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. OXY leads Value by 25 points; OXY leads Momentum by 15 points; TPL leads Risk Resilience by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, OXY or TPL?
Analyst price targets imply +13.1% upside for OXY and +73.1% for TPL, so the Street currently favors TPL. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors OXY. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, OXY or TPL?
OXY is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. OXY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, OXY or TPL?
OXY on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, OXY or TPL?
OXY on the Momentum factor, by 15 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, OXY or TPL?
TPL is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TPL on Risk Resilience, by 9 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is OXY more profitable than TPL?
TPL leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 43.4% vs 100.3%; operating margin 23% vs 74.9%; ttm roe 19% vs 35.8%.
Is OXY's lead over TPL getting stronger or weaker?
OXY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 9 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-07-17, when OXY moved ahead of TPL.
What would change the OXY vs TPL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TPL closes the Value gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to OXY's edge; TPL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; OXY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 7 points over 30 sessions, and a further 9-point move would eliminate OXY's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about OXY and TPL?
OXY: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. TPL: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on OXY is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TPL it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare OXY and TPL with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.