REG vs SPG Stock Comparison
SPG currently leads REG in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 60 vs 50. The clearest difference is quality, while REG has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between REG and SPG?
SPG leads the current stock comparison as Simon Property Group, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Regency Centers Corporation vs Simon Property Group, Inc.
SPG leads
SPG leads by 10 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 13 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors REG on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support SPG, its lead is narrowing, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Regency Centers Corporation
Simon Property Group, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPG over REG, 60 versus 50 as of Oct 21, 2026. SPG's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while REG holds the stronger risk resilience profile. SPG also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors REG. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SPG today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. SPG lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 13 to 10 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Regency Centers Corporation and Simon Property Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare REG and SPG against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality43 vs 70SPG +27
- Risk Resilience77 vs 53REG +24
- Momentum52 vs 62SPG +10
- Value43 vs 52SPG +9
4 of 6 evidence groups favor SPG. SPG’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; REG keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +11
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +20
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
SPG's lead widened by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — REG and SPG both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SPG (Simon Property Group, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
REG (Regency Centers Corporation): the counter-case, on risk resilience, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SPGSPG on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
SPGSPG on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
SPGSPG on the peer-relative Value factor, by 9 points.
Momentum
SPGSPG on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.
Lower downside
REGREG on Risk Resilience, by 24 points.
Analyst upside
REGREG on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors SPG, analyst targets favor REG. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | REG | SPG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +17.1% | +5.9% | REG has more room |
| Target dispersion | +17.7% | +41.8% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 13 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | REG | SPG |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 3.82% | 7.34% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $2.380 | $6.000 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $2.870 | $8.550 |
| Years increased | 5 | 4 |
| No cut in window | Yes | No (1) |
| Cohort rank | #20 | not ranked |
SPG grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 7.34% a year against REG's 3.82%. REG never reduced its regular dividend in the window; SPG did in 1 year.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SPG. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SPG | 50 vs 60 |
| Fundamentals | SPG | revenue growth 0.3% vs 1.9%; TTM ROE 9.6% vs 112.7%; gross margin 35.1% vs 84.1%; operating margin 40.3% vs 48.1% |
| Valuation | SPG | Value 43 vs 52 |
| Technicals | SPG | Price vs 50-day -2.5% vs -1.5%; vs 200-day -4.3% vs 1.1% |
| Risk Resilience | REG | Risk Resilience 77 vs 53 |
| Analyst expectations | REG | Target upside 17.1% vs 5.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of REG and SPG and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 10 points.
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPG.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20SPG lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 13 to 10 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SPG +10
- 50 vs 60
- 7 sessions ago
- SPG +7
- 48 vs 55
- 30 sessions ago
- SPG +13
- 44 vs 57
- 90 sessions ago
- SPG +6
- 45 vs 51
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
Only REG
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (3.25%)
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (1.48%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish
Only SPG
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (1.85%)
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bullish Crossover.
REG is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.34%, AIQ +2 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 5 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.7%, AIQ +5 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1REG closes the Quality gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPG's edge.
- 2REG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3SPG's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 10-point move would eliminate SPG's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SPG leads on balance| Metric | REG | SPG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 0.3% | 1.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -10.3% | 0.7% |
| Gross margin | 35.1% | 84.1% |
| Operating margin | 40.3% | 48.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 9.6% | 112.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.8 | 6.64 |
Performance
SPG leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | REG | SPG |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 2.2% | 3.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -0.4% | 0.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -11% | -8.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -8.5% | 1.1% |
| Year to date | 6% | 11.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 2.1% | 17.1% |
Technicals
SPG has the stronger structure| Metric | REG | SPG |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 60.8 | 61.9 |
| ADX (14) | 29.9 | 33.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2.5% | -1.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | -4.3% | 1.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 12.6% | 18.2% |
Risk
REG is the more resilient| Metric | REG | SPG |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0 | 0.22 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.09 | 0.69 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.14 | 1.1 |
| Max drawdown | -14.4% | -16.5% |
| Current drawdown | -11.5% | -12.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 15.6% | 18.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.5% | -1.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, REG or SPG?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SPG is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 60 against REG's 50. The edge comes from quality and momentum. REG is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is REG or SPG the better buy right now?
SPG carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SPG over REG?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. SPG leads Quality by 27 points; REG leads Risk Resilience by 24 points; SPG leads Momentum by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, REG or SPG?
Analyst price targets imply +17.1% upside for REG and +5.9% for SPG, so the Street currently favors REG. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors SPG. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, REG or SPG?
SPG is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SPG on the peer-relative Value factor, by 9 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, REG or SPG?
SPG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, REG or SPG?
SPG on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, REG or SPG?
REG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. REG on Risk Resilience, by 24 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is REG more profitable than SPG?
SPG leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 35.1% vs 84.1%; operating margin 40.3% vs 48.1%; ttm roe 9.6% vs 112.7%.
Is SPG's lead over REG getting stronger or weaker?
SPG lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 13 to 10 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the REG vs SPG verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: REG closes the Quality gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPG's edge; REG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; SPG's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 10-point move would eliminate SPG's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about REG and SPG?
REG: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. SPG: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on REG is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SPG it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare REG and SPG with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.