SHAK vs TOST Stock Comparison
TOST currently leads SHAK in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 59 vs 41. The clearest difference is value.
What is the main difference between SHAK and TOST?
TOST leads the current stock comparison as Toast, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Shake Shack Inc. vs Toast, Inc.
TOST leads
TOST leads by 18 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality, and the lead has widened from 15 points over 30 sessions.
Stable: 6 of 6 evidence groups support TOST, its lead is widening, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Shake Shack Inc.
Toast, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TOST over SHAK, 59 versus 41 as of Oct 31, 2026. TOST's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality. TOST also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 6 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TOST today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability. TOST lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 15 to 18 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Shake Shack Inc. and Toast, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare SHAK and TOST against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value28 vs 58TOST +30
- Quality42 vs 66TOST +24
- Risk Resilience44 vs 55TOST +11
- Momentum54 vs 55Even
6 of 6 evidence groups favor TOST. TOST’s edge is concentrated in value and quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum +13
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +2, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
TOST's lead narrowed by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SHAK and TOST both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TOSTTOST on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
SHAKSHAK on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TOSTTOST on the peer-relative Value factor, by 30 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
TOSTTOST on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
TOSTTOST on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | SHAK | TOST | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +13.7% | +16.4% | TOST has more room |
| Target dispersion | +68.6% | +46.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 17 | 18 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
6 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TOST. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TOST | 41 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | TOSTon balance | revenue growth 13.9% vs 17.1%; EPS growth 55.2% vs 28.6%; TTM ROE 7.5% vs 23.8%; gross margin 25.8% vs 26.7%; operating margin 4.5% vs 6.4% — TOST takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TOST | Value 28 vs 58 |
| Technicals | TOST | Price vs 50-day 7.8% vs -1.6%; vs 200-day -10.8% vs 8.7% |
| Risk Resilience | TOST | Risk Resilience 44 vs 55 |
| Analyst expectations | TOST | Target upside 13.7% vs 16.4% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SHAK and TOST and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 18 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 6 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TOST.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28TOST lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 15 to 18 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TOST +18
- 41 vs 59
- 7 sessions ago
- TOST +25
- 39 vs 64
- 30 sessions ago
- TOST +15
- 43 vs 58
- 90 sessions ago
- TOST +22
- 43 vs 65
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
Only SHAK
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (15.18%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.15%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
Only TOST
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (9.62%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.04%, AIQ +3 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.57%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SHAK closes the Value gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to TOST's edge.
- 2SHAK's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3TOST's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TOST leads on balance| Metric | SHAK | TOST |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 13.9% | 17.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 55.2% | 28.6% |
| Gross margin | 25.8% | 26.7% |
| Operating margin | 4.5% | 6.4% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 7.5% | 23.8% |
| Debt to equity | 0.48 | 0 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | SHAK | TOST |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.9% | -1.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 14.6% | 10.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 6.6% | -2.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -33.2% | 11.6% |
| Year to date | -17.2% | -10.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -26.8% | -16.7% |
Technicals
TOST has the stronger structure| Metric | SHAK | TOST |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 49.8 | 57.5 |
| ADX (14) | 22.2 | 15 |
| Price vs 50-day | 7.8% | -1.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -10.8% | 8.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 42.4% | 39.7% |
Risk
TOST is the more resilient| Metric | SHAK | TOST |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.22 | 1.07 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.33 | -0.19 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.4 | -0.27 |
| Max drawdown | -50% | -42.8% |
| Current drawdown | -35.8% | -18.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 55.5% | 46.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.2% | -4.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, SHAK or TOST?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TOST is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 59 against SHAK's 41. The edge comes from value and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is SHAK or TOST the better buy right now?
TOST carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 6 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TOST over SHAK?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TOST leads Value by 30 points; TOST leads Quality by 24 points; TOST leads Risk Resilience by 11 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, SHAK or TOST?
Analyst price targets imply +13.7% upside for SHAK and +16.4% for TOST, so the Street currently favors TOST. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, SHAK or TOST?
TOST is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TOST on the peer-relative Value factor, by 30 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, SHAK or TOST?
SHAK on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, SHAK or TOST?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, SHAK or TOST?
TOST is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TOST on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is SHAK more profitable than TOST?
TOST leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 25.8% vs 26.7%; operating margin 4.5% vs 6.4%; ttm roe 7.5% vs 23.8%.
Is TOST's lead over SHAK getting stronger or weaker?
TOST lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 15 to 18 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the SHAK vs TOST verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SHAK closes the Value gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to TOST's edge; SHAK's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; TOST's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about SHAK and TOST?
SHAK: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. TOST: 3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. The most decision-relevant rule on SHAK is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TOST it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare SHAK and TOST with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.