SIMO vs SMTC Stock Comparison
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation vs Semtech Corporation
SIMO leads
SIMO leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 14 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors SMTC on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support SIMO, its lead is narrowing, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
Semtech Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SIMO over SMTC, 55 versus 48 as of Sep 5, 2026. SIMO's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while SMTC holds the stronger momentum profile. SIMO also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors SMTC. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SIMO today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. SIMO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 7 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Silicon Motion Technology Corporation and Semtech Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare SIMO and SMTC against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience15%45 vs 27SIMO +18
- Momentum25%46 vs 63SMTC +17
- Quality30%83 vs 68SIMO +15
- Value30%38 vs 26SIMO +12
4 of 6 evidence groups favor SIMO. SIMO’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; SMTC keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
New signals
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
No new signals fired.
SIMO's lead widened by 3 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SIMO and SMTC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.
SMTC (Semtech Corporation): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 97.9% against 87.1%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SIMOSIMO on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
SIMOSIMO on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
SIMOSIMO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points.
Momentum
SMTCSMTC on the Momentum factor, by 17 points.
Lower downside
SIMOSIMO on Risk Resilience, by 18 points.
Analyst upside
SMTCSMTC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors SIMO, analyst targets favor SMTC. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | SIMO | SMTC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +13.2% | +26.7% | SMTC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +75.9% | +106.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 14 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SIMO. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SIMO | 55 vs 48 |
| Fundamentals | SIMOon balance | revenue growth 31.8% vs 17.5%; EPS growth 102.5% vs 4.9%; TTM ROE 32% vs 25.3%; gross margin 48.9% vs 52%; operating margin 16.3% vs 12.7% — SIMO takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | SIMO | Value 38 vs 26 |
| Technicals | SMTC | Price vs 50-day -4.5% vs 11.3%; vs 200-day 39% vs 37.6% |
| Risk Resilience | SIMO | Risk Resilience 45 vs 27 |
| Analyst expectations | SMTC | Target upside 13.2% vs 26.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SIMO and SMTC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SIMO.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4SIMO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 7 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SIMO +7
- 55 vs 48
- 7 sessions ago
- SIMO +21
- 58 vs 37
- 30 sessions ago
- SIMO +14
- 54 vs 40
- 90 sessions ago
- SIMO +26
- 63 vs 37
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (45.50%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (7.46%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (23.64%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +8.7%, AIQ +3 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +9.22%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SMTC closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to SIMO's edge.
- 2SMTC's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed.
- 3SIMO's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 7 points over 30 sessions, and a further 7-point move would eliminate SIMO's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SIMO leads on balance| Metric | SIMO | SMTC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 31.8% | 17.5% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 102.5% | 4.9% |
| Gross margin | 48.9% | 52% |
| Operating margin | 16.3% | 12.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 32% | 25.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.06 | 0.7 |
Performance
SIMO leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | SIMO | SMTC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 4.2% | 12.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 0% | 6.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -1% | -2.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 116.5% | 80.3% |
| Year to date | 176.4% | 100.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 222.3% | 155.3% |
Technicals
SMTC has the stronger structure| Metric | SIMO | SMTC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 44.3 | 46.2 |
| ADX (14) | 10.4 | 9.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -4.5% | 11.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | 39% | 37.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 87.1% | 97.9% |
Risk
SIMO is the more resilient| Metric | SIMO | SMTC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.35 | 3.07 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.72 | 1.54 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.35 | 2.47 |
| Max drawdown | -37.8% | -40.7% |
| Current drawdown | -23.9% | -15.4% |
| Annualized volatility | 83.4% | 74.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -7.3% | -7.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, SIMO or SMTC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SIMO is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 55 against SMTC's 48. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. SMTC is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is SIMO or SMTC the better buy right now?
SIMO carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SIMO over SMTC?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. SIMO leads Risk Resilience by 18 points; SMTC leads Momentum by 17 points; SIMO leads Quality by 15 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, SIMO or SMTC?
Analyst price targets imply +13.2% upside for SIMO and +26.7% for SMTC, so the Street currently favors SMTC. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors SIMO. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, SIMO or SMTC?
SIMO is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SIMO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, SIMO or SMTC?
SIMO on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, SIMO or SMTC?
SMTC on the Momentum factor, by 17 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, SIMO or SMTC?
SIMO is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SIMO on Risk Resilience, by 18 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is SIMO more profitable than SMTC?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 48.9% vs 52%; operating margin 16.3% vs 12.7%; ttm roe 32% vs 25.3%. SIMO leads on two measures and SMTC on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is SIMO's lead over SMTC getting stronger or weaker?
SIMO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 7 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the SIMO vs SMTC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SMTC closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to SIMO's edge; SMTC's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed; SIMO's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 7 points over 30 sessions, and a further 7-point move would eliminate SIMO's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about SIMO and SMTC?
SIMO: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. SMTC: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. The most decision-relevant rule on SIMO is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SMTC it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare SIMO and SMTC with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.