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Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Analysis

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

SMTC Stock Analysis Summary

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) currently has an AIQ Score of 36/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 15/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

SMTC at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$141.63
AIQ Score36/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$12.32B
P/E Ratio (TTM)79.81
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-07-26)$1.72
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-07-26)$341.9M
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta2.35
Volume2.71M
52-week range$60.28-$201.99
RSI 1429.51
50-Day SMA$157.16
200-Day SMA$122.90
Analyst Price Target$201.23
Next EarningsNov 23, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

SMTCSemtech Corporation

Technology / Semiconductors

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

BearishEdge 2/10
$141.63+$5.43 (+3.99%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    15
  • Value
    26
  • Quality
    68
  • Risk resilience
    27
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

SMTC Stock Analysis Summary

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) currently has an AIQ Score of 36/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 15/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, SMTC has AIQ Score of 36/100 with Quality base of 68/100 and fading Momentum at 15/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (68/100) leads while Momentum (15/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Technology · 3.99% stock move · SMTC classified in Semiconductors.

Current Evidence

BearishSMTC is in a bearish AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 68/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is SMTC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

SMTC currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100, while Momentum is weakest at 15/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 68/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +42.08% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 26/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 15/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 27/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (32 vs 12).

Current Consensus

SMTC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 12 buy, 1 neutral, and 32 sell votes. SMTC's 14-day RSI is 29.51, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. SMTC's beta is 2.35, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in SMTC?

The largest recent change in SMTC is Momentum moving down by 27.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-7.0
Momentum
-27.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the SMTC Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

SMTC Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Semtech Corporation.

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Analysis

Semtech Corporation has an AIQ Score of 36/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 68/100. Beta is 2.42, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextSMTC is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 36/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 68/100 while momentum lags at 15/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 15/100 · Value 26/100 · Quality 68/100 · Risk 27/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 15/100 and RSI (14) is 29.5.

Regime fitFail

SMTC is in a Defensive regime at 36/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 27/100 with beta 2.42 and annual volatility 78.14%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 68/100 while momentum lags at 15/100.

AIQ Score
36/100
Price
$141.63
Beta
2.42
RSI (14)
29.5

SMTC Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

SMTC Fundamentals

SMTC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$341.9M
Net income
$160.1M
Free cash flow
$61.4M
View full SMTC fundamental analysis

SMTC Technical Analysis

SMTC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
29.51
Price vs SMA-50
-9.88%
View full SMTC technical analysis

SMTC Stock Catalysts

Track SMTC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 23, 2026
Analyst target
$201.23
News items
4
View SMTC earnings and stock catalysts

SMTC Dividend Analysis

SMTC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View SMTC dividend history and analysis

SMTC Financial Data

SMTC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$341.9M
EPS
$1.72
Periods
4
View SMTC financials

SMTC Risk Analysis

SMTC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
2.35
Risk score
27/100
1Y volatility
78.14%
View SMTC risk analysis

SMTC Stock News

SMTC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read SMTC stock news

SMTC vs Semiconductors — Mid Cap / Supply Chain Peers

Current peer cohort: SMTC · SNDK · STM · TEL · TSEM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
SMTC
Current stock
36/10026/10015/10027/1001.2778.14%Current
SNDK
SanDisk
54/10050/10015/10038/1002.5113.67%SMTC vs SNDK
STM
STMicroelectronics
40/10040/10027/10050/1000.9960.61%SMTC vs STM
TEL
TE Connectivity
63/10067/10054/10069/100-0.0935.28%SMTC vs TEL
TSEM
Tower Semiconductor
33/10025/1008/10057/1001.4882.33%SMTC vs TSEM
Pairwise Compare links: SNDK · STM · TEL · TSEMSMTC vs SNDKSMTC vs STMSMTC vs TELSMTC vs TSEMCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a SMTC stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 21, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
79.81
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
52.04%
Current debt / equity
0.7
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jul 26, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$341.9M
Quarter net income
$160.1M
Quarter free cash flow
$61.4M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
29.51
MACD
-5.85

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
27/100
Beta
2.42
Annual volatility
78.14%
Max drawdown
-40.74%

SMTC Stock FAQ

What is SMTC stock price today?

Semtech Corporation's current stock price is $141.63. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is SMTC bullish or bearish right now?

SMTC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is SMTC's market cap?

SMTC's market cap is $12.32B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is SMTC's current P/E ratio?

SMTC's current P/E ratio is 79.81 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is SMTC's RSI?

SMTC's 14-day RSI is 29.51 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is SMTC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

SMTC is -9.88% from its 50-day SMA and 15.24% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is SMTC's next earnings date?

SMTC's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 23, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does SMTC pay a dividend?

SMTC's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.