SMTC vs SNDK Stock Comparison
Semtech Corporation vs Sandisk Corporation
SNDK leads
SNDK leads by 22 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Value, but the lead has narrowed from 29 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors SMTC on target upside.
Stable: 5 of 6 evidence groups support SNDK, its lead is narrowing, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Semtech Corporation
Sandisk Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SNDK over SMTC, 70 versus 48 as of Sep 5, 2026. SNDK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and value. SNDK also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors SMTC. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SNDK today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. SNDK lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 29 to 22 points over 30 sessions. SNDK leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare Semtech Corporation and Sandisk Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare SMTC and SNDK against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality30%68 vs 100SNDK +32
- Value30%26 vs 50SNDK +24
- Momentum25%63 vs 76SNDK +13
- Risk Resilience15%27 vs 38SNDK +11
5 of 6 evidence groups favor SNDK. SNDK’s edge is concentrated in quality and value.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +16
New signals
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
SNDK's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SMTC and SNDK both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SNDK (Sandisk Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and value.
SMTC (Semtech Corporation): the counter-case, on analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 97.9% against 89.7%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SNDKSNDK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
SNDKSNDK on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
SNDKSNDK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 24 points.
Momentum
SNDKSNDK on the Momentum factor, by 13 points.
Lower downside
SNDKSNDK on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
SMTCSMTC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors SNDK, analyst targets favor SMTC. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | SMTC | SNDK | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +26.7% | +7.1% | SMTC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +106.7% | +122% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 14 | 16 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SNDK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SNDK | 48 vs 70 |
| Fundamentals | SNDK | revenue growth 17.5% vs 50.7%; EPS growth 4.9% vs 92.9%; TTM ROE 25.3% vs 93.1%; gross margin 52% vs 71.5%; operating margin 12.7% vs 61.2% |
| Valuation | SNDK | Value 26 vs 50 |
| Technicals | SNDK | Price vs 50-day 11.3% vs 12.2%; vs 200-day 37.6% vs 73.3% |
| Risk Resilience | SNDK | Risk Resilience 27 vs 38 |
| Analyst expectations | SMTC | Target upside 26.7% vs 7.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SMTC and SNDK and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 22 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SNDK.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4SNDK lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 29 to 22 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SNDK +22
- 48 vs 70
- 7 sessions ago
- SNDK +34
- 37 vs 71
- 30 sessions ago
- SNDK +29
- 40 vs 69
- 90 sessions ago
- SNDK +28
- 37 vs 65
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (23.64%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (54.41%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +9.22%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +11.9%, AIQ +4 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SMTC closes the Quality gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to SNDK's edge.
- 2SMTC's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed.
- 3SNDK's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 7 points over 30 sessions, and a further 22-point move would eliminate SNDK's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SNDK leads on balance| Metric | SMTC | SNDK |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 17.5% | 50.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 4.9% | 92.9% |
| Gross margin | 52% | 71.5% |
| Operating margin | 12.7% | 61.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 25.3% | 93.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0.7 | 0.02 |
Performance
SNDK leads 5 of 5 windows| Metric | SMTC | SNDK |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 12.7% | 17.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 6.1% | 43.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -2.1% | 11.6% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 80.3% | 230% |
| Year to date | 100.7% | 633% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 155.3% | — |
Technicals
SNDK has the stronger structure| Metric | SMTC | SNDK |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.2 | 46.7 |
| ADX (14) | 9.3 | 11.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 37.6% | 73.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 97.9% | 89.7% |
Risk
SNDK is the more resilient| Metric | SMTC | SNDK |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.07 | 4.23 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.54 | 3.42 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.47 | 5.92 |
| Max drawdown | -40.7% | -56.5% |
| Current drawdown | -15.4% | -25.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 74.6% | 116.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -7.5% | -10.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, SMTC or SNDK?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SNDK is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 70 against SMTC's 48. The edge comes from quality and value. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is SMTC or SNDK the better buy right now?
SNDK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SNDK over SMTC?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. SNDK leads Quality by 32 points; SNDK leads Value by 24 points; SNDK leads Momentum by 13 points. SNDK leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by SMTC simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, SMTC or SNDK?
Analyst price targets imply +26.7% upside for SMTC and +7.1% for SNDK, so the Street currently favors SMTC. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors SNDK. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, SMTC or SNDK?
SNDK is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SNDK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 24 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, SMTC or SNDK?
SNDK on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, SMTC or SNDK?
SNDK on the Momentum factor, by 13 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, SMTC or SNDK?
SNDK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SNDK on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is SMTC more profitable than SNDK?
SNDK leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 52% vs 71.5%; operating margin 12.7% vs 61.2%; ttm roe 25.3% vs 93.1%.
Is SNDK's lead over SMTC getting stronger or weaker?
SNDK lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 29 to 22 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the SMTC vs SNDK verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SMTC closes the Quality gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to SNDK's edge; SMTC's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed; SNDK's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 7 points over 30 sessions, and a further 22-point move would eliminate SNDK's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about SMTC and SNDK?
SMTC: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. SNDK: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. The most decision-relevant rule on SMTC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SNDK it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare SMTC and SNDK with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.