STLD vs TX Stock Comparison
STLD currently leads TX in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 61 vs 52. The clearest difference is momentum, while TX has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between STLD and TX?
STLD leads the current stock comparison as Steel Dynamics, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Steel Dynamics, Inc. vs Ternium S.A.
STLD leads
STLD leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Quality, having only recently taken the lead back from TX.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support STLD, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
Ternium S.A.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors STLD over TX, 61 versus 52 as of Oct 31, 2026. STLD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and quality, while TX holds the stronger value profile. STLD also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor STLD today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. STLD lead: Reversed — TX led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; STLD now leads by 9.
Compare Steel Dynamics, Inc. and Ternium S.A. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare STLD and TX against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum79 vs 40STLD +39
- Quality52 vs 40STLD +12
- Value57 vs 67TX +10
- Risk Resilience59 vs 66TX +7
3 of 6 evidence groups favor STLD. STLD’s edge is concentrated in momentum and quality; TX keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum -2, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
STLD's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — STLD and TX both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and quality.
TX (Ternium S.A.): the counter-case, on value, risk resilience, fundamentals — but at materially higher volatility, 37.3% against 29.3%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
STLDSTLD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TXTX on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TXTX on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
STLDSTLD on the Momentum factor, by 39 points.
Lower downside
TXTX on Risk Resilience, by 7 points.
Analyst upside
STLDSTLD on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | STLD | TX | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +10.3% | +8.3% | STLD has more room |
| Target dispersion | +15.5% | +35% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | STLD | TX |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 14.87% | 17.61% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $1.000 | $1.200 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $2.000 | $2.700 |
| Years increased | 5 | 3 |
| No cut in window | Yes | No (2) |
| Cohort rank | #35 | not ranked |
TX grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 17.61% a year against STLD's 14.87%. STLD never reduced its regular dividend in the window; TX did in 2 years.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor STLD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | STLD | 61 vs 52 |
| Fundamentals | TXon balance | revenue growth 6.9% vs 10.3%; EPS growth 43% vs 63.6%; TTM ROE 21% vs 5.8%; gross margin 15.8% vs 17.4%; operating margin 12% vs 7.5% — TX takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TX | Value 57 vs 67 |
| Technicals | STLD | Price vs 50-day 5.9% vs -6.5%; vs 200-day 12.1% vs 13.5% |
| Risk Resilience | TX | Risk Resilience 59 vs 66 |
| Analyst expectations | STLD | Target upside 10.3% vs 8.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of STLD and TX and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on STLD.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28STLD lead: Reversed — TX led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; STLD now leads by 9.
- Today
- STLD +9
- 61 vs 52
- 7 sessions ago
- STLD +4
- 57 vs 53
- 30 sessions ago
- TX +6
- 51 vs 57
- 90 sessions ago
- TX +20
- 42 vs 62
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Oct 21 when STLD moved ahead of TX.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
Only STLD
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.60%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only TX
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active.
TX is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.08%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -2.39%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TX closes the Momentum gap — currently 39 points behind, the largest single contributor to STLD's edge.
- 2TX's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3STLD's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TX leads on balance| Metric | STLD | TX |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 6.9% | 10.3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 43% | 63.6% |
| Gross margin | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| Operating margin | 12% | 7.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 21% | 5.8% |
| Debt to equity | 0.43 | 0.24 |
Performance
STLD leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | STLD | TX |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.8% | -8.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 12.8% | -0.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -1% | 9.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 11.4% | 26.1% |
| Year to date | 47.5% | 41.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 63.4% | 50.1% |
Technicals
STLD has the stronger structure| Metric | STLD | TX |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 67.1 | 42.1 |
| ADX (14) | 12.6 | 23.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | 5.9% | -6.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | 12.1% | 13.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 29.3% | 37.3% |
Risk
TX is the more resilient| Metric | STLD | TX |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.3 | 1.14 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.03 | 1.9 |
| Max drawdown | -22.6% | -18.9% |
| Current drawdown | -11.6% | -9.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 35.8% | 32.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.3% | -3.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, STLD or TX?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, STLD is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 61 against TX's 52. The edge comes from momentum and quality. TX is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is STLD or TX the better buy right now?
STLD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor STLD over TX?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. STLD leads Momentum by 39 points; STLD leads Quality by 12 points; TX leads Value by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, STLD or TX?
Analyst price targets imply +10.3% upside for STLD and +8.3% for TX, so the Street currently favors STLD. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, STLD or TX?
TX is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TX on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, STLD or TX?
TX on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, STLD or TX?
STLD on the Momentum factor, by 39 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, STLD or TX?
TX is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TX on Risk Resilience, by 7 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is STLD more profitable than TX?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 15.8% vs 17.4%; operating margin 12% vs 7.5%; ttm roe 21% vs 5.8%. STLD leads on two measures and TX on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is STLD's lead over TX getting stronger or weaker?
STLD lead: Reversed — TX led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; STLD now leads by 9. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-10-21, when STLD moved ahead of TX.
What would change the STLD vs TX verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TX closes the Momentum gap — currently 39 points behind, the largest single contributor to STLD's edge; TX's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; STLD's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about STLD and TX?
STLD: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. TX: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on STLD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TX it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare STLD and TX with others
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.