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Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Analysis

Ternium S.A. (TX) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TX Stock Analysis Summary

Ternium S.A. (TX) currently has an AIQ Score of 63/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 78/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 40/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

TX at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$57.90
AIQ Score63/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$10.93B
P/E Ratio15.64
Forward P/E
EPS$1.80
Revenue TTM$4.34B
Dividend Yield0.03%
Beta1.16
Volume314.35K
52-week range$33.01-$58.73
RSI 1469.48
50-Day SMA$50.99
200-Day SMA$44.47
Analyst Price Target$53.50
Next EarningsOct 27, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

TX

Overview
Ternium S.A.
Basic Materials· Steel
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 10/10
Relative Leader / Watch
Sector Leader
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$57.90
+$0.29 (+0.50%)
Latest market quote
Momentum78
Value67
Quality40
Risk Resilience77
Sentiment
View financial data

TX Stock Analysis Summary

Ternium S.A. (TX) currently has an AIQ Score of 63/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 78/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 40/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TX has AIQ Score of 63/100 with Momentum base of 78/100 and fading Quality at 40/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (78/100) leads while Quality (40/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Basic Materials · 0.50% stock move · TX classified in Steel.

Current Evidence

NeutralTX is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 78/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TX Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TX currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 78/100, while Quality is weakest at 40/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 78/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 77/100.
  • - Price is +13.56% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (34 vs 5).
Bear Case
  • - Analyst target implies -7.60% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

TX's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 34 buy, 6 neutral, and 5 sell votes. TX's 14-day RSI is 69.48, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. TX's beta is 1.16, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in TX?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
63/100
Momentum
78/100
Quality
40/100
Risk
77/100

What Would Change the TX Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TX Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Ternium S.A..

Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Analysis

Ternium S.A. has an AIQ Score of 63/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 78/100. Beta is 1.16, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTX is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 63/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 78/100 while quality lags at 40/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 78/100 · Value 67/100 · Quality 40/100 · Risk 77/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 78/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 78/100 and RSI (14) is 69.5.

Regime fitWait

TX is in a Neutral regime at 63/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 77/100 with beta 1.16 and annual volatility 31.45%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 78/100 while quality lags at 40/100.

AIQ Score
63/100
Price
$57.90
Beta
1.16
RSI (14)
69.5

TX Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TX Fundamentals

TX valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.34B
Net income
$343.67M
Free cash flow
-$175M
View full TX fundamental analysis

TX Technical Analysis

TX technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
69.48
Price vs SMA-50
+13.56%
View full TX technical analysis

TX Stock Catalysts

Track TX earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 27, 2026
Analyst target
$53.50
News items
4
View TX earnings and stock catalysts

TX Dividend Analysis

TX dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
8.46%
Annual dividend
$4.90
Payout ratio
View TX dividend history and analysis

TX Financial Data

TX revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.34B
EPS
$1.80
Periods
7
View TX financials

TX Risk Analysis

TX volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.16
Risk score
77/100
1Y volatility
31.45%
View TX risk analysis

TX Stock News

TX stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read TX stock news

TX vs Metals & Mining Peers

Current peer cohort: TX · VALE · WOR · WY · AA. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TX
Current stock
63/10067/10078/10077/1001.7231.45%Current
VALE
Vale
53/10057/10064/10052/1001.1832.83%TX vs VALE
WOR
Worthington Industries
61/10065/10062/10065/100-0.3831.21%TX vs WOR
WY
Weyerhaeuser
38/10041/10024/10068/100-0.5126.46%TX vs WY
AA
Alcoa
51/10071/10032/10041/100156.24%TX vs AA
Pairwise Compare links: VALE · WOR · WY · AATX vs VALETX vs WORTX vs WYTX vs AACompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TX stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 11, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
15.38
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
10.33%
Gross margin
17.38%
Current debt / equity
0.24
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.34B
Quarter net income
$343.67M
Quarter free cash flow
-$175M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
69.48
MACD
1.83

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
77/100
Beta
1.16
Annual volatility
31.45%
Max drawdown
-18.91%

TX Stock FAQ

What is TX stock price today?

Ternium S.A.'s current stock price is $57.90. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TX bullish or bearish right now?

TX's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TX's market cap?

TX's market cap is $10.93B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TX's current P/E ratio?

TX's current P/E ratio is 15.64 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TX's RSI?

TX's 14-day RSI is 69.48 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TX above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TX is 13.56% from its 50-day SMA and 30.20% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TX's next earnings date?

TX's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 27, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TX pay a dividend?

TX's dividend yield is 0.03% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.