SWX vs VST Stock Comparison
Compare SWX and VST across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between SWX and VST?
VST leads the current stock comparison as Vistra Corp., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. vs Vistra Corp.
VST leads
VST leads by 3 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from SWX.
Fragile: 1 of 6 evidence groups support VST, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
Vistra Corp.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors VST over SWX, 48 versus 45 as of Sep 11, 2026. VST's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum, while SWX holds the stronger risk resilience profile. VST also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor VST today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. VST lead: Reversed — SWX led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; VST now leads by 3.
Compare Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. and Vistra Corp. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare SWX and VST against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum27 vs 59VST +32
- Risk Resilience59 vs 42SWX +17
- Quality56 vs 46SWX +10
- Value42 vs 45Even
1 of 6 evidence groups favor VST. VST’s edge is concentrated in momentum; SWX keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -7
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -14
New signals
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.61%)
- EMA Ribbon Compression — neutral, trend, medium horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
VST's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SWX and VST both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
VST (Vistra Corp.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
SWX (Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
VSTVST on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
VSTVST on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
VSTVST on the Momentum factor, by 32 points.
Lower downside
SWXSWX on Risk Resilience, by 17 points.
Analyst upside
VSTVST on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | SWX | VST | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +17.9% | +45.8% | VST has more room |
| Target dispersion | +6.9% | +59.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 3 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor VST. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 45 vs 48 |
| Fundamentals | SWXon balance | revenue growth -38.8% vs -13.7%; EPS growth -69.6% vs -73.8%; TTM ROE 12.9% vs 41.5%; gross margin 56.6% vs 13%; operating margin 28.7% vs 2.3% — SWX takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 42 vs 45 |
| Technicals | SWX | Price vs 50-day -5% vs -0.4%; vs 200-day 0.7% vs -6.6% |
| Risk Resilience | SWX | Risk Resilience 59 vs 42 |
| Analyst expectations | VST | Target upside 17.9% vs 45.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SWX and VST and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on VST.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10VST lead: Reversed — SWX led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; VST now leads by 3.
- Today
- VST +3
- 45 vs 48
- 7 sessions ago
- SWX +1
- 47 vs 46
- 30 sessions ago
- SWX +4
- 55 vs 51
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 56 vs 56
The lead changed hands 13 times in this window, most recently on Sep 8 when VST moved ahead of SWX.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (3.84%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (5.66%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.61%)
VST leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.91%, AIQ -2 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 4 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.9%, AIQ -4 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SWX closes the Momentum gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to VST's edge.
- 2SWX's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3VST's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SWX leads on balance| Metric | SWX | VST |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -38.8% | -13.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -69.6% | -73.8% |
| Gross margin | 56.6% | 13% |
| Operating margin | 28.7% | 2.3% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 12.9% | 41.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.85 | 3.63 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | SWX | VST |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.5% | 2.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -5.7% | 0.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -2.1% | 6.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 0% | -7.6% |
| Year to date | 8.6% | -8.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 12.2% | -21.8% |
Technicals
SWX has the stronger structure| Metric | SWX | VST |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 32.8 | 63.6 |
| ADX (14) | 12.6 | 16.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | -5% | -0.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 0.7% | -6.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 16.4% | 32.6% |
Risk
SWX is the more resilient| Metric | SWX | VST |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.08 | 1.46 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.54 | -0.39 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.84 | -0.57 |
| Max drawdown | -10.2% | -38.2% |
| Current drawdown | -7.6% | -32.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 18.1% | 49.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.8% | -5.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, SWX or VST?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, VST is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 48 against SWX's 45. The edge comes from momentum. SWX is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is SWX or VST the better buy right now?
VST carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor VST over SWX?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. VST leads Momentum by 32 points; SWX leads Risk Resilience by 17 points; SWX leads Quality by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, SWX or VST?
Analyst price targets imply +17.9% upside for SWX and +45.8% for VST, so the Street currently favors VST. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, SWX or VST?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, SWX or VST?
VST on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, SWX or VST?
VST on the Momentum factor, by 32 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, SWX or VST?
SWX is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SWX on Risk Resilience, by 17 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is SWX more profitable than VST?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 56.6% vs 13%; operating margin 28.7% vs 2.3%; ttm roe 12.9% vs 41.5%. SWX leads on two measures and VST on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is VST's lead over SWX getting stronger or weaker?
VST lead: Reversed — SWX led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; VST now leads by 3. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 13 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-08, when VST moved ahead of SWX.
What would change the SWX vs VST verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SWX closes the Momentum gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to VST's edge; SWX's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; VST's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about SWX and VST?
SWX: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. VST: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SWX is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On VST it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare SWX and VST with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.