TMDX vs VTRS Stock Comparison
Compare TMDX and VTRS across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between TMDX and VTRS?
VTRS leads the current stock comparison as Viatris Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
TransMedics Group, Inc. vs Viatris Inc.
VTRS leads
VTRS leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Risk Resilience, having only recently taken the lead back from TMDX.
Fragile: 5 of 6 evidence groups support VTRS, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
TransMedics Group, Inc.
Viatris Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors VTRS over TMDX, 54 versus 45 as of Sep 11, 2026. VTRS's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and risk resilience, while TMDX holds the stronger quality profile. VTRS also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor VTRS today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. VTRS lead: Reversed — TMDX led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; VTRS now leads by 9.
Compare TransMedics Group, Inc. and Viatris Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare TMDX and VTRS against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value32 vs 73VTRS +41
- Quality64 vs 31TMDX +33
- Risk Resilience34 vs 64VTRS +30
- Momentum43 vs 52VTRS +9
5 of 6 evidence groups favor VTRS. VTRS’s edge is concentrated in value and risk resilience; TMDX keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1
New signals
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
VTRS's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TMDX and VTRS both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
VTRS (Viatris Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and risk resilience.
TMDX (TransMedics Group, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals — but at materially higher volatility, 43.4% against 20.5%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
VTRSVTRS on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TMDXTMDX on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
VTRSVTRS on the peer-relative Value factor, by 41 points.
Momentum
VTRSVTRS on the Momentum factor, by 9 points.
Lower downside
VTRSVTRS on Risk Resilience, by 30 points.
Analyst upside
VTRSVTRS on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TMDX | VTRS | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +19.8% | +28.2% | VTRS has more room |
| Target dispersion | +75.6% | +9.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 2 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor VTRS. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | VTRS | 45 vs 54 |
| Fundamentals | TMDX | revenue growth 9.2% vs 6.8%; EPS growth 100% vs -166.7%; TTM ROE 33% vs -2.8%; gross margin 58.7% vs 34.8% |
| Valuation | VTRS | Value 32 vs 73 |
| Technicals | VTRS | Price vs 50-day 4.6% vs -2.4%; vs 200-day -18.4% vs 11.7% |
| Risk Resilience | VTRS | Risk Resilience 34 vs 64 |
| Analyst expectations | VTRS | Target upside 19.8% vs 28.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TMDX and VTRS and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on VTRS.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10VTRS lead: Reversed — TMDX led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; VTRS now leads by 9.
- Today
- VTRS +9
- 45 vs 54
- 7 sessions ago
- VTRS +12
- 47 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- TMDX +4
- 52 vs 48
- 90 sessions ago
- VTRS +16
- 42 vs 58
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Aug 25 when VTRS moved ahead of TMDX.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (28.17%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.83%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (13.32%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
VTRS leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TMDX closes the Value gap — currently 41 points behind, the largest single contributor to VTRS's edge.
- 2TMDX's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3VTRS's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TMDX leads on balance| Metric | TMDX | VTRS |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 100% | -166.7% |
| Gross margin | 58.7% | 34.8% |
| Operating margin | 12.2% | -0.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 33% | -2.8% |
| Debt to equity | 1.67 | 0.96 |
Performance
VTRS leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | TMDX | VTRS |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.9% | -4.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.3% | 1.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 13.7% | 3.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -34.1% | 17.3% |
| Year to date | -30.1% | 31.6% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -19.5% | 56.3% |
Technicals
VTRS has the stronger structure| Metric | TMDX | VTRS |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 40 | 54.7 |
| ADX (14) | 17.8 | 12.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | 4.6% | -2.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | -18.4% | 11.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 43.4% | 20.5% |
Risk
VTRS is the more resilient| Metric | TMDX | VTRS |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.22 | 0.71 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.2 | 1.44 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.26 | 2.29 |
| Max drawdown | -58.8% | -19.6% |
| Current drawdown | -43.5% | -8.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 57.5% | 32.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.2% | -2.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TMDX or VTRS?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, VTRS is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 54 against TMDX's 45. The edge comes from value and risk resilience. TMDX is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TMDX or VTRS the better buy right now?
VTRS carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor VTRS over TMDX?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. VTRS leads Value by 41 points; TMDX leads Quality by 33 points; VTRS leads Risk Resilience by 30 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TMDX or VTRS?
Analyst price targets imply +19.8% upside for TMDX and +28.2% for VTRS, so the Street currently favors VTRS. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TMDX or VTRS?
VTRS is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. VTRS on the peer-relative Value factor, by 41 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TMDX or VTRS?
TMDX on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TMDX or VTRS?
VTRS on the Momentum factor, by 9 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TMDX or VTRS?
VTRS is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. VTRS on Risk Resilience, by 30 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TMDX more profitable than VTRS?
TMDX leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 58.7% vs 34.8%; operating margin 12.2% vs -0.6%; ttm roe 33% vs -2.8%.
Is VTRS's lead over TMDX getting stronger or weaker?
VTRS lead: Reversed — TMDX led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; VTRS now leads by 9. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-25, when VTRS moved ahead of TMDX.
What would change the TMDX vs VTRS verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TMDX closes the Value gap — currently 41 points behind, the largest single contributor to VTRS's edge; TMDX's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; VTRS's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TMDX and VTRS?
TMDX: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. VTRS: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TMDX is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On VTRS it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare TMDX and VTRS with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.