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TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) Stock Analysis

TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TMDX Stock Analysis Summary

TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 64/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 23/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

TMDX at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$65.99
AIQ Score39/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$2.84B
P/E Ratio (TTM)18.61
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.42
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$189.95M
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta1.88
Volume900.11K
52-week range$60.11-$156.00
RSI 1427.28
50-Day SMA$82.15
200-Day SMA$94.86
Analyst Price Target$102.53
Next EarningsNov 5, 2026
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

TMDXTransMedics Group, Inc.

Healthcare / Medical - Devices

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

BearishEdge 2/10
$65.99−$1.13 (−1.68%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    23
  • Value
    32
  • Quality
    64
  • Risk resilience
    32
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

TMDX Stock Analysis Summary

TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 64/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 23/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, TMDX has AIQ Score of 39/100 with Quality base of 64/100 and fading Momentum at 23/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (64/100) leads while Momentum (23/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Healthcare · -1.68% stock move · TMDX classified in Medical - Devices.

Current Evidence

BearishTMDX is in a bearish AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 64/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TMDX Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TMDX currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 64/100, while Momentum is weakest at 23/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 64/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +55.37% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 32/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 23/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 32/100.
  • - Price is -29.24% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (37 vs 6).

Current Consensus

TMDX's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 6 buy, 2 neutral, and 37 sell votes. TMDX's 14-day RSI is 27.28, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. TMDX's beta is 1.88, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in TMDX?

The largest recent change in TMDX is Momentum moving down by 5.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-1.0
Momentum
-5.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+1.0

What Would Change the TMDX Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TMDX Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for TransMedics Group, Inc..

TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) Stock Analysis

TransMedics Group, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 39/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 64/100. Beta is 1.93, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTMDX is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 39/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 64/100 while momentum lags at 23/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 23/100 · Value 32/100 · Quality 64/100 · Risk 32/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 64/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 23/100 and RSI (14) is 27.3.

Regime fitFail

TMDX is in a Defensive regime at 39/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 32/100 with beta 1.93 and annual volatility 57.13%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 64/100 while momentum lags at 23/100.

AIQ Score
39/100
Price
$65.99
Beta
1.93
RSI (14)
27.3

TMDX Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TMDX Fundamentals

TMDX valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$189.95M
Net income
$14.68M
Free cash flow
$10.22M
View full TMDX fundamental analysis

TMDX Technical Analysis

TMDX technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
27.28
Price vs SMA-50
-18.30%
View full TMDX technical analysis

TMDX Stock Catalysts

Track TMDX earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 5, 2026
Analyst target
$102.53
News items
0
View TMDX earnings and stock catalysts

TMDX Dividend Analysis

TMDX dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View TMDX dividend history and analysis

TMDX Financial Data

TMDX revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$189.95M
EPS
$0.42
Periods
4
View TMDX financials

TMDX Risk Analysis

TMDX volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.88
Risk score
32/100
1Y volatility
57.13%
View TMDX risk analysis

TMDX Stock News

TMDX stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read TMDX stock news

TMDX vs Medical Devices Peers

Current peer cohort: TMDX · VTRS · WAT · XRAY · ZBH. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TMDX
Current stock
39/10032/10023/10032/100-0.9957.13%Current
VTRS
Viatris
59/10073/10076/10062/1001.9832.45%TMDX vs VTRS
WAT
Waters Corporation
57/10032/10090/10066/1001.0235.26%TMDX vs WAT
XRAY
Dentsply Sirona
51/10073/10053/10052/100-0.4547.92%TMDX vs XRAY
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet
65/10066/10080/10055/100-0.0232.74%TMDX vs ZBH
Pairwise Compare links: VTRS · WAT · XRAY · ZBHTMDX vs VTRSTMDX vs WATTMDX vs XRAYTMDX vs ZBHCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TMDX stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
18.61
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
58.69%
Current debt / equity
1.67
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$189.95M
Quarter net income
$14.68M
Quarter free cash flow
$10.22M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
27.28
MACD
-3.96

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
32/100
Beta
1.93
Annual volatility
57.13%
Max drawdown
-58.76%

TMDX Stock FAQ

What is TMDX stock price today?

TransMedics Group, Inc.'s current stock price is $65.99. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TMDX bullish or bearish right now?

TMDX's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TMDX's market cap?

TMDX's market cap is $2.84B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TMDX's current P/E ratio?

TMDX's current P/E ratio is 18.61 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TMDX's RSI?

TMDX's 14-day RSI is 27.28 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TMDX above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TMDX is -18.30% from its 50-day SMA and -29.24% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TMDX's next earnings date?

TMDX's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 5, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TMDX pay a dividend?

TMDX's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.