TMDX vs XRAY Stock Comparison

Compare TMDX and XRAY across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 11, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 2 points
TMDX
Healthcare
vs
XRAY
Healthcare
TMDX
TransMedics Group, Inc.
Price
$82.18
Day move
-3.36%
AIQ Score
45/100
Best edge
Quality
Sector
Healthcare
XRAY
DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.
Leads
Price
$10.46
Day move
-0.38%
AIQ Score
47/100
Best edge
Value
Sector
Healthcare

What is the main difference between TMDX and XRAY?

XRAY leads the current stock comparison as DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

TransMedics Group, Inc. vs DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.

Data as of Sep 11, 2026· market close· Healthcare· Coverage 66/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 2/10

XRAY leads

XRAY leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Risk Resilience, having only recently taken the lead back from TMDX.

Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support XRAY, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.

Evidence agreement: 2 of 6Comparison trend: Reversed
TMDX

TransMedics Group, Inc.

AIQ Score
45/100
AIQ Edge Score
4/10
XRAY

DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
47/100
AIQ Edge Score
5/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors XRAY over TMDX, 47 versus 45 as of Sep 11, 2026. XRAY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and risk resilience, while TMDX holds the stronger quality profile. XRAY also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor XRAY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. XRAY lead: Reversed — TMDX led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; XRAY now leads by 2.

Compare TransMedics Group, Inc. and DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

TMDX
+175.7%
XRAY
-83.0%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

TMDX $27,566 · XRAY $1,699

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

TMDX advantage
0
XRAY advantage
  • Value32 vs 73
    XRAY +41
  • Quality64 vs 27
    TMDX +37
  • Risk Resilience34 vs 50
    XRAY +16
  • Momentum43 vs 37
    TMDX +6

2 of 6 evidence groups favor XRAY. XRAY’s edge is concentrated in value and risk resilience; TMDX keeps a meaningful quality edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.

TMDX+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +1

No new signals fired.

XRAY0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

XRAY's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TMDX and XRAY both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

XRAY (DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and risk resilience.

TMDX (TransMedics Group, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, momentum, fundamentals — but at materially higher volatility, 43.4% against 33.1%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

XRAY

XRAY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

TMDX

TMDX on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

XRAY

XRAY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 41 points.

Momentum

TMDX

TMDX on the Momentum factor, by 6 points.

Lower downside

XRAY

XRAY on Risk Resilience, by 16 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureTMDXXRAYNote
Implied upside to target+23.9%+24.3%Level
Target dispersion+75.6%+61.5%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyHoldContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering75Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor XRAY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven45 vs 47
FundamentalsTMDXrevenue growth 9.2% vs 2%; EPS growth 100% vs 4.6%; TTM ROE 33% vs -39.8%; gross margin 58.7% vs 49.5%; operating margin 12.2% vs 11.7%
ValuationXRAYValue 32 vs 73
TechnicalsTMDXPrice vs 50-day 1.1% vs -13.9%; vs 200-day -18.4% vs -10.6%
Risk ResilienceXRAYRisk Resilience 34 vs 50
Analyst expectationsEvenTarget upside 23.9% vs 24.3%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TMDX and XRAY and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on XRAY.

How the comparison changed

119 daily snapshots · May 4 Sep 10

XRAY lead: Reversed — TMDX led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; XRAY now leads by 2.

May 4TMDX leads above the line · XRAY leads belowSep 10
Today
XRAY +2
45 vs 47
7 sessions ago
XRAY +2
47 vs 49
30 sessions ago
TMDX +10
52 vs 42
90 sessions ago
XRAY +15
42 vs 57

The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 31 when XRAY moved ahead of TMDX.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

TMDX

0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (28.17%)
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.83%)
  • MACD Bearish Crossover bearish, momentum, short horizon
XRAY

2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (3.42%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.53%)

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

TMDXDivergence

Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -3.36%, AIQ +1 points).

XRAYNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.38%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1TMDX closes the Value gap — currently 41 points behind, the largest single contributor to XRAY's edge.
  2. 2TMDX's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
  3. 3XRAY's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

TMDX leads on balance
MetricTMDXXRAY
Revenue growth (YoY)9.2%2%
EPS growth (YoY)100%4.6%
Gross margin58.7%49.5%
Operating margin12.2%11.7%
Return on equity (TTM)33%-39.8%
Debt to equity1.671.71

Performance

TMDX leads 4 of 6 windows
MetricTMDXXRAY
1 week (5 sessions)0.9%-7%
1 month (20 sessions)-2.3%-8%
3 months (63 sessions)13.7%4.6%
6 months (126 sessions)-34.1%-17.5%
Year to date-30.1%-8.1%
1 year (252 sessions)-19.5%-26.1%

Technicals

TMDX has the stronger structure
MetricTMDXXRAY
RSI (14)4044.5
ADX (14)17.820.8
Price vs 50-day1.1%-13.9%
Price vs 200-day-18.4%-10.6%
Volatility (1M, annualized)43.4%33.1%

Risk

XRAY is the more resilient
MetricTMDXXRAY
Beta1.221.3
Sharpe ratio-0.2-0.46
Sortino ratio-0.26-0.73
Max drawdown-58.8%-34.3%
Current drawdown-43.5%-28.5%
Annualized volatility57.5%46.4%
Value at risk (95%)-5.2%-4.2%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, TMDX or XRAY?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, XRAY is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 47 against TMDX's 45. The edge comes from value and risk resilience. TMDX is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is TMDX or XRAY the better buy right now?

XRAY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor XRAY over TMDX?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. XRAY leads Value by 41 points; TMDX leads Quality by 37 points; XRAY leads Risk Resilience by 16 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, TMDX or XRAY?

Analyst price targets imply +23.9% upside for TMDX and +24.3% for XRAY. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, TMDX or XRAY?

XRAY is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. XRAY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 41 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, TMDX or XRAY?

TMDX on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, TMDX or XRAY?

TMDX on the Momentum factor, by 6 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, TMDX or XRAY?

XRAY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. XRAY on Risk Resilience, by 16 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is TMDX more profitable than XRAY?

TMDX leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 58.7% vs 49.5%; operating margin 12.2% vs 11.7%; ttm roe 33% vs -39.8%.

Is XRAY's lead over TMDX getting stronger or weaker?

XRAY lead: Reversed — TMDX led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; XRAY now leads by 2. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-31, when XRAY moved ahead of TMDX.

What would change the TMDX vs XRAY verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TMDX closes the Value gap — currently 41 points behind, the largest single contributor to XRAY's edge; TMDX's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; XRAY's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about TMDX and XRAY?

TMDX: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. XRAY: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral. The most decision-relevant rule on TMDX is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On XRAY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare TMDX and XRAY with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.