ETF Analysis
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) ETF Analysis
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) currently has an AIQ Score of 65/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 16/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
IBIT at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $45.23 |
| AIQ Score | 65/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Buy |
| Fund Size | $60.02B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.25% |
| Holdings Count | 1 |
| NAV | $43.73 |
| Asset Class | Alternatives |
| Primary Exposure | Cash & Others (100.00%) |
| Issuer | IShares |
| Domicile | US |
| Inception Date | Jan 4, 2024 |
| Distribution Yield | 0.00% |
| Beta | 2.12 |
| Average Volume | 44.09M |
| 52-week range | $32.84-$71.82 |
| RSI 14 | 77.24 |
| 50-Day SMA | $38.06 |
| 200-Day SMA | $42.38 |
| Risk Score | 16/100 |
| Momentum Score | 80/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | — |
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IBIT
OverviewIBIT ETF Analysis Summary
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) currently has an AIQ Score of 65/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 16/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, IBIT has AIQ Score of 65/100 with Momentum base of 80/100 and fading Risk resilience at 16/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Momentum (80/100) leads while Risk resilience (16/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · -2.42% ETF move · IBIT classified in Asset Management - Cryptocurrency.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is IBIT Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
IBIT currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 16/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 78/100.
- - Momentum is constructive at 80/100.
- - Price is +18.85% above its 50-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (38 vs 4).
- - Risk Resilience is weak at 16/100.
Current Consensus
IBIT's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 38 buy, 3 neutral, and 4 sell votes. IBIT's 14-day RSI is 77.24, which places the ETF in an overbought momentum range. IBIT's beta is 2.12, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in IBIT?
Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.
What Would Change the IBIT Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
IBIT Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF.
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) ETF Analysis
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF has an AIQ Score of 65/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 80/100. Beta is 2.12, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | IBIT is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 65/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that momentum leads at 80/100 while risk lags at 16/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 80/100 · Quality 78/100 · Risk 16/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100.
Momentum is 80/100 and RSI (14) is 77.2.
IBIT is in a Neutral regime at 65/100.
Risk factor is 16/100 with beta 2.12 and annual volatility 45.2%.
Current conflict: momentum leads at 80/100 while risk lags at 16/100.
IBIT Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
IBIT ETF Analytics
IBIT holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
IBIT Technical Analysis
IBIT technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
IBIT ETF Market Context
Track IBIT market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
IBIT Distribution Analysis
IBIT distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
IBIT ETF Data
IBIT available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
IBIT Risk Analysis
IBIT volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
IBIT ETF News
IBIT ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
IBIT vs ₿ Crypto ETFs Peers
Current peer cohort: IBIT · BITB · BITO · ETHA · ETHE. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBIT Current ETF | 65/100 | — | 80/100 | 16/100 | -0.57 | 45.20% | Current |
| BITB Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | 56/100 | — | 80/100 | 17/100 | -0.58 | 45.11% | IBIT vs BITB |
| BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 63/100 | — | 79/100 | 25/100 | -1.07 | 46.73% | IBIT vs BITO |
| ETHA iShares Ethereum Trust ETF | 61/100 | — | 79/100 | 11/100 | -0.6 | 64.42% | IBIT vs ETHA |
| ETHE Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF | 52/100 | 34/100 | 79/100 | 34/100 | -0.65 | 64.02% | IBIT vs ETHE |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalystsNo quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.
Checked Sep 5, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.
ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching IBIT
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Scenario Analysis
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Portfolio Implication
Related Links
IBIT ETF FAQ
What is IBIT ETF price today?
IBIT is currently shown at $45.23. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is IBIT's 52-week high and low?
IBIT's 52-week range is $32.84 to $71.82 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does IBIT pay a dividend?
IBIT's current distribution yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying IBIT?
Compare IBIT's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.