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ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) ETF Analysis

ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.

BITO ETF Analysis Summary

ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) currently has an AIQ Score of 60/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 44/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

BITO at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$11.28
AIQ Score60/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Fund Size$2.24B
Expense Ratio0.95%
Holdings Count5
NAV$11.02
Asset ClassAlternatives
Primary ExposureFinancial Services (66.51%)
IssuerProShares
DomicileUS
Inception DateOct 18, 2021
Distribution Yield22.61%
Beta1.74
Average Volume172.16M
52-week range$7.87-$19.14
RSI 1448.6
50-Day SMA$10.61
200-Day SMA$10.04
Risk Score44/100
Momentum Score60/100
Value Exposure Score—
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

BITO Long-Horizon ETF Performance

Trailing returns, growth of $10,000, drawdown history, and calendar-year returns from available daily closes.

History available
Oct 25, 2021 to Oct 20, 2026
$10,000 became
$2,713.16
Worst drawdown shown
-81.26%
PeriodTotal returnAnnualizedMax drawdownStart date
1Y-39.74%-39.76%-57.37%Oct 20, 2025
3Y-27.04%-9.97%-76.29%Oct 20, 2023
5Y-72.87%-23.02%-81.58%Oct 25, 2021
10Y-72.87%-23.02%-81.58%Oct 25, 2021

Growth of $10,000

Indexed to the first available close in this history window.

Drawdown History

Peak-to-trough decline from each prior high over the available window.

Calendar-Year Returns

Full-year returns where available, with the current calendar year shown as YTD.

Price-return view based on available daily close history; distributions are not reinvested unless already reflected in the source series.

BITOProShares Bitcoin ETF

Financial Services / Asset Management

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 7/10
$11.28+$0.27 (+2.45%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    60
  • Value
    —
  • Quality
    68
  • Risk resilience
    44
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

BITO ETF Analysis Summary

ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) currently has an AIQ Score of 60/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 44/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, BITO has AIQ Score of 60/100 with Quality base of 68/100 and fading Risk resilience at 44/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (68/100) leads while Risk resilience (44/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 2.45% ETF move · BITO classified in Asset Management.

Current Evidence

NeutralBITO is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 68/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is BITO Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

BITO currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 44/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 68/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 60/100.
  • - Price is +6.35% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (32 vs 6).
Bear Case
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 44/100.

Current Consensus

BITO's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 32 buy, 7 neutral, and 6 sell votes. BITO's 14-day RSI is 48.6, which places the ETF in a neutral momentum range. BITO's beta is 1.74, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in BITO?

The largest recent change in BITO is Momentum moving up by 11.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+6.0
Momentum
+11.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+11.0

What Would Change the BITO Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

BITO Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for ProShares Bitcoin ETF.

ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) ETF Analysis

ProShares Bitcoin ETF has an AIQ Score of 60/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 68/100. Beta is 1.74, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextBITO is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 60/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 68/100 while risk lags at 44/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 60/100 · Quality 68/100 · Risk 44/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 60/100 and RSI (14) is 48.6.

Regime fitWait

BITO is in a Neutral regime at 60/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 44/100 with beta 1.74 and annual volatility 46.55%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 68/100 while risk lags at 44/100.

AIQ Score
60/100
Price
$11.28
Beta
1.74
RSI (14)
48.6

BITO Research Cluster

ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.

BITO ETF Analytics

BITO holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.

Fund size
$2.24B
Expense ratio
0.95%
Distribution yield
0.46%
View BITO ETF analytics

BITO Technical Analysis

BITO technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
48.6
Price vs SMA-50
+6.35%
View full BITO technical analysis

BITO ETF Market Context

Track BITO market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.

AIQ Score
60/100
Momentum
60/100
Primary exposure
Financial Services (66.51%)
View BITO ETF context

BITO Distribution Analysis

BITO distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.

Dividend yield
0.46%
Annual dividend
$0.05
Frequency
—
View BITO distribution history

BITO ETF Data

BITO available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.

Issuer
ProShares
Holdings
5
NAV
$11.02
View BITO ETF data

BITO Risk Analysis

BITO volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.74
Risk score
44/100
Average volume
172.16M
View BITO risk analysis

BITO ETF News

BITO ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read BITO ETF news

BITO vs ₿ Crypto ETFs Peers

Current peer cohort: BITO · BLOX · BTC · ETH · ETHA. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
BITO
Current ETF
60/100—60/10044/100-0.8946.55%Current
BLOX
Nicholas Crypto Income ETF
38/10050/10024/10044/100-1.157.72%BITO vs BLOX
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
57/100—60/10050/100-0.4844.86%BITO vs BTC
ETH
Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF
43/10023/10047/10047/100-0.4862.29%BITO vs ETH
ETHA
iShares Ethereum Trust ETF
50/100—46/10023/100-0.562.67%BITO vs ETHA
Pairwise Compare links: BLOX · BTC · ETH · ETHABITO vs BLOXBITO vs BTCBITO vs ETHBITO vs ETHACompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current ETF evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a BITO ETF return scenario

Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate ETF return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

No quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

ETF Analytics Snapshot

Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.

Price
$11.28
As of Oct 21, 2026
Fund size
$2.24B
Expense ratio
0.95%
Distribution yield
22.61%
ProShares ETF evidence

ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.

Review ETF analytics
Holdings
5
NAV
$11.02
Average volume
172.16M
Inception
Oct 18, 2021
Asset class
Alternatives
Primary exposure
Financial Services (66.51%)
Beta
1.74
Momentum score
60/100

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
48.6
MACD
0.11

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
44/100
Beta
1.74
Annual volatility
46.55%
Max drawdown
-57.37%

BITO ETF FAQ

What is BITO ETF price today?

BITO is currently shown at $11.28. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.

What is BITO's 52-week high and low?

BITO's 52-week range is $7.87 to $19.14 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.

Does BITO pay a dividend?

BITO's current distribution yield is 22.61% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.

What should investors compare before buying BITO?

Compare BITO's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.